{"id":594404,"date":"2019-10-29T04:11:28","date_gmt":"2019-10-29T04:11:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/"},"modified":"2019-10-29T04:11:28","modified_gmt":"2019-10-29T04:11:28","slug":"egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt still expected to outperform EMs, regional oil importers on GDP, but debt pressure is \u201cacute,\u201d IMF says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-01\"><\/a><b> Egypt still expected to outperform EMs, regional oil importers on GDP, but debt pressure is \u201cacute,\u201d IMF says:<\/b> GDP growth across MENAP oil importers is expected to average at 3.6% in 2019 and 3.7% in 2020, the IMF said in its <a href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/10\/768.pdf\">October 2019 Regional Economic Outlook (pdf)<\/a>. When excluding Pakistan and Sudan, which are driving down the regional average, MENAP oil importers are forecast to see average economic growth at 4.4% this year. That\u2019s still lower than the <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/stories\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/\">5.5% growth forecast<\/a> the IMF penciled in for Egypt this year in its World Economic Outlook, which it released earlier this month. Growth in Egypt is expected to remain \u201cstrong\u201d on the back of rising gas production and tourism recovery, the IMF says.<\/p>\n<p><b>Egypt got props as a model case when it comes to progress on structural reforms<\/b>, which the IMF says was key in balancing social and economic challenges. The report notes that the government\u2019s reform program helped to narrow the current account and fiscal deficits, while driving up growth and foreign reserves, and driving down inflation, unemployment, and debt figures.<\/p>\n<p><b>But we\u2019ve still got some ways to go when it comes to reforms:<\/b> Egypt needs to focus on improving its business climate and curb the state\u2019s involvement in the economy to make way for private sector investments that will spur growth, the fund says. The country currently needs to create 700k new jobs per annum to keep up with new entrants to the labor force \u2014 a target that will only be achievable through a \u201ctransparent, market-driven economy.\u201d The fund also stresses that female labor force participation in Egypt, Mauritania, Morocco, and Tunisia is currently low despite being a \u201chuge untapped resource,\u201d which requires significant investments in education and health services to unlock.<\/p>\n<p><b>Debt and interest payments remain the biggest risk for Egypt and oil importers:<\/b> Gross financing needs for Egypt, Lebanon, Pakistan, and Mauritania are quite high; Egypt\u2019s financing needs (which the fund notes accounts for the impact of debt maturity) are nearly double the size of government revenues. This is creating \u201cacute\u201d pressure on government budgets and are creating less space for the government to allocate funding to investments that are of \u201ccritical\u201d importance for the region\u2019s long-term growth trajectory. Consistently rising interest payments is \u201cthe largest component of short-term budgetary pressure\u201d for Egypt, Lebanon, and Pakistan.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Egypt still expected to outperform EMs, regional oil importers on GDP, but debt pressure is \u201cacute,\u201d IMF says: GDP growth across MENAP oil importers is expected to average at 3.6% in 2019 and 3.7% in 2020, the IMF said in its October 2019 Regional Economic Outlook (pdf). When excluding Pakistan and Sudan, which are driving [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":594405,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[7106,115,72,272,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-594404","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-debt","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-imf","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"4f213e0d-2900-4e7d-90ec-bdbc64860c8c","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/10\/1549.png","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[594399],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Egypt still expected to outperform EMs, regional oil importers on GDP, but debt pressure is \u201cacute,\u201d IMF says - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Egypt still expected to outperform EMs, regional oil importers on GDP, but debt pressure is \u201cacute,\u201d IMF says\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Egypt still expected to outperform EMs, regional oil importers on GDP, but debt pressure is \u201cacute,\u201d IMF says: GDP growth across MENAP oil importers is expected to average at 3.6% in 2019 and 3.7% in 2020, the IMF said in its October 2019 Regional Economic Outlook (pdf). When excluding Pakistan and Sudan, which are driving [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-10-29T04:11:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/10\/1549.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"Egypt still expected to outperform EMs, regional oil importers on GDP, but debt pressure is \u201cacute,\u201d IMF says\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-10-29T04:11:28+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/\"},\"wordCount\":405,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/10\/1549.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"debt\",\"emerging markets\",\"EnterpriseAM\",\"IMF\",\"SPEED ROUND\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Speed Round\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/\",\"name\":\"Egypt still expected to outperform EMs, regional oil importers on GDP, but debt pressure is \u201cacute,\u201d IMF says - 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In the context of its IMF-supported program, improving\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/5\/2646.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598872,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/11\/standard-chartered-gives-thumbs-up-to-egypts-economic-reform-program\/","url_meta":{"origin":594404,"position":2},"title":"Standard Chartered gives thumbs up to Egypt\u2019s economic reform program","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 June 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Standard Chartered gives thumbs up to Egypt\u2019s economic reform program: Egypt will be the only oil-importing Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan (MENAP) economy to see accelerating economic growth in the coming years, Standard Chartered has said in a report. The British bank predicts anaemic growth in other MENAP oil-importers,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/1541.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":556832,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/10\/20\/uneven-mena-vaccine-rollouts-threaten-regional-recovery-imf-regional-economic-outlook\/","url_meta":{"origin":594404,"position":3},"title":"Uneven MENA vaccine rollouts threaten regional recovery - IMF Regional Economic Outlook","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 October 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The post-covid recovery in Egypt and MENA continues to be \u201cuneven and incomplete\u201d with countries that had made strong progress in vaccination (including Joran, Morocco and Tunisia) likely to recover quicker than those with more sluggish rollouts, like Egypt, the IMF said in its latest Regional Economic Outlook (pdf). Though\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/10\/450.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":647135,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/05\/03\/imf-reo-says-inflation-should-abate-as-one-off-factors-subside-debt-levels-remain-high\/","url_meta":{"origin":594404,"position":4},"title":"IMF REO says inflation should abate as one-off factors subside, debt levels remain high","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"3 May 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF\u2019s Regional Economic Outlook report came out yesterday and was broadly in line with expectations. The Fund says \u201ca more favorable global environment is helping to improve economic prospects in the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan (MENAP), although growth prospects remain subdued. To improve growth and boost\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":636875,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/11\/02\/net-oil-importers-expected-to-see-growth-rise-to-4-3-in-2017\/","url_meta":{"origin":594404,"position":5},"title":"Net oil importers expected to see growth rise to 4.3% in 2017","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 November 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Net oil importers in the MENA region, including Egypt, can expect to see their growth rise to 4.3% this year from 3.6% in 2016, the IMF said in its Regional Economic Outlook October 2017 report. The upswing is expected to persist in 2018, supported by increasing domestic demand, supportive reforms,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/594404","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=594404"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/594404\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/594399"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/594405"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=594404"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=594404"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=594404"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=594404"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=594404"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}