{"id":597367,"date":"2019-07-24T04:18:48","date_gmt":"2019-07-24T04:18:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/24\/the-imfs-emerging-markets-outlook-is-looking-sluggish-amid-expectations-for-subdued-global-growth\/"},"modified":"2019-07-24T04:18:48","modified_gmt":"2019-07-24T04:18:48","slug":"the-imfs-emerging-markets-outlook-is-looking-sluggish-amid-expectations-for-subdued-global-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/24\/the-imfs-emerging-markets-outlook-is-looking-sluggish-amid-expectations-for-subdued-global-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"The IMF\u2019s emerging markets outlook is looking sluggish amid expectations for \u201csubdued\u201d global growth"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> The IMF\u2019s emerging markets outlook is looking sluggish amid expectations for \u201csubdued\u201d global growth:<\/b> The IMF has revised downwards its forecasts for emerging markets\u2019 GDP growth in its July update of the World Economic Outlook, saying it sees EMs growing 4.1% and 4.7% in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The figures are 0.3% and 0.1% lower, respectively, from the fund\u2019s last update in April. The EM growth forecast is \u201ca decade low and the second-weakest figure since the dotcom bust of 2002, rather than the 4.4 per cent the IMF pencilled in as recently as April,\u201d the Financial Times notes<\/a>. Global growth, meanwhile, could pick up next year to 3.5% from an expected 3.2% this year. The expected acceleration in global growth remains \u201cprecarious\u201d and is contingent on the resolution of trade conflicts, the recovery of struggling economies such as Turkey and Argentina, and warding off potentially more acute economic collapses in Iran and Venezuela, the fund says.<\/p>\n

All major EM regions have seen downwards revisions to their growth forecasts<\/b> on the back of factors such as rising trade tensions, a high dependence on debt, weak investor sentiment, and policy uncertainty, the fund says. Emerging markets had a weaker-than-expected second quarter, driving the fund to lower its expectations for the remainder of 2019. Latin America is perhaps struggling the most, with the region\u2019s growth outlook bogged down by key players such as Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina, while the \u201ceconomic implosion in Venezuela [continues] to have a devastating impact.\u201d<\/p>\n

What does this all mean for interest rates?<\/b> \u201cAcross emerging market and developing economies, the recent softening of inflation gives central banks the option of becoming accommodative, especially where output is below potential and inflation expectations are anchored. Debt has increased rapidly across many economies. Fiscal policy should therefore focus on containing debt while prioritizing needed infrastructure and social spending over recurrent expenditure and poorly targeted subsidies.\u201d<\/p>\n

You can catch the landing page<\/a> or the full report (pdf)<\/a> here.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The IMF\u2019s emerging markets outlook is looking sluggish amid expectations for \u201csubdued\u201d global growth: The IMF has revised downwards its forecasts for emerging markets\u2019 GDP growth in its July update of the World Economic Outlook, saying it sees EMs growing 4.1% and 4.7% in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The figures are 0.3% and 0.1% lower, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":597368,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[104,115,72,272,1510,273],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-597367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-economy","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-imf","tag-the-macro-picture","tag-world-economic-outlook","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"ebdfaf6e-18b0-4b42-aef5-251d0d1185e7","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/7\/2565.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[597342],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nThe IMF\u2019s emerging markets outlook is looking sluggish amid expectations for \u201csubdued\u201d global growth - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/24\/the-imfs-emerging-markets-outlook-is-looking-sluggish-amid-expectations-for-subdued-global-growth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The IMF\u2019s emerging markets outlook is looking sluggish amid expectations for \u201csubdued\u201d global growth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The IMF\u2019s emerging markets outlook is looking sluggish amid expectations for \u201csubdued\u201d global growth: The IMF has revised downwards its forecasts for emerging markets\u2019 GDP growth in its July update of the World Economic Outlook, saying it sees EMs growing 4.1% and 4.7% in 2019 and 2020, respectively. 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Growth is expected to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/10\/153.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":565117,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/21\/recovery-may-not-trickle-down-to-ems-imf\/","url_meta":{"origin":597367,"position":1},"title":"Recovery may not trickle down to EMs -IMF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 March 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF may update its next World Economic Outlook to reflect signs of a stronger global economic recovery than the 5.5% GDP growth it forecast in January, IMF First Deputy Managing Director Geoffrey Okamoto said in a speech to the China Development Forum, according to Reuters. Okamoto appears to be\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "SPEED ROUND: MACRO"","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: MACRO","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-macro\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":556832,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/10\/20\/uneven-mena-vaccine-rollouts-threaten-regional-recovery-imf-regional-economic-outlook\/","url_meta":{"origin":597367,"position":2},"title":"Uneven MENA vaccine rollouts threaten regional recovery - IMF Regional Economic Outlook","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 October 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The post-covid recovery in Egypt and MENA continues to be \u201cuneven and incomplete\u201d with countries that had made strong progress in vaccination (including Joran, Morocco and Tunisia) likely to recover quicker than those with more sluggish rollouts, like Egypt, the IMF said in its latest Regional Economic Outlook (pdf). Though\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/10\/450.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":548131,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/07\/27\/imf-is-gloomy-and-uncertain-on-global-economy\/","url_meta":{"origin":597367,"position":3},"title":"IMF is \u201cgloomy and uncertain\u201d on global economy","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 July 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF has revised downwards its global growth outlook for this year and next, warning that gathering headwinds are pushing the world closer to recession. In its updated World Economic Outlook (pdf) released yesterday, the Fund cut its 2022 forecast by 0.4 percentage points and now sees the global growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/7\/281.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":556144,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/10\/13\/inequality-threatens-pandemic-recovery-imf-says-in-its-latest-global-outlook\/","url_meta":{"origin":597367,"position":4},"title":"Inequality threatens pandemic recovery, IMF says in its latest global outlook","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 October 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The global recovery is bruised, but not broken: The IMF slightly downgraded its projection for global growth in 2021 to 5.9% in its October World Economic Outlook report (pdf) \u2014 down a slim 0.1 percentage points from 6% in its last update in July. The international lender held its growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/10\/142.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":556338,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/10\/20\/uneven-post-covid-recovery-threatens-mena-regions-imf\/","url_meta":{"origin":597367,"position":5},"title":"Uneven post-covid recovery threatens MENA regions \u2013IMF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 October 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The post-covid recovery in Egypt and MENA continues to be \u201cuneven and incomplete\u201d despite progress made in the region since the start of the year and a slightly more optimistic growth outlook, the IMF said in an update to its Regional Economic Outlook for the Middle East and Central Asia.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/597367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=597367"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/597367\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/597342"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/597368"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=597367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=597367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=597367"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=597367"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=597367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}