{"id":599827,"date":"2019-01-13T03:37:09","date_gmt":"2019-01-13T03:37:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/01\/13\/egypt-inflation-drops-in-december-falling-within-cbes-year-end-targets\/"},"modified":"2019-01-13T03:37:09","modified_gmt":"2019-01-13T03:37:09","slug":"egypt-inflation-drops-in-december-falling-within-cbes-year-end-targets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/01\/13\/egypt-inflation-drops-in-december-falling-within-cbes-year-end-targets\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt inflation drops in December, falling within CBE\u2019s year-end targets"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Inflation drops in December, falling within CBE\u2019s year-end targets:<\/b> Annual headline inflation dropped to 12.0% in December, down from 15.7% the previous month, according to a statement from the central bank (pdf)<\/a>. Monthly headline inflation also dropped to -3.2%, down from -0.8% in November. Annual core inflation, meanwhile, which doesn\u2019t include volatile goods such as food, rose to 8.3% in December from 7.9% \u201cdue to an unfavorable base effect,\u201d the CBE said, despite month-on-month inflation in fruit and vegetable prices falling 19.5%<\/a>. The CBE had previously said<\/a> it expects inflation to come in at c.13% in 4Q2018 before dropping to the single digits over the course of this year \u201cafter the temporary effect of fiscal supply shock dissipates.\u201d<\/p>\n

The drop in inflation could bode well for interest rates<\/b>: \u201cWith headline inflation now 5.25 percentage points below the 17.25 percent benchmark \u2014 and assuming that underlying factors such as oil prices remain under control \u2014 the central bank may cut interest rates by 100 basis points at its March 28 meeting,\u201d Naeem Holding said, according to Bloomberg<\/a>. CI Capital\u2019s Hany Farahat agrees the CBE could cut rates during 1H2019, but other analysts say it is \u201ctoo early to tell\u201d whether declining inflation will lead the CBE to resume its monetary easing cycle, Reuters adds<\/a>.<\/p>\n

No impact from hike in FX rate for customs on non-essential imports:<\/b> The government\u2019s recent decision to scrap the discounted customs exchange rate for non-essential imports had been expected to send inflation up by as much as 1 ppt, but has yet to register on inflation. That suggests the next few months may see \u201can interim upside,\u201d Naeem says.<\/p>\n

Still, we haven\u2019t seen the end of inflation: The government is about to test letting gasoline prices float +\/- 10%<\/b> in tandem with global oil prices. It will pilot the pricing mechanism with 95 octane fuel<\/a> (which constitutes a tiny fraction of the total market) as early as 2Q2019 and could then extend the test to other grades when it next cuts energy subsidies for its 2019-20 budget cycle.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Inflation drops in December, falling within CBE\u2019s year-end targets: Annual headline inflation dropped to 12.0% in December, down from 15.7% the previous month, according to a statement from the central bank (pdf). Monthly headline inflation also dropped to -3.2%, down from -0.8% in November. Annual core inflation, meanwhile, which doesn\u2019t include volatile goods such as […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":599828,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,182,349,91,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-599827","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-oil-and-gas","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"67bf900a-8bb2-42a1-a077-77b246e74c92","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/1\/1470.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[599822],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEgypt inflation drops in December, falling within CBE\u2019s year-end targets - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/01\/13\/egypt-inflation-drops-in-december-falling-within-cbes-year-end-targets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Egypt inflation drops in December, falling within CBE\u2019s year-end targets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Inflation drops in December, falling within CBE\u2019s year-end targets: Annual headline inflation dropped to 12.0% in December, down from 15.7% the previous month, according to a statement from the central bank (pdf). 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The increase is in line with expectations on the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/1\/565.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":564976,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/10\/inflation-edges-up-in-february-as-education-tobacco-costs-rise\/","url_meta":{"origin":599827,"position":1},"title":"Inflation edges up in February as education, tobacco costs rise","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 March 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Annual urban inflation accelerated to 4.5% in February, up from 4.3% the previous month, state statistics bureau Capmas\u2019 latest reading (pdf) showed. 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Prices fell 0.3% on a monthly basis compared to 1% growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/12\/1406.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":564507,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/02\/10\/headline-inflation-slowed-last-month-does-it-make-a-rate-cut-more-likely\/","url_meta":{"origin":599827,"position":4},"title":"Headline inflation slowed last month \u2014 does it make a rate cut more likely?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 February 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Annual headline inflation in January slowed to its lowest level since September 2020. Urban headline inflation dropped for the second consecutive month to 4.3% from 5.4% in December 2020, and closing in on a 3.7% record low reading last September, figures from state statistics agency Capmas (pdf) and the central\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "SPEED ROUND: ECONOMY"","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: ECONOMY","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/2\/429.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592872,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/","url_meta":{"origin":599827,"position":5},"title":"Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation cools again in October","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Headline inflation cools again in October, ramping up expectations of a rate cut this week: Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation rate dropped for the fifth consecutive month to its lowest level in nine years, hitting 2.4% in October from 4.3% in September, according to Capmas data (pdf) released yesterday. Annual urban\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/11\/2438.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599827","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=599827"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599827\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/599822"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/599828"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=599827"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=599827"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=599827"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=599827"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=599827"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}