{"id":598209,"date":"2019-05-19T03:48:14","date_gmt":"2019-05-19T03:48:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/19\/enterprise-poll-central-bank-of-egypt-to-maintain-rates-despite-drop-in-april-inflation\/"},"modified":"2019-05-19T03:48:14","modified_gmt":"2019-05-19T03:48:14","slug":"enterprise-poll-central-bank-of-egypt-to-maintain-rates-despite-drop-in-april-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/19\/enterprise-poll-central-bank-of-egypt-to-maintain-rates-despite-drop-in-april-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Enterprise poll: Central Bank of Egypt to maintain rates despite drop in April inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-01\"><\/a> <b>SURVEY- CBE to leave key interest rates on hold this Thursday: <\/b>The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) will likely leave key interest rates on hold when its Monetary Policy Committee meets this Thursday, according to all 12 economists polled by Enterprise. Respondents cited the likely impact on inflation of upcoming cuts to subsidies for fuel and electricity. \u201cWe think the CBE will refrain from taking any action now that we\u2019re getting closer to the liberalization of fuel prices this summer,\u201d EFG Hermes\u2019 Mohamed Abu Basha said. The CBE cut its overnight deposit and lending rates by 100 bps <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/stories\/2019\/02\/17\/central-bank-of-egypt-cuts-interest-rates-by-100-bps-in-first-mpc-meeting-in-2019\/\">in February<\/a> to 15.75% and 16.75%, but left them on hold at <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/stories\/2019\/03\/31\/against-expectations-central-bank-of-egypt-leaves-interest-rates-unchanged\/\">its last meeting in March<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><b>Indicators are good: <\/b>\u201cApril's inflation was good, but not to the extent of a cut ahead of the next round of subsidy cuts. Unemployment continues to drop and GDP growth is holding up well, so I don't think the CBE will view monetary action as needed. The only thing in favor of a cut is the stronger EGP,\u201d Renaissance Capital Head of MENA Research Ahmed Hafez said. Annual headline inflation fell to <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/stories\/2019\/05\/12\/egypts-annual-inflation-falls-to-13\/\">13% in April<\/a> from 14.2% in March, potentially as a result of discounted food items the government released in the market ahead of Ramadan. Unemployment fell to 8.1% in 1Q2019, down from 8.9% in 4Q2018, the state statistics agency said <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/stories\/2019\/05\/16\/egypts-unemployment-rate-falls-to-8-1-in-1q2019\/\">earlier this month<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><b>Look for inflation to rise in May and June <\/b>on the back of Ramadan spending and planned subsidy cuts, analysts said. \u201cWe expect monthly inflation to rise in May as a result of higher consumer demand during Ramadan. Moreover, we estimate fuel prices to rise 15%-25% in June-July, compared to average fuel price increases of 31%-42% for octane and diesel in FY2017-2018, resulting in higher monthly inflation in June and July,\u201d HC\u2019s Sara Saada said.<\/p>\n<p><b>So, when will the central bank go back to rate cuts? <\/b>Look for easing to resume toward the end of this year, economists predicted. \u201cI still expect the CBE will resume easing in Q4,\u201d said CI Capital\u2019s Hany Farahat.<\/p>\n<p><b>Could we see a cut this week anyway? <\/b>Only if you squint the right way: \u201cThere is room,\u201d said Beltone\u2019s Alia Mamdouh. \u201cBut the most likely scenario remains a 100 bps cut in rates by the end of the year, accounting for the expected inflationary repercussions of the wider implementation of the fuel indexation mechanism.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SURVEY- CBE to leave key interest rates on hold this Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) will likely leave key interest rates on hold when its Monetary Policy Committee meets this Thursday, according to all 12 economists polled by Enterprise. Respondents cited the likely impact on inflation of upcoming cuts to subsidies for fuel [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":598210,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[611,72,349,724,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-598209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterprise-poll","tag-enterpriseam","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"c92a7ce3-6a30-49a3-9b4b-2161421e0f27","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[598204],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Enterprise poll: Central Bank of Egypt to maintain rates despite drop in April inflation - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/19\/enterprise-poll-central-bank-of-egypt-to-maintain-rates-despite-drop-in-april-inflation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Enterprise poll: Central Bank of Egypt to maintain rates despite drop in April inflation\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"SURVEY- CBE to leave key interest rates on hold this Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) will likely leave key interest rates on hold when its Monetary Policy Committee meets this Thursday, according to all 12 economists polled by Enterprise. 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Citing a recent drop in inflation, the economists and analysts\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":621735,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/11\/18\/central-bank-of-egypt-leaves-interest-rates-unchanged-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":598209,"position":1},"title":"Central Bank of Egypt leaves interest rates unchanged","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 November 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"The central bank of Egypt (CBE) kept key interest rates on hold on Thursday, citing higher-than-expected headline inflation rates in September and October. The bank\u2019s monetary policy committee left the overnight deposit and lending rates at 16.75% and 17.75%, respectively, and also left on hold its main operation and discount\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":633426,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/07\/15\/cbe-to-hold-rates-steady-on-thursday-poll\/","url_meta":{"origin":598209,"position":2},"title":"CBE to hold rates steady on Thursday -Poll","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 July 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"All 13 of the analysts and economists we surveyed see the MPC holding rates steady","rel":"","context":"In &quot;POLL&quot;","block_context":{"text":"POLL","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/poll\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/7\/1086.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596723,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/07\/enterprise-poll-cbe-to-leave-key-interest-rates-on-hold-this-thursday\/","url_meta":{"origin":598209,"position":3},"title":"Enterprise poll: CBE to leave key interest rates on hold this Thursday","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- CBE to leave key interest rates on hold this Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt will leave key interest rates on hold when the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets this Thursday, according to all nine economists polled by Enterprise. Respondents cited the inflationary effects of last weekend\u2019s fuel subsidy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":621549,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/11\/12\/egypts-central-bank-to-hold-key-rates-on-thursday\/","url_meta":{"origin":598209,"position":4},"title":"Egypt\u2019s central bank to hold key rates on Thursday","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 November 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"EXCLUSIVE- Enterprise poll of economists sees CBE leaving interest rates on hold: The central bank is expected to leave its key interest rates on hold when its monetary policy committee meets on Thursday, an Enterprise poll of economists and research houses found. Survey participants expect the CBE will leave its\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":620348,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/05\/20\/cbe-to-leave-interest-rates-unchanged-on-thursday-poll\/","url_meta":{"origin":598209,"position":5},"title":"CBE to leave interest rates unchanged on Thursday -poll","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 May 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"All 11 of the analysts and economists we surveyed expect the MPC to hold rates steady","rel":"","context":"In &quot;POLL&quot;","block_context":{"text":"POLL","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/poll\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/5\/1519.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/598209","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=598209"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/598209\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/598204"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/598210"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=598209"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=598209"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=598209"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=598209"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=598209"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}