{"id":595676,"date":"2019-08-04T04:00:06","date_gmt":"2019-08-04T04:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/08\/04\/egypts-economic-conditions-could-allow-cbe-to-accelerate-easing-cycle-hc-securities\/"},"modified":"2019-08-04T04:00:06","modified_gmt":"2019-08-04T04:00:06","slug":"egypts-economic-conditions-could-allow-cbe-to-accelerate-easing-cycle-hc-securities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/08\/04\/egypts-economic-conditions-could-allow-cbe-to-accelerate-easing-cycle-hc-securities\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt\u2019s economic conditions could allow CBE to accelerate easing cycle -HC Securities"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Egypt\u2019s economic conditions could allow CBE to accelerate easing cycle, fully reverse monetary tightening by 2020 -HC Securities:<\/b> Improving economic conditions and the anticipated cool-down of inflation once the full effect of fuel subsidy cuts wear off should give the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) enough breathing room to begin an accelerated easing cycle, HC Securities & Investment wrote in a report (pdf)<\/a>. \u201cWe now expect the CBE to accelerate its planned rate cuts, with a possible 100-200 bps cut in 2H19e before another 200-300 cut bps in 2020e, fully reversing the initial 700 bps hike. On our numbers, this should take average [net interest margins] NIMs for banks under coverage to 4.5%-5.0% by 2024e from 5.5%-6.9% over 2017-18.\u201d<\/p>\n

Reminder: Capex borrowing won\u2019t pick up until interest rates drop.<\/b> The investment bank notes that a bank survey found that private businesses are waiting for interest rates to drop 300-400 bps to resume capex borrowing. Our own survey of nine companies<\/a> across several industries found that businesses are waiting for interest rates to fall within pre-float levels of 10-13% before ramping up capex borrowing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Egypt\u2019s economic conditions could allow CBE to accelerate easing cycle, fully reverse monetary tightening by 2020 -HC Securities: Improving economic conditions and the anticipated cool-down of inflation once the full effect of fuel subsidy cuts wear off should give the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) enough breathing room to begin an accelerated easing cycle, HC […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[271,72,811,349,724,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-595676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-central-bank-of-egypt","tag-enterpriseam","tag-hc-securities","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"5f2d0de8-72a8-4fd3-a8a5-6ccf6e007e88","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"f8c16edd-996b-4f84-87b5-21f7a0ec8924","story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[595665],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEgypt\u2019s economic conditions could allow CBE to accelerate easing cycle -HC Securities - 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The return to easing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":591925,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/12\/22\/enterprise-poll-central-bank-of-egypt-to-keep-rates-on-hold-in-final-meeting-of-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":595676,"position":1},"title":"Enterprise poll: Central Bank of Egypt to keep rates on hold in final meeting of 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 December 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- Economists expect CBE to keep rates on hold in final meeting of 2019: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) will leave interest rates on hold when its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets this Thursday, according to seven of 10 economists polled by Enterprise. This is the lowest rate of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/12\/CBE-1600px.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559643,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/01\/31\/keep-it-steady\/","url_meta":{"origin":595676,"position":2},"title":"Keep it steady","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 January 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"ENTERPRISE POLL- CBE expected to leave interest rates on hold in its first meeting of 2021: Eleven out of 12 economists and analysts surveyed by Enterprise expect the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE)\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to leave rates unchanged when it meets this Thursday, 4 February. 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The decision comes amid growing global concern about a new, faster\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/12\/434.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":568133,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/12\/20\/hold-your-horses\/","url_meta":{"origin":595676,"position":4},"title":"Hold your horses","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 December 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"ENTERPRISE POLL- The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) will leave rates on hold when its Monetary Policy Committee holds its final meeting of the year on Thursday, according to an Enterprise poll. All 10 economists and analysts we surveyed expect the central bank to hold off on further easing, citing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "POLL"","block_context":{"text":"POLL","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/poll\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/12\/325.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592825,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/07\/cbe-to-make-third-consecutive-rate-cut-next-week\/","url_meta":{"origin":595676,"position":5},"title":"CBE to make third consecutive rate cut next week","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- Economists predict CBE will make third consecutive rate cut next Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) could cut benchmark interest rates by 50-100 bps when its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets a week from today, according to five of six economists polled by Enterprise. 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