{"id":591002,"date":"2023-07-30T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-30T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/07\/30\/morgan-stanley-cuts-egypt-growth-outlook\/"},"modified":"2023-07-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-07-30T00:00:00","slug":"morgan-stanley-cuts-egypt-growth-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/07\/30\/morgan-stanley-cuts-egypt-growth-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Morgan Stanley cuts Egypt growth outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>Bulge bracket investment bank Morgan Stanley has lowered its growth <\/strong><strong>outlook for Egypt<\/strong>, writing in a research note seen by <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AsharqbEGY\/status\/1684949338647060482?s=20\" style=\"\">Asharq Business<\/a> that it expects the economy to expand at a 4.2% clip during FY 2023-2024, down from 5.0% previously. This comes less than a week after the IMF revised downwards its 2024 growth forecast <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/db88caa3-3c4b-4a6a-b81c-f91cd46d3e2c\" style=\"\">to 4.1% from 5.0%<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Another deval incoming: <\/strong>Morgan Stanley analysts expect another EGP devaluation in September or October, coinciding with when it expects the IMF to go ahead with its first review of the USD 3 bn loan program, <a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/3rQ94hC\" style=\"\">Masrawy<\/a> reports. The bank expects the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) to hike interest rates by another 200 bps to 20.25% alongside the devaluation. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>We could be looking at another uneventful MPC meeting this week: <\/strong>Morgan Stanley is expecting the Central Bank of Egypt to leave rates unchanged when it meets on Thursday, citing the government\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/1f59098e-47ac-42cc-964c-b84096549959\" style=\"\">recent progress<\/a> with its privatization agenda and its impact on stabilizing the exchange rate, according to Masrawy. The central bank has left interest rates on hold in the previous two MPC meetings. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analysts expect authorities to devalue the currency again in September or October<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":591003,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[271,104,72,2234,349,508],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-591002","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-central-bank-of-egypt","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-foreign-exchange","tag-interest-rates","tag-morgan-stanley","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"a8466130-8880-4a71-b32b-3b1b25dc24dd","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/7\/1172.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Morgan Stanley cuts Egypt growth outlook","related_issue":[590991],"teaser":"Analysts expect authorities to devalue the currency again in September or October","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2023\/7\/.ea1bd3f3-d56b-4072-b047-1d5f4d34d8a3.mp3"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - 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PLUS: Good news from Morgan Stanley","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 March 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The USD 20 bn figure includes the USD 8 bn IMF package","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/3\/755.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":593903,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/14\/what-were-tracking-on-14-october-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":591002,"position":2},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 14 October 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"14 October 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank start today and wrap up on Sunday, with the talk of the town these days being the global economic outlook for 2019. The IMF will weigh in on the question everybody\u2019s been asking for months: Is the world economy sliding into\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;What We're Tracking Today&quot;","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":607520,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/10\/04\/intesa-sanpaolo-lowers-its-2023-growth-forecast-for-egypt\/","url_meta":{"origin":591002,"position":3},"title":"Intesa Sanpaolo lowers its 2023 growth forecast for Egypt","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 October 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The Italian bank is the latest to lower expectations for the country\u2019s growth growth due to the ongoing economic crisis","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/10\/288.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":585192,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/04\/12\/rising-rates-risk-global-growth-imf-warns\/","url_meta":{"origin":591002,"position":4},"title":"Rising rates risk global growth, IMF warns","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 April 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cChances of a hard landing have risen sharply,\u201d IMF warns","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/4\/519.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":579278,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/01\/imf-trims-egypt-growth-forecast\/","url_meta":{"origin":591002,"position":5},"title":"IMF trims Egypt growth forecast","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF has cut its economic growth forecast for Egypt, saying it sees GDP growing 4.0% this year, a 0.4 percentage point trim from its previous forecast in October, according to its updated World Economic Outlook released yesterday (here and here, pdf). That\u2019s in line with forecasts from the Madbouly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/2\/3.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/591002","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=591002"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/591002\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/590991"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/591003"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=591002"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=591002"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=591002"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=591002"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=591002"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}