{"id":600243,"date":"2019-01-23T04:02:08","date_gmt":"2019-01-23T04:02:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/01\/23\/what-were-tracking-on-23-january-2019\/"},"modified":"2019-01-23T04:02:08","modified_gmt":"2019-01-23T04:02:08","slug":"what-were-tracking-on-23-january-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/01\/23\/what-were-tracking-on-23-january-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"What we\u2019re tracking on 23 January 2019"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rejoice, for it is the last business day of the week: <\/b>Banks and the stock market are closed tomorrow, as are government offices, in observance of the 25 January national holiday, which falls this year on Friday. We\u2019re off tomorrow <\/b>and will be back in your inboxes at the usual time on Sunday morning.<\/p>\n

<\/a> Expect a lot of talk about high prices heading into the long weekend as the House holds hearings. <\/b>The House of Representatives\u2019 planning committee will meet with government officials from no less than 18 ministries, a number of governors, and 13 university presidents to discuss \u201csolutions\u201d for rising prices, according to a statement by Support Egypt coalition head Abdel Hady El Kassaby picked up by Al Shorouk<\/a>. The meeting comes after President Abdel Fattah El Sisi launched the \u201cDecent Life<\/a>\u201d initiative to improve living conditions for those in need.<\/p>\n

CI Capital\u2019s MENA investor conference in New York wraps today<\/b>. It\u2019s the second leg of a two-city gathering that began last week in Cairo. Some 20 EGX-listed companies are participating, including our friends and sponsors CIB and SODIC.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s day two of the WEF in Davos today<\/b>, and the mood among the grand wizards of global capitalism is \u2026 subdued, the Wall Street Journal<\/a> reports: \u201cPolitical paralysis in major developed economies, frayed trading links and concerns about concentration of corporate power created a jittery mood among business executives at the annual World Economic Forum. While many corporate bigwigs in Davos put on a brave face and said the economy has overcome the short-term challenges that manifested in a major market selloff at the end of 2018, there was a brooding sense that major risks lie ahead.\u201d<\/p>\n

The gloominess being prompted by the IMF\u2019s downward revision of its global growth estimate is over-hyped<\/b>, a Bloomberg<\/a> opinion piece argues. In a riposte to the hypochondriacs, the article reminds us that the latest revisions are fairly negligible in the grand scheme of things and projections into 2020 remain stable.<\/p>\n

Globalization 4.0 is this year\u2019s WEF buzz phrase of choice, but what does it actually mean? <\/b>Bloomberg<\/a> gets speculative with a look at what our global economy may be facing in the not-too-distant future. Essentially, the fourth wave of globalization that some believe we are now entering will involve a marked shift towards digitally enabled services, rather than global trading in goods. Opportunities will be opening up in wealthier countries for workers in emerging markets to compete in previously inaccessible skilled service sectors, thanks to new tools and technology.<\/p>\n

Will this fuel populism? Almost certainly.<\/b> The challenges Davos faces in its bid to be open, how to reconcile the inevitable clashes between populism and globalism, and the need to be pragmatic in defense of an open world-trading system are all explored during the video discussion that accompanies the Bloomberg piece (watch, run time: 5:35<\/a>).<\/p>\n

\n

2019 is looking promising for emerging market equities <\/b>as some of the issues underpinning the Great Emerging Markets Zombie Apocalypse of 2018 ease, EM investment manager Ashmore Group says in a report (pdf)<\/a>. \u201cStronger expected economic and earnings growth, lighter investor positioning and depressed valuation multiples\u201d could all help set up a decent run for equities in the year ahead, they write.<\/p>\n

How will your earnings growth stack up? <\/b>Solid corporate earnings supported by a weakening USD and stable domestic growth will drive the EM recovery over the long term. Look for EM earnings to rise about 10% (in USD terms) over the next 12 months, the report says, an expectation Ashmore believes is \u201creasonably prudent and deliverable.\u201d<\/p>\n

China and the US are the elephants in the room: <\/b>Investors are yet to price the risk of continued trade friction between the US and China, which may escalate over the next 12 months. Ashmore is however predicting a negotiated solution sometime this year as political and economic costs rise for both countries.<\/p>\n

Egypt gets a special shout-out:<\/b> \u201cEgypt and Nigeria stand out. In the former case, under powerful leadership the country has completed an IMF programme and devalued the currency. In turn, this has triggered improved economic growth, FDI flows, FX reserves and account balances. As a net energy importer, the volatility of energy prices in 2018 acted to slow the progress in subsidy removal. It also meant inflationary pressure remained high. This prevented the Central Bank from being able to cut interest rates to help kick-start the economy. However, this is a transitory impact and new energy sources coming on stream should reduce this reliance over time. Inflationary pressure has also recently started to print lower which paves the way for more expansionary monetary policy in 2019.\u201d<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the MSCI rally continues: <\/b>Ashmore\u2019s forecast comes as the MSCI Emerging Markets equities index continues<\/a> its most prolonged rally in over a year, signaling an increased risk-appetite among investors.<\/p>\n

\n

What about your first Oscar? <\/b>2019 Oscar nominations are out with Egyptian-American actor Rami Malek nominated for his performance as Freddy Mercury in \u2018Bohemian Rhapsody,\u2019 reports the Washington Post<\/a>. The biopic scored a total of five nominations including one for Best Picture. Director Alfonso Cura\u00f3n\u2019s \u2018Roma\u2019 and 18th Century dark comedy \u2018The Favourite\u2019 both picked up ten nominations while Lady Gaga notched a Best Actress nod for her turn in \u2018A Star Is Born\u2019 and \u2018Black Panther\u2019 made history as the first superhero movie to earn a nomination for Best Picture. We\u2019ll also keep an eye on Spike Lee\u2019s \u2018BlacKKKlansman\u2019 come award night about the true story of a black policeman in 1970s Colorado Springs who infiltrates the local chapter of the Ku Klux Klan. This year\u2019s Oscars is still host-less after comedian Kevin Hart dropped out following criticism of old homophobic jokes and tweets.<\/p>\n

PSA<\/b>- Expect blowing sand across Egypt for the next couple of days<\/b>, the head of the Meteorological Authority Ahmed Abdel Aal said, according to Masrawy<\/a>. Dusty winds will hit the North Coast today and toll south into Cairo and Upper Egypt. Expect daytime highs of 20-22\u00b0C in the capital city through Friday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rejoice, for it is the last business day of the week: Banks and the stock market are closed tomorrow, as are government offices, in observance of the 25 January national holiday, which falls this year on Friday. We\u2019re off tomorrow and will be back in your inboxes at the usual time on Sunday morning. Expect […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[104,115,72,164,272,125,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-600243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-economy","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-equities","tag-imf","tag-investment-watch","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"161bb4c7-576d-46fe-bdff-30fd2a05ce9d","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[600241],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nWhat we\u2019re tracking on 23 January 2019 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/01\/23\/what-were-tracking-on-23-january-2019\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What we\u2019re tracking on 23 January 2019\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Rejoice, for it is the last business day of the week: Banks and the stock market are closed tomorrow, as are government offices, in observance of the 25 January national holiday, which falls this year on Friday. 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A very Merry Christmas to all those of you celebrating today and tomorrow. Enterprise will publish as usual tomorrow, though we suspect it will\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559194,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/01\/13\/what-were-tracking-on-13-january-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":600243,"position":1},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 13 January 2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 January 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"We have plenty of news for you on this fine Wednesday morning, starting with a surprise announcement from the Central Bank of Egypt that the nation\u2019s banks cannot distribute cash dividends for fiscal year 2020, though they may issue dividends in the form of stock. The decision is meant to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559048,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/01\/06\/what-were-tracking-on-6-january-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":600243,"position":2},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 6 January 2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 January 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Merry Christmas to everyone who will be celebrating today and tomorrow \u2014 we wish you a beautiful, relaxing day with family and friends. Banks and the EGX are closing their doors tomorrow in observance of the national holiday, the Central Bank of Egypt and EGX said. We\u2019re also off tomorrow\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559474,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/01\/24\/what-were-tracking-on-24-january-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":600243,"position":3},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 24 January 2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 January 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, friends. The big news this morning: Egypt\u2019s covid-19 vaccination campaign kicks off today targeting the most at-risk frontline healthcare workers \u2014 and we\u2019ll know more about the plan for a wider rollout later in the day as Health Minister Hala Zayed holds a presser this morning. It\u2019s early\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":599515,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/01\/02\/what-were-tracking-on-02-january-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":600243,"position":4},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 02 January 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 January 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Happy New Year, friends, and welcome to 2019. We\u2019re delighted to be back in your inboxes this morning after our end-of-year publication break the first half of this week. Don\u2019t expect a rush of news before the week of 13 January. It\u2019s prime vacation time this week and well into\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597190,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/18\/what-were-tracking-on-18-july-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":600243,"position":5},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 18 July 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Could we finally get our hands on the final IMF loan tranche next week? The IMF\u2019s executive board will make its final decision over the fifth and final review of the USD 12 bn economic reform program on 24 July, potentially paving the way for disbursement at the tail-end of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/600243","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=600243"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/600243\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/600241"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=600243"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=600243"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=600243"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=600243"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=600243"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}