{"id":598949,"date":"2019-06-13T04:00:00","date_gmt":"2019-06-13T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/13\/what-were-tracking-on-13-june-2019\/"},"modified":"2019-06-13T04:00:00","modified_gmt":"2019-06-13T04:00:00","slug":"what-were-tracking-on-13-june-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/13\/what-were-tracking-on-13-june-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"What we\u2019re tracking on 13 June 2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Monday\u2019s inflation figures are still receiving attention as we prepare to slide into the weekend.<\/b> Shuaa\u2019s Asset Management Portfolio Manager Aarthi Chandrasekaran <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2019-06-12\/kuwait-stocks-backed-by-fundamentals-shuaa-capital-video\">tells Bloomberg TV<\/a> that the spike in annual headline inflation to 14.1% in May will not have come as a surprise to the central bank, adding that the figures will accelerate further in the coming months due to the planned cuts to fuel and electricity subsidies.<\/p>\n<p><b>Do we have to wait until inflation falls to 10% for further monetary easing?<\/b> Chandrasekaran predicts that the central bank will hold off on further rate cuts over the next two months. We can expect easing to resume when inflation falls to around 10%, she says.<\/p>\n<p><b>How far do interest rates have to fall before businesses go on a capex spending binge?<\/b> That\u2019s the question we posed to nine of Egypt\u2019s leading companies in the food, healthcare, construction, automotive, and financial sectors. Find out what they told us in this morning\u2019s Speed Round below.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"grey-line\">\n<p><b>It looks like we\u2019ll have to wait at least another week before we have the final FY2019-2020 budget: <\/b>The House of Representatives\u2019 general assembly is off next week and will reconvene the following week to tie up any loose ends and vote on the budget, which is expected to be the last item on the agenda before representatives depart for the three-month summer recess (we can\u2019t help but feel that we\u2019re in the wrong line of work). Look for plenty of committee-level news next week.<\/p>\n<p><b>Among the events you may want to mark on your calendars<\/b> before you head off for your own summer breaks:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Our friends at Pharos are holding their <a href=\"http:\/\/enterprise.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/2019Annual-Investor-Conference_PRL_ENG_Final.pdf\"><b>annual investor conference<\/b> (pdf)<\/a> in Hurghada this month from 19-20 June;<\/li>\n<li>President Abdel Fattah El Sisi is expected to attend <a href=\"https:\/\/cca.eventbank.com\/event\/u-s-africa-business-summit-2019-11813\/\"><b>US-Africa Business summit<\/b><\/a>in Mozambique, which runs from 18-21 June;<\/li>\n<li>Middle East and Africa <b>Rail Show<\/b> will take place at the Egypt International Exhibition Center, Nasr City on 16-18 June;<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.terrapinn.com\/exhibition\/seamless-north-africa\/index.stm\"><b>Seamless North Africa<\/b><\/a> will be held at the Nile Ritz-Carlton on 17-18 June;<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/platforms-root-technologies.com\/ctw\/\"><b>Cairo Technology Week<\/b><\/a> will run next week at the Hilton Heliopolis on 17-19 June.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"web-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/ad11f624-8b8c-11e9-a1c1-51bf8f989972\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/928.jpg?ssl=1\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-07\"><\/a><b> A reality check for EM enthusiasts? <\/b>EM growth this century has been dominated by China and India, and the last five years have actually seen more growth in developed markets than in most emerging economies, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/ad11f624-8b8c-11e9-a1c1-51bf8f989972\">the FT suggests<\/a>. An analysis of IMF data by the salmon-colored paper appears to undermine the fundamental EM investment proposition (that they are the source of growth premium and high returns) while the US-China trade war may have exposed a pressing need for a new EM growth model.<\/p>\n<p><b>SIGN OF THE TIMES-<\/b> Global FDI flows contracted for the third consecutive year in 2018, falling to their lowest levels since the 2008 financial crisis, <a href=\"https:\/\/unctad.org\/en\/pages\/newsdetails.aspx?OriginalVersionID=2118\">according to a UN report<\/a>. We\u2019ll be breaking this down for the macro junkies in Sunday\u2019s issue, but until then the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/c5fbb9fa-893d-11e9-a028-86cea8523dc2\">FT<\/a> has you covered.<\/p>\n<p><b>It\u2019s not like we needed another reminder<\/b>, but IMF chief Christine Lagarde and European Central Bank President Mario Draghi are warning that the protectionist trend is posing a threat to the global economy. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2019\/06\/12\/lagarde-and-draghi-warn-about-trade-war.html\">CNBC<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"web-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/362.jpg?ssl=1\"><\/p>\n<p><b>Thousands of protesters have amassed in Hong Kong <\/b>as they demand the government drop bill that would allow extradition to mainland China. Protest organizers said that over 1 mn people took to the streets on Sunday, although official estimates are around 240,000. Protests turned into open clashes with police, who fired tear gas and rubber bullets, Tuesday night and during the day yesterday. Workers and small business owners <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-hongkong-extradition-strikes\/hong-kong-shops-workers-in-rare-strike-to-defend-freedom-idUSKCN1TD0TG\">joined a strike yesterday<\/a> in opposition to the extradition bill. Officials <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-hongkong-extradition\/uneasy-calm-in-hong-kong-after-day-of-violence-over-extradition-bill-idUSKCN1TD2BL\">shut<\/a> \u201cgovernment offices in the city\u2019s financial district for the rest of the week\u201d today after the protests. The BBC has good coverage <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-asia-china-48618484\">here<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-asia-china-48615161\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><b>The Hang Seng fell 2% yesterday<\/b> as the protests added to the growing list of problems (read: the US-China trade war, a weakening yuan, a spike in the interbank rate) weighing down the Asian market. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2019-06-12\/hong-kong-protests-lengthen-list-of-worries-for-stock-traders\">Bloomberg<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"web-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/866.jpg?ssl=1\"><\/p>\n<p>In miscellany this morning:<\/p>\n<p><b>Luc Besson was only three centuries out:<\/b> Melbourne will be the first city outside the US to test the flying taxi-esque UberAir service, which will see \u201celectric vertical take-off\u201d vehicles travelling between \u201cskyports\u201d. Uber plans to commercially launch the futuristic transportation service in 2023. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/technology\/2019\/jun\/12\/uber-air-announces-melbourne-as-trial-city-for-flying-taxi-service\">The Guardian has more<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><b>*** Parents, read this: <\/b>If you\u2019re over the age of 25, your habits are set. You\u2019re either a jerk who makes life miserable for the rest of us forced to share an airline with you. Or you\u2019re one of those forced to suffer through the ill manners and boorish behaviour of the jerks with whom we sahre a metal cylinder in order that we may be hurtled across the earth. Enter the inimitable Tom Nichols, author of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Death-Expertise-Campaign-Established-Knowledge\/dp\/0190469412\/\">The Death of Expertise<\/a> (which we\u2019ve previously noted): His <a href=\"https:\/\/thebulwark.com\/the-six-rules-everyone-should-follow-when-flying\/\"><b>Six rules everyone should follow when flying<\/b><\/a> must be taught to our children.<\/p>\n<p>With Airbus and Boeing set to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/if-your-future-flights-to-europe-feel-more-cramped-heres-why-11560331803?mod=hp_lead_pos9\">make trans-Atlantic flying infinitely worse than it already is<\/a>, the least those of us who have spawned can do is ensure the next generation is composed of better-behaved air travelers than us.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Monday\u2019s inflation figures are still receiving attention as we prepare to slide into the weekend. Shuaa\u2019s Asset Management Portfolio Manager Aarthi Chandrasekaran tells Bloomberg TV that the spike in annual headline inflation to 14.1% in May will not have come as a surprise to the central bank, adding that the figures will accelerate further in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":598950,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[72,182,349,814,927,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-598949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-shuaa-capital","tag-tarek-amer","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"af4f8435-8886-4805-babb-cec323eaddfe","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/441.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[598947],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What we\u2019re tracking on 13 June 2019 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/13\/what-were-tracking-on-13-june-2019\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What we\u2019re tracking on 13 June 2019\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Monday\u2019s inflation figures are still receiving attention as we prepare to slide into the weekend. 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The reading came in at 5.3%, down from 7.2% in January. On a monthly basis, prices remained constant after having risen 0.7% in January. Once again, food prices were primarily responsible: Food\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/3\/132.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":581612,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/16\/economy-back-in-the-spotlight\/","url_meta":{"origin":598949,"position":1},"title":"Economy back in the spotlight","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Economy talk is once again dominating coverage of Egypt in the international press this morning. Egypt is far from peak inflation, says Shuaa strategist: The impact of the EGP devaluation and the impending reductionof fuel subsidies means that \u201cwe are not anywhere close to peak inflation,\u201d Aarthi Chandrasekaran, director of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;EGYPT IN THE NEWS&quot;","block_context":{"text":"EGYPT IN THE NEWS","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/egypt-in-the-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/Shoppers-Cairo-market-Reuters-1.23.23-1600px.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":595490,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/29\/central-bank-of-egypt-cuts-rates-by-100-bps-in-line-with-expectations\/","url_meta":{"origin":598949,"position":2},"title":"Central Bank of Egypt cuts rates by 100 bps, in line with expectations","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"In line with expectations, CBE cuts rates: The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) cut interest rates by 100 bps on Thursday, the CBE said in a statement (pdf). The central bank cited last month\u2019s inflation figures, which hit a six-year low, as well as declining unemployment and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":594912,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/11\/egypts-headline-inflation-falls-to-six-and-a-half-year-lows-in-august\/","url_meta":{"origin":598949,"position":3},"title":"Egypt\u2019s headline inflation falls to six-and-a-half year lows in August","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Headline inflation falls to six-and-a-half year low in August, confounding expectations: Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation rate fell to 7.5% in August from 8.7% in July, a low not seen January 2013, official data showed yesterday. Figures released by Capmas showed that monthly inflation slowed to 0.7% last month from 1.8%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/9\/1816.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":595913,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/08\/14\/egypts-headline-inflation-falls-to-four-year-low-in-july-despite-subsidy-cuts\/","url_meta":{"origin":598949,"position":4},"title":"Egypt\u2019s headline inflation falls to four year low in July despite subsidy cuts","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"14 August 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Headline inflation falls to four-year low in July despite subsidy cuts: Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation rate dropped to 8.7% in July from 9.4% in June, its lowest recording in four years, according toCapmas data released on Thursday. To put that into perspective: headline inflation was at 13.5% in July 2018,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/8\/1072.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592825,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/07\/cbe-to-make-third-consecutive-rate-cut-next-week\/","url_meta":{"origin":598949,"position":5},"title":"CBE to make third consecutive rate cut next week","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- Economists predict CBE will make third consecutive rate cut next Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) could cut benchmark interest rates by 50-100 bps when its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets a week from today, according to five of six economists polled by Enterprise. The economists cited the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/598949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=598949"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/598949\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/598947"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/598950"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=598949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=598949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=598949"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=598949"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=598949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}