{"id":601011,"date":"2019-02-17T04:06:47","date_gmt":"2019-02-17T04:06:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/"},"modified":"2019-02-17T04:06:47","modified_gmt":"2019-02-17T04:06:47","slug":"as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/","title":{"rendered":"As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more emerging-market rate cuts on the horizon?"},"content":{"rendered":"

As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more EM rate cuts on the horizon? <\/b>Inflation in Egypt was still at a fairly high (albeit within target) 12.7% when the CBE cut rates last week. But below-target inflation may motivate other emerging-market central banks to do the same, Bloomberg writes<\/a>. According to Morgan Stanley, inflation has fallen below 10-year averages in 80% of the emerging economies it covers, and as a result it expects 70% of them to either cut rates or keep them on hold. JPMorgan too has forecast easing in 10 emerging market countries, while Nomura Holdings has gone as far as to say that deflation may be a prospect for some economies.<\/p>\n

Disinflation: What\u2019s the situation? <\/b>Slowing inflation (otherwise known as disinflation) is underway in key EMs. Both China<\/a> and India\u2019s<\/a> January inflation data fell short of expectations, in both cases due to falling food and fuel prices. Add to this Citigroup\u2019s latest Inflation Surprise Index for emerging markets \u2014 which fell to its lowest level in over three years last month \u2014 and it seems that disinflation is a growing trend among emerging economies (this is not true for all emerging markets of course \u2014 predictions of disinflation at the Turkish central bank would have you laughed out the room). While we have yet to see a comprehensive explanation, our somewhat cursory evaluation is that food and fuel prices are driving the disinflation trend.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more EM rate cuts on the horizon? Inflation in Egypt was still at a fairly high (albeit within target) 12.7% when the CBE cut rates last week. But below-target inflation may motivate other emerging-market central banks to do the same, Bloomberg writes. According to Morgan Stanley, inflation has fallen […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":601012,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[115,72,182,349,1510],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-601011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-the-macro-picture","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"430db338-2a72-4431-9eb8-d2efb01109e1","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/2\/108.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[600989],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nAs the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more emerging-market rate cuts on the horizon? - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more emerging-market rate cuts on the horizon?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more EM rate cuts on the horizon? Inflation in Egypt was still at a fairly high (albeit within target) 12.7% when the CBE cut rates last week. But below-target inflation may motivate other emerging-market central banks to do the same, Bloomberg writes. According to Morgan Stanley, inflation has fallen […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-02-17T04:06:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/2\/108.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more emerging-market rate cuts on the horizon?\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-02-17T04:06:47+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\"},\"wordCount\":245,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/2\/108.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"emerging markets\",\"EnterpriseAM\",\"inflation\",\"interest rates\",\"THE MACRO PICTURE\"],\"articleSection\":[\"THE MACRO PICTURE\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\",\"name\":\"As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more emerging-market rate cuts on the horizon? 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Policymakers across 37 emerging markets delivered five net interest rate hikes in March, Reuters reports. Last month, the central banks of Ukraine, Georgia, Brazil, Turkey and Russia all decided to raise interest rates, with \u201cmany delivering bigger hikes than expected,\u201d\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Macro picture"","block_context":{"text":"Macro picture","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/explainers\/macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":558374,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/08\/cbe-leaves-interest-rates-on-hold-for-sixth-consecutive-meeting\/","url_meta":{"origin":601011,"position":1},"title":"CBE leaves interest rates on hold for sixth consecutive meeting","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 August 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) left interest rates unchanged for a sixth consecutive meeting on Thursday as policymakers look to preempt rising inflation and maintain Egypt\u2019s high real interest rate. Overnight deposit and lending rates were kept unchanged at 8.25% and 9.25%, respectively, while the main\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/8\/110.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598992,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/16\/are-emerging-markets-looking-set-for-a-wave-of-interest-rate-cuts-this-month\/","url_meta":{"origin":601011,"position":2},"title":"Are emerging markets looking set for a wave of interest rate cuts this month?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 June 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Good news for Egyptian debt: Other emerging markets have lowered interest rates \u2014 and more should follow. Russia, Chile and India have lowered their benchmark rates last week as emerging markets struggle with lower than expected growth and a turbulent macro climate. The hint from central bankers in other EMs\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/1152.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":558195,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/01\/enterprise-poll-cbe-to-leave-rates-on-hold\/","url_meta":{"origin":601011,"position":3},"title":"ENTERPRISE POLL- CBE to leave rates on hold","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 August 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"ENTERPRISE POLL- The Central Bank of Egypt will likely leave interest rates on hold when it meets this Thursday as it looks to keep inflationary pressures in check, according to an Enterprise poll. All 12 analysts and economists we surveyed expect the central bank to err on the side of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/8\/30.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":595913,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/08\/14\/egypts-headline-inflation-falls-to-four-year-low-in-july-despite-subsidy-cuts\/","url_meta":{"origin":601011,"position":4},"title":"Egypt\u2019s headline inflation falls to four year low in July despite subsidy cuts","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"14 August 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Headline inflation falls to four-year low in July despite subsidy cuts: Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation rate dropped to 8.7% in July from 9.4% in June, its lowest recording in four years, according toCapmas data released on Thursday. To put that into perspective: headline inflation was at 13.5% in July 2018,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/8\/1072.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":563119,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/20\/cbe-holds-interest-rates-for-fifth-consecutive-meeting\/","url_meta":{"origin":601011,"position":5},"title":"CBE holds interest rates for fifth consecutive meeting","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 June 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) left interest rates unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting on Thursday as it looks to preempt a possible rise in inflation on the back of spiraling global commodity prices. Overnight deposit and lending rates remain at 8.25% and 9.25% respectively, while\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/6\/248.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/601011","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=601011"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/601011\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/600989"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/601012"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=601011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=601011"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=601011"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=601011"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=601011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}