{"id":593994,"date":"2019-10-16T04:13:30","date_gmt":"2019-10-16T04:13:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/"},"modified":"2019-10-16T04:13:30","modified_gmt":"2019-10-16T04:13:30","slug":"imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF downgrades expectations for 2019 global growth amid \u201csynchronized slowdown\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-01\"><\/a><b> IMF downgrades 2019 global growth outlook to 3%:<\/b> The global economy is in a \u201csynchronized slowdown,\u201d IMF Chief Economist Gita Gopinath said in the fund\u2019s latest <a href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2021\/4\/text-3.pdf\">World Economic Outlook (pdf)<\/a>, which has again downgraded its 2019 growth projections to 3.0% from 3.3% in its April report. Growth is expected to rebound slightly in 2020 to 3.4%, albeit at a slower rate than the 3.6% forecast in April. The IMF attributes the downgrade to a \u201cgeographically broad-based\u201d slump in manufacturing and global trade, driven by an increase in tariffs and a contraction in the auto sector caused in part by new emission standards in the Eurozone and China. The latest outlook was released to coincide with the annual meetings of the IMF and the World Bank, which are taking place this week in Washington, DC.<\/p>\n<p><b>Stimulus in advanced economies and emerging markets has helped mitigate the impact of economic headwinds<\/b>, including the persistence in US-China trade tensions, which alone could be responsible for shaving 0.8% off global growth in 2020. Without this, we could have instead been looking at just 2.5% growth this year and 2.9% in 2020, Gopinath says.<\/p>\n<p><b>The problem remains in advanced economies,<\/b> which are expected to see growth plateau at 1.7% this year and the next. Emerging markets and developing economies will pick up the slack, seeing growth accelerate from 3.9% this year to 4.2% in 2020. \u201cAbout half of this is driven by recoveries or shallower recessions in stressed emerging markets, such as Turkey, Argentina, and Iran, and the rest by recoveries in countries where growth slowed significantly in 2019 relative to 2018, such as Brazil, Mexico, India, Russia, and Saudi Arabia,\u201d the report says.<\/p>\n<p><b>What are the forecasts for Egypt?<\/b> Growth is forecast at 5.5% in 2019, 5.9% in 2020, and 6.0% in 2024. The current account deficit is expected to rise to 3.1% in 2019 before easing to 2.8% in 2020. Meanwhile, the IMF sees inflation rising back to 9.4% by the end of 2019, before falling back to 8.7% by the end of 2020.<\/p>\n<p><b>How does this square with the IMF\u2019s projections in July?<\/b> Making a direct comparison between the latest outlook and the forecast given in the fund\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/stories\/2019\/10\/13\/imf-out-with-final-review-of-egypts-reform-program\/\">most recent economic review<\/a> is tricky, given that it uses calendar years for the outlook and fiscal years for the review. Nevertheless, there doesn\u2019t seem to have been a drastic change in thinking over the past three months: the IMF predicted Egypt\u2019s GDP would grow 5.9% during the current fiscal year and see inflation reaching 9.6% by the end of the year in June 2020.<\/p>\n<p><b>The IMF wants to agree a post-loan program with Egypt to help it continue on its reform path<\/b>, Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly on the sidelines of the meetings yesterday, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/EgyptianCabinet\/posts\/1381282698716758\">a cabinet statement<\/a>. She highlighted the need for continued reform of the lower levels of government, and urged Madbouly to continue developing the country\u2019s human capital. The government was originally looking to secure a non-loan agreement <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/stories\/2019\/06\/26\/egypt-hopes-to-reach-a-non-loan-program-agreement-with-imf-before-october\/\">by the end of this month<\/a>, but the <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/stories\/2019\/07\/01\/imf-says-no-talks-with-egypt-over-new-program\/\">IMF refused to open talks<\/a> until the current program had finished.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>IMF downgrades 2019 global growth outlook to 3%: The global economy is in a \u201csynchronized slowdown,\u201d IMF Chief Economist Gita Gopinath said in the fund\u2019s latest World Economic Outlook (pdf), which has again downgraded its 2019 growth projections to 3.0% from 3.3% in its April report. Growth is expected to rebound slightly in 2020 to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":593995,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,272,2380,3605,273],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-593994","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-imf","tag-speed-round","tag-us-china-trade-war","tag-world-economic-outlook","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"6b560a3f-9844-47d8-b99c-70110f021397","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2020\/10\/153.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[593989],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>IMF downgrades expectations for 2019 global growth amid \u201csynchronized slowdown\u201d - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMF downgrades expectations for 2019 global growth amid \u201csynchronized slowdown\u201d\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"IMF downgrades 2019 global growth outlook to 3%: The global economy is in a \u201csynchronized slowdown,\u201d IMF Chief Economist Gita Gopinath said in the fund\u2019s latest World Economic Outlook (pdf), which has again downgraded its 2019 growth projections to 3.0% from 3.3% in its April report. Growth is expected to rebound slightly in 2020 to [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-10-16T04:13:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/10\/153.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"IMF downgrades expectations for 2019 global growth amid \u201csynchronized slowdown\u201d\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-10-16T04:13:30+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/\"},\"wordCount\":501,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/10\/153.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"EnterpriseAM\",\"IMF\",\"SPEED ROUND\",\"US-China trade war\",\"World Economic Outlook\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Speed Round\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/16\/imf-downgrades-expectations-for-2019-global-growth-amid-synchronized-slowdown\/\",\"name\":\"IMF downgrades expectations for 2019 global growth amid \u201csynchronized slowdown\u201d - 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The international lender held its growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/10\/142.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":542966,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/01\/26\/egypt-bucks-the-trend-as-imf-downgrades-global-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":593994,"position":1},"title":"Egypt bucks the trend as IMF downgrades global growth","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 January 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF downgraded its projection for global growth in 2022 to 4.4% in its World Economic Outlook update, down 0.5 percentage points from its last outlook report in October. The lender sees growth slowing to 3.8% in 2023, noting that, although this forecast is 0.2 percentage points higher than its\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/1\/340.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":602922,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/04\/10\/the-global-economy-is-in-a-delicate-moment-imf\/","url_meta":{"origin":593994,"position":2},"title":"The global economy is in a \u201cdelicate moment,\u201d- IMF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 April 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The global economy is in a \u201cdelicate moment,\u201d the IMF says: The global economy is in a \u201cdelicate moment\u201d, IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath has said in the fund\u2019s latest World Economic Outlook (pdf), which predicts growth to slow to 3.3% this year, down from 3.6% in 2018. Growth is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/10\/153.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":548131,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/07\/27\/imf-is-gloomy-and-uncertain-on-global-economy\/","url_meta":{"origin":593994,"position":3},"title":"IMF is \u201cgloomy and uncertain\u201d on global economy","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 July 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF has revised downwards its global growth outlook for this year and next, warning that gathering headwinds are pushing the world closer to recession. In its updated World Economic Outlook (pdf) released yesterday, the Fund cut its 2022 forecast by 0.4 percentage points and now sees the global growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/7\/281.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":590804,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/07\/26\/imf-sees-lower-growth-sharply-higher-inflation-in-egypt-next-year\/","url_meta":{"origin":593994,"position":4},"title":"IMF sees lower growth, sharply higher inflation in Egypt next year","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 July 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The Fund expects growth to slow to 3.7% this year","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/7\/1027.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":627001,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/07\/17\/imf-warns-of-global-economic-instability-in-its-world-economic-outlook-update\/","url_meta":{"origin":593994,"position":5},"title":"IMF warns of global economic instability in its World Economic Outlook Update","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 July 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"IMF warns of global economic instability in its World Economic Outlook Update: \u201cAmid rising tensions over international trade, the broad global expansion that began roughly two years ago has plateaued and become less balanced,\u201d The IMF said in its July update of the World Economic Outlook. While the IMF continues\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/593994","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=593994"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/593994\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/593989"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/593995"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=593994"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=593994"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=593994"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=593994"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=593994"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}