{"id":598393,"date":"2019-05-23T03:44:46","date_gmt":"2019-05-23T03:44:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/23\/trade-tensions-are-starting-to-take-their-toll-on-emerging-markets\/"},"modified":"2019-05-23T03:44:46","modified_gmt":"2019-05-23T03:44:46","slug":"trade-tensions-are-starting-to-take-their-toll-on-emerging-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/23\/trade-tensions-are-starting-to-take-their-toll-on-emerging-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Trade tensions are starting to take their toll on emerging markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Trade tensions are starting to take their toll on emerging markets:<\/b> Emerging markets are beginning to feel the strain as escalating trade tensions cause global demand to weaken further, Hung Tran, non-resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/da45d9b6-7c74-11e9-81d2-f785092ab560\">writes in the Financial Times<\/a>. Many EM economies are dependent on exporting commodities and low-end manufacturing products to places like China \u2014 which becomes a problem when a major buyer such as China starts to reduce its orders. As the weight of Trump\u2019s tariffs cause China\u2019s exports to the US to slide, the falling Chinese demand for EM goods and commodities has accelerated. \u201cIncreasingly, EM countries are suffering the collateral damage of the trade war,\u201d Tran says, cautioning that the current headwinds are unlikely to dissipate any time soon.<\/p>\n<p><b>Funds are beginning to dump EM assets:<\/b> Since the collapse of US-China trade talks earlier this month, EM equities have fallen more than 8%, while EM equity exchange-traded funds have seen outflows of USD 10 bn over the past two weeks. Major investment banks such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etftrends.com\/relative-value-channel\/goldman-sachs-dials-back-its-exposure-to-emerging-markets\/\">Goldman Sachs<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/uk.reuters.com\/article\/uk-emerging-jpmorgan\/jpmorgan-cuts-emerging-markets-risk-after-us-china-trade-setback-idUKKCN1SJ0O9\">JPMorgan<\/a> have scaled back their exposure to EM assets as uncertainties over global trade continue to mount.<\/p>\n<p><b>But it could be worse:<\/b> The IMF is currently forecasting emerging markets to grow by 4.4% and emerging Asian economies by 6.3% this year. While these rates are the slowest since 2015 and 2001 respectively, Institute of International Finance economist Sergi Lanau, who predicts \u201croughly stable growth\u201d for EMs this year, reminds us this is still an improvement on what economists were predicting earlier this year. \u201cIt is very different from what people were contemplating a couple of months ago, when the stories sounded a lot like the risk of global recession,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/cac8f500-7886-11e9-bbad-7c18c0ea0201\">he told the FT<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trade tensions are starting to take their toll on emerging markets: Emerging markets are beginning to feel the strain as escalating trade tensions cause global demand to weaken further, Hung Tran, non-resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, writes in the Financial Times. Many EM economies are dependent on exporting commodities and low-end manufacturing products [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":598394,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[115,72,2403,1510,132,3605],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-598393","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-global-economy","tag-the-macro-picture","tag-trade","tag-us-china-trade-war","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"634b53da-ade2-4bb3-8b6b-74c50571f4ab","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/5\/2688.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[598376],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trade tensions are starting to take their toll on emerging markets - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/23\/trade-tensions-are-starting-to-take-their-toll-on-emerging-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trade tensions are starting to take their toll on emerging markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Trade tensions are starting to take their toll on emerging markets: Emerging markets are beginning to feel the strain as escalating trade tensions cause global demand to weaken further, Hung Tran, non-resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, writes in the Financial Times. 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Although EM exports heading to other developing countries did leap from\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/2\/57.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596587,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/02\/the-trade-war-isnt-affecting-emerging-markets-as-much-as-you-thought\/","url_meta":{"origin":598393,"position":1},"title":"The trade war isn\u2019t affecting emerging markets as much as you thought","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The trade war isn\u2019t affecting emerging markets as much as you thought: Ever since Donald Trump made the first move in the ongoing US-China trade duel last year, financial commentators have ruminated on how emerging markets are about to experience a slow-mo economic calamity. But they appear to have jumped\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/2953.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598434,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/26\/em-pmis-best-developed-economies-for-first-time-since-2013\/","url_meta":{"origin":598393,"position":2},"title":"EM PMIs best developed economies for first time since 2013","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Emerging markets have pulled ahead of advanced economies for the first time since 2013 on the latest purchasing managers\u2019 indices (PMI) for services and manufacturing, the Financial Times reports. 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New US-China tensions could dampen the stock market recovery","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 May 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"As good as it gets? New US-China tensions could dampen the stock market recovery: A string of uncertainties could conspire to knock the wind out of the sails of global stock markets this month as investors fret about the potential of renewed US-China conflict complicating the already dire prospects for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/5\/22.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597208,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/18\/development-in-emerging-markets-is-being-held-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":598393,"position":5},"title":"Development in emerging markets is being held back","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Ominous EM outlook of the week: Deglobalization, the Chinese slowdown, and a decade of financial stimulus in advanced economies are holding back emerging markets from catching up with the developed world, Jonathan Wheatley writes in the Financial Times. Emerging markets seemed destined for alignment with the West earlier this century,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/7\/3044.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/598393","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=598393"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/598393\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/598376"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/598394"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=598393"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=598393"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=598393"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=598393"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=598393"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}