{"id":591243,"date":"2019-12-01T04:21:41","date_gmt":"2019-12-01T04:21:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/12\/01\/can-emerging-markets-still-emerge\/"},"modified":"2019-12-01T04:21:41","modified_gmt":"2019-12-01T04:21:41","slug":"can-emerging-markets-still-emerge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/12\/01\/can-emerging-markets-still-emerge\/","title":{"rendered":"Can emerging markets still emerge?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-06\"><\/a> <strong>Can emerging markets still emerge?<\/strong> The rapid pace at which jobs are automated and declining birth rates will make it harder for emerging markets to escape the middle income trap and transition to developed country status, <a href=\"https:\/\/grizzle.com\/emerging-markets-middle-income-trap\/\">writes Christopher Wood<\/a>, global head of equity strategy at Jefferies. The labor-based, mass manufacturing economy \u2014 used by developing countries such as South Korea, China and Taiwan to build advanced economies \u2014 is increasingly under threat from new technologies and data-driven business models. This means that the next generation of newly-emerging economies will find themselves without a blueprint and be forced to find their own development paths.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Slowing population growth will also give emerging markets a headache:<\/strong> Asian emerging markets, in particular, will struggle to maintain productivity levels as workforces age and population growth rates stall. As far as Egypt is concerned, we are likely to face quite the opposite problem, with UN population estimates forecasting our population to spiral in the coming decades.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Deglobalization isn\u2019t helping:<\/strong> The global financial crisis and the Donald Trump-inspired destabilization of global supply chains has succeeded in cutting off a significant amounts of foreign direct investment that could prove vital for helping emerging markets escape the middle income gap. In the 12 years since 2007, FDI inflows to EMs as a proportion of GDP has halved to 1.9% from 3.8%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Can emerging markets still emerge? The rapid pace at which jobs are automated and declining birth rates will make it harder for emerging markets to escape the middle income trap and transition to developed country status, writes Christopher Wood, global head of equity strategy at Jefferies. The labor-based, mass manufacturing economy \u2014 used by developing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":591244,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[9254,104,115,72,103,131,639,1510],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-591243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-automation","tag-economy","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-fdi","tag-manufacturing","tag-technology","tag-the-macro-picture","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"bd515738-640e-44d8-a991-543186b41335","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/12\/382.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[591225],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Can emerging markets still emerge? - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/12\/01\/can-emerging-markets-still-emerge\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Can emerging markets still emerge?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Can emerging markets still emerge? The rapid pace at which jobs are automated and declining birth rates will make it harder for emerging markets to escape the middle income trap and transition to developed country status, writes Christopher Wood, global head of equity strategy at Jefferies. 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- EnterpriseAM Egypt","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/12\/01\/can-emerging-markets-still-emerge\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Can emerging markets still emerge?","og_description":"Can emerging markets still emerge? The rapid pace at which jobs are automated and declining birth rates will make it harder for emerging markets to escape the middle income trap and transition to developed country status, writes Christopher Wood, global head of equity strategy at Jefferies. 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Many EM economies are dependent on exporting\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/5\/2688.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597833,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/06\/emerging-economies-face-uncertainty-as-we-enter-the-age-of-automation\/","url_meta":{"origin":591243,"position":1},"title":"Emerging economies face uncertainty as we enter the age of automation","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Robots and AI will eat jobs in emerging markets: Emerging countries are the most vulnerable to job losses caused by the increasing role of automation, artificial intelligence, and robots in the economy, OECD research has found. All 11 emerging markets included in the OECD\u2019s analysis are among the 17 countries\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/5\/2118.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598886,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/11\/etfs-a-magnet-for-em-investors-but-not-all-markets-are-equal\/","url_meta":{"origin":591243,"position":2},"title":"ETFs a magnet for EM investors \u2014 but not all markets are equal","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 June 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"EM ETFs attract USD 84 bn in inflows in 16 months \u2014 but not all markets are equal: ETFs that specialize in emerging markets drew some USD 84 bn in the 16 months leading up to mid-April. But statistics from financial data provider EPFR show that 80% of inflows went\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/1232.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598434,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/26\/em-pmis-best-developed-economies-for-first-time-since-2013\/","url_meta":{"origin":591243,"position":3},"title":"EM PMIs best developed economies for first time since 2013","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Emerging markets have pulled ahead of advanced economies for the first time since 2013 on the latest purchasing managers\u2019 indices (PMI) for services and manufacturing, the Financial Times reports. After a bumpy year, emerging markets\u2019 aggregate reading for the two indices comes in at 52.4 for EMs, suggesting that annual\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/5\/537.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597208,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/18\/development-in-emerging-markets-is-being-held-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":591243,"position":4},"title":"Development in emerging markets is being held back","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Ominous EM outlook of the week: Deglobalization, the Chinese slowdown, and a decade of financial stimulus in advanced economies are holding back emerging markets from catching up with the developed world, Jonathan Wheatley writes in the Financial Times. Emerging markets seemed destined for alignment with the West earlier this century,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/7\/3044.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597367,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/24\/the-imfs-emerging-markets-outlook-is-looking-sluggish-amid-expectations-for-subdued-global-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":591243,"position":5},"title":"The IMF\u2019s emerging markets outlook is looking sluggish amid expectations for \u201csubdued\u201d global growth","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF\u2019s emerging markets outlook is looking sluggish amid expectations for \u201csubdued\u201d global growth: The IMF has revised downwards its forecasts for emerging markets\u2019 GDP growth in its July update of the World Economic Outlook, saying it sees EMs growing 4.1% and 4.7% in 2019 and 2020, respectively. 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