{"id":601308,"date":"2019-02-25T03:38:51","date_gmt":"2019-02-25T03:38:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/25\/the-window-for-emerging-markets-to-industrialize-is-closing-and-quickly-at-that\/"},"modified":"2019-02-25T03:38:51","modified_gmt":"2019-02-25T03:38:51","slug":"the-window-for-emerging-markets-to-industrialize-is-closing-and-quickly-at-that","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/25\/the-window-for-emerging-markets-to-industrialize-is-closing-and-quickly-at-that\/","title":{"rendered":"The window for emerging markets to industrialize is closing \u2014 and quickly, at that"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> The window for emerging markets to industrialize is closing \u2014 and quickly, at that: <\/b>Structural shifts in global trade patterns will make it increasingly difficult for emerging markets to industrialize, writes Steve Johnson in the FT<\/a><\/u>. Research from the McKinsey Global Institute suggests that new trends in production (more automation, for example) mean the importance of labor-cost arbitrage is decreasing \u2014 bad news for countries hoping for economic growth through a strategy of labor-intensive manufacturing of goods for export. Worse, advances in technology are seeing more and more work \u201creshored\u201d to advanced economies.<\/p>\n

Other indicators that will prove disheartening for emerging markets:<\/b> The increasingly regional nature of trade (especially in Europe and Asia); the growing importance in the value chain of intangible assets, knowledge, and research and development (which correlate with a highly skilled workforce); and the massive spike in trade of services as opposed to physical goods (the former growing 60% faster than the latter in the past decade.)<\/p>\n

There is a glimmer of hope<\/b> for countries that have managed to find \u201ca profitable niche,\u201d but even that may prove unsustainable. We may expect to hear this narrative more and more often: that emerging markets will need to start really investing<\/a><\/u> in developing the skill sets of their workforces (focusing on higher cognitive skills, soft skills and technological skills) as the \u201cwindow of opportunity\u201d for economic growth through industrialization keeps narrowing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The window for emerging markets to industrialize is closing \u2014 and quickly, at that: Structural shifts in global trade patterns will make it increasingly difficult for emerging markets to industrialize, writes Steve Johnson in the FT. Research from the McKinsey Global Institute suggests that new trends in production (more automation, for example) mean the importance […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":601309,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[9254,104,115,72,131,1510,132],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-601308","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-automation","tag-economy","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-manufacturing","tag-the-macro-picture","tag-trade","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"0d823e75-d40e-44e5-b04c-1332276de930","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/2\/2892.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[601290],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nThe window for emerging markets to industrialize is closing \u2014 and quickly, at that - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/25\/the-window-for-emerging-markets-to-industrialize-is-closing-and-quickly-at-that\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The window for emerging markets to industrialize is closing \u2014 and quickly, at that\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The window for emerging markets to industrialize is closing \u2014 and quickly, at that: Structural shifts in global trade patterns will make it increasingly difficult for emerging markets to industrialize, writes Steve Johnson in the FT. 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The rapid pace at which jobs are automated and declining birth rates will make it harder for emerging markets to escape the middle income trap and transition to developed country status, writes Christopher Wood, global head of equity strategy at Jefferies. 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Many EM economies are dependent on exporting\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/5\/2688.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597833,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/06\/emerging-economies-face-uncertainty-as-we-enter-the-age-of-automation\/","url_meta":{"origin":601308,"position":2},"title":"Emerging economies face uncertainty as we enter the age of automation","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Robots and AI will eat jobs in emerging markets: Emerging countries are the most vulnerable to job losses caused by the increasing role of automation, artificial intelligence, and robots in the economy, OECD research has found. All 11 emerging markets included in the OECD\u2019s analysis are among the 17 countries\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/5\/2118.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597208,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/18\/development-in-emerging-markets-is-being-held-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":601308,"position":3},"title":"Development in emerging markets is being held back","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Ominous EM outlook of the week: Deglobalization, the Chinese slowdown, and a decade of financial stimulus in advanced economies are holding back emerging markets from catching up with the developed world, Jonathan Wheatley writes in the Financial Times. Emerging markets seemed destined for alignment with the West earlier this century,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/7\/3044.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598434,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/26\/em-pmis-best-developed-economies-for-first-time-since-2013\/","url_meta":{"origin":601308,"position":4},"title":"EM PMIs best developed economies for first time since 2013","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Emerging markets have pulled ahead of advanced economies for the first time since 2013 on the latest purchasing managers\u2019 indices (PMI) for services and manufacturing, the Financial Times reports. After a bumpy year, emerging markets\u2019 aggregate reading for the two indices comes in at 52.4 for EMs, suggesting that annual\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/5\/537.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596587,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/02\/the-trade-war-isnt-affecting-emerging-markets-as-much-as-you-thought\/","url_meta":{"origin":601308,"position":5},"title":"The trade war isn\u2019t affecting emerging markets as much as you thought","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The trade war isn\u2019t affecting emerging markets as much as you thought: Ever since Donald Trump made the first move in the ongoing US-China trade duel last year, financial commentators have ruminated on how emerging markets are about to experience a slow-mo economic calamity. But they appear to have jumped\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/2953.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/601308","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=601308"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/601308\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/601290"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/601309"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=601308"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=601308"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=601308"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=601308"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=601308"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}