{"id":601011,"date":"2019-02-17T04:06:47","date_gmt":"2019-02-17T04:06:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/"},"modified":"2019-02-17T04:06:47","modified_gmt":"2019-02-17T04:06:47","slug":"as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/","title":{"rendered":"As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more emerging-market rate cuts on the horizon?"},"content":{"rendered":"

As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more EM rate cuts on the horizon? <\/b>Inflation in Egypt was still at a fairly high (albeit within target) 12.7% when the CBE cut rates last week. But below-target inflation may motivate other emerging-market central banks to do the same, Bloomberg writes<\/a>. According to Morgan Stanley, inflation has fallen below 10-year averages in 80% of the emerging economies it covers, and as a result it expects 70% of them to either cut rates or keep them on hold. JPMorgan too has forecast easing in 10 emerging market countries, while Nomura Holdings has gone as far as to say that deflation may be a prospect for some economies.<\/p>\n

Disinflation: What\u2019s the situation? <\/b>Slowing inflation (otherwise known as disinflation) is underway in key EMs. Both China<\/a> and India\u2019s<\/a> January inflation data fell short of expectations, in both cases due to falling food and fuel prices. Add to this Citigroup\u2019s latest Inflation Surprise Index for emerging markets \u2014 which fell to its lowest level in over three years last month \u2014 and it seems that disinflation is a growing trend among emerging economies (this is not true for all emerging markets of course \u2014 predictions of disinflation at the Turkish central bank would have you laughed out the room). While we have yet to see a comprehensive explanation, our somewhat cursory evaluation is that food and fuel prices are driving the disinflation trend.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more EM rate cuts on the horizon? Inflation in Egypt was still at a fairly high (albeit within target) 12.7% when the CBE cut rates last week. But below-target inflation may motivate other emerging-market central banks to do the same, Bloomberg writes. According to Morgan Stanley, inflation has fallen […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":601012,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[115,72,182,349,1510],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-601011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-the-macro-picture","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"430db338-2a72-4431-9eb8-d2efb01109e1","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/2\/108.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[600989],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nAs the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more emerging-market rate cuts on the horizon? - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more emerging-market rate cuts on the horizon?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more EM rate cuts on the horizon? Inflation in Egypt was still at a fairly high (albeit within target) 12.7% when the CBE cut rates last week. But below-target inflation may motivate other emerging-market central banks to do the same, Bloomberg writes. According to Morgan Stanley, inflation has fallen […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-02-17T04:06:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/2\/108.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more emerging-market rate cuts on the horizon?\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-02-17T04:06:47+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\"},\"wordCount\":245,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/2\/108.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"emerging markets\",\"EnterpriseAM\",\"inflation\",\"interest rates\",\"THE MACRO PICTURE\"],\"articleSection\":[\"THE MACRO PICTURE\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/17\/as-the-cbe-unexpectedly-eases-are-more-emerging-market-rate-cuts-on-the-horizon\/\",\"name\":\"As the CBE unexpectedly eases, are more emerging-market rate cuts on the horizon? 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Policymakers across 37 emerging markets delivered five net interest rate hikes in March, Reuters reports. Last month, the central banks of Ukraine, Georgia, Brazil, Turkey and Russia all decided to raise interest rates, with \u201cmany delivering bigger hikes than expected,\u201d\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Macro picture"","block_context":{"text":"Macro picture","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/explainers\/macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":558374,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/08\/cbe-leaves-interest-rates-on-hold-for-sixth-consecutive-meeting\/","url_meta":{"origin":601011,"position":1},"title":"CBE leaves interest rates on hold for sixth consecutive meeting","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 August 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) left interest rates unchanged for a sixth consecutive meeting on Thursday as policymakers look to preempt rising inflation and maintain Egypt\u2019s high real interest rate. Overnight deposit and lending rates were kept unchanged at 8.25% and 9.25%, respectively, while the main\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/8\/110.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":558195,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/01\/enterprise-poll-cbe-to-leave-rates-on-hold\/","url_meta":{"origin":601011,"position":2},"title":"ENTERPRISE POLL- CBE to leave rates on hold","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 August 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"ENTERPRISE POLL- The Central Bank of Egypt will likely leave interest rates on hold when it meets this Thursday as it looks to keep inflationary pressures in check, according to an Enterprise poll. All 12 analysts and economists we surveyed expect the central bank to err on the side of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/8\/30.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592825,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/07\/cbe-to-make-third-consecutive-rate-cut-next-week\/","url_meta":{"origin":601011,"position":3},"title":"CBE to make third consecutive rate cut next week","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- Economists predict CBE will make third consecutive rate cut next Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) could cut benchmark interest rates by 50-100 bps when its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets a week from today, according to five of six economists polled by Enterprise. The economists cited the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596001,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/08\/18\/enterprise-poll-cbe-could-cut-interest-rates-on-thursday\/","url_meta":{"origin":601011,"position":4},"title":"Enterprise Poll: CBE could cut interest rates on Thursday","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 August 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- CBE could cut key interest rates this Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) could finally cut benchmark interest rates by between 50-100 bps when the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets this Thursday, according to six out of eight economists polled by Enterprise. Easing inflation, coupled with the US\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":546567,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/05\/22\/cbe-goes-for-200-bps-rate-hike-to-tamp-down-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":601011,"position":5},"title":"CBE goes for 200-bps rate hike to tamp-down inflation","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 May 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) raised interest rates for the second time since March as it looks to rein-in inflation and attract foreign investors back to the local bond market. The central bank hiked rates by 200 basis points, bringing its deposit rate to 11.25% and the lending rate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/5\/271.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/601011","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=601011"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/601011\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/600989"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/601012"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=601011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=601011"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=601011"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=601011"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=601011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}