{"id":592872,"date":"2019-11-11T04:09:56","date_gmt":"2019-11-11T04:09:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/"},"modified":"2019-11-11T04:09:56","modified_gmt":"2019-11-11T04:09:56","slug":"egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation cools again in October"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a id=\"tldr-story-01\" class=\"content-anchor\"><\/a> <strong>Headline inflation cools again in October, ramping up expectations of a rate cut this week<\/strong><strong>:<\/strong> Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation rate dropped for the fifth consecutive month to its lowest level in nine years, hitting 2.4% in October from 4.3% in September, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.capmas.gov.eg\/Pages\/ShowHmeNewsPDF.aspx?page_id=\/Admin\/News\/PressRelease\/20191198150_%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A8%D9%8A%D8%A7%D9%86%20%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B5%D8%AD%D9%81%D9%8A%2010-2019.pdf&Type=News\">according to Capmas data (pdf)<\/a> released yesterday. Annual urban inflation decelerated to 3.1% from 4.8% the month prior. <a href=\"https:\/\/af.reuters.com\/article\/egyptNews\/idAFL8N27P0DI\">Reuters<\/a> also has the story.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Prices of education goods and services soar as food and beverage inflation <\/strong><strong>continues to cool:<\/strong> October inflation was primarily driven by a 28.9% y-o-y increase in the prices of goods and services in the education sector, including textbooks and stationery. Meanwhile, after being the key culprits of inflation over the past several months, food and beverage prices dropped 2.1% y-o-y. Pharos\u2019 head of research Rada El Swaify had said last month that the government\u2019s efforts to maintain food supply levels to put a cap on price volatility has helped inflation levels to beat expectations for several months.<\/p>\n<p><strong>We again have a high base effect to thank, but that factor could soon fizzle<\/strong>, Naeem Holding\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2019-11-09\/egypt-inflation-at-9-year-low-in-boost-for-central-bank-rate-cut\">Allen Sandeep tells Bloomberg<\/a>. He says that it remains unclear whether the CBE will maintain its aggressive easing cycle as the high base effect \u201cshould last just a few more months.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Everyone and their mother has priced in a rate cut this week:<\/strong> Inflation hitting a new low has made it all the more likely that the CBE will move to cut rates again when it meets at the end of this week on Thursday, 14 November. <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/stories\/2019\/11\/07\/cbe-to-make-third-consecutive-rate-cut-next-week\/\">Five of six economists we surveyed last week<\/a> are calling a rate cut this week, El Swaify tells Reuters she expects a 100 bps rate cut, which Shuaa Securities\u2019 Esraa Ahmed had also penciled in last week in our interest rate poll.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The dissenters:<\/strong> CI Capital\u2019s Noaman Khalid tells Bloomberg he expects the CBE to keep rates on hold this week and at its next meeting on 26 December. Khalid warns that the central bank should slow down the pace of rate cuts to be able to correctly measure the impact its past easing decisions have had on the economy, while also leaving room down the road for more cuts if need be. Renaissance Capital had also told us last week it expects rates to remain unchanged on Thursday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Headline inflation cools again in October, ramping up expectations of a rate cut this week: Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation rate dropped for the fifth consecutive month to its lowest level in nine years, hitting 2.4% in October from 4.3% in September, according to Capmas data (pdf) released yesterday. Annual urban inflation decelerated to 3.1% from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":592873,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[330,271,72,182,349,724,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-592872","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-capmas","tag-central-bank-of-egypt","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"de9bd11a-4cf2-4833-b05f-cfa91794c98b","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/11\/2438.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[592867],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation cools again in October - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation cools again in October\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Headline inflation cools again in October, ramping up expectations of a rate cut this week: Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation rate dropped for the fifth consecutive month to its lowest level in nine years, hitting 2.4% in October from 4.3% in September, according to Capmas data (pdf) released yesterday. Annual urban inflation decelerated to 3.1% from [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-11-11T04:09:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/11\/2438.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation cools again in October\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-11-11T04:09:56+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/\"},\"wordCount\":388,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/11\/2438.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"CAPMAS\",\"Central Bank of Egypt\",\"EnterpriseAM\",\"inflation\",\"interest rates\",\"monetary policy\",\"SPEED ROUND\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Speed Round\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/\",\"name\":\"Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation cools again in October - 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Urban inflation slipped to 6.3%, down from 6.6% in September, which was the highest\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/11\/414.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":576134,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/11\/11\/inflation-hits-four-month-high-in-october\/","url_meta":{"origin":592872,"position":1},"title":"Inflation hits four-month high in October","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 November 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Annual headline inflation accelerated to 4.6% in October from 3.7% inSeptember, according to Capmas figures (pdf) released yesterday. October\u2019s inflation figure is the highest since July\u2019s 4.2%. Reuters and Bloomberg also had the story. The delayed start to the academic year was the main driver, with the prices of educational\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/11\/115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":593854,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/13\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-falls-again-in-september-clearing-the-way-for-more-cuts\/","url_meta":{"origin":592872,"position":2},"title":"Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation falls again in September, clearing the way for more cuts","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 October 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Headline inflation falls again in September, clearing the way for more rate cuts: Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation rate dropped for the fourth consecutive month to 4.3% in September from 7.5% in August, its lowest recording in nearly seven years, according to Capmas data (pdf) released on Thursday. Annual urban inflation\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/10\/2304.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":572107,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/06\/11\/egypts-inflation-decelerated-in-may-to-4-7-below-expectations\/","url_meta":{"origin":592872,"position":3},"title":"Egypt\u2019s inflation decelerated in May to 4.7%, below expectations","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 June 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"We caught a break: Inflation cools to six-month low: Annual urban inflation in May slowed to its lowest level since November, dropping to 4.7% from 5.9% in April, according to data from state statistics agency Capmas. Food and beverage prices continue to be the main drivers: Food prices fell 0.7%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/6\/133.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":553861,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/12\/12\/urban-inflation-dips-to-lowest-level-since-july\/","url_meta":{"origin":592872,"position":4},"title":"Urban inflation dips to lowest level since July","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 December 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Annual urban inflation slowed for the second month running in November as pressure on food prices continued to ease, according to official figures released on Thursday. The headline rate fell to 5.6% last month from 6.3% in October, the lowest rate since July and within the lower end of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/12\/291.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":542436,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/11\/inflation-inches-down-in-november-defying-expectations\/","url_meta":{"origin":592872,"position":5},"title":"Inflation inches down in November, defying expectations","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 December 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Annual headline urban inflation fell to 12.3% in November","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2025\/2\/945.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/592872","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=592872"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/592872\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/592867"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/592873"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=592872"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=592872"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=592872"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=592872"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=592872"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}