{"id":590801,"date":"2023-07-26T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-26T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/07\/26\/its-fed-day\/"},"modified":"2023-07-26T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-07-26T00:00:00","slug":"its-fed-day","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/07\/26\/its-fed-day\/","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s Fed day"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, wonderful people, and welcome to an unusually brisk news day <\/strong> for a hot, muggy summer morning. <\/p>\n

Driving the agenda here at home this morning: <\/strong> If your thoughts (like ours) are starting to turn to your 2024 budget process, you\u2019re going to want to read this morning\u2019s lead story. The IMF might be holding its growth forecast for Egypt steady, but it\u2019s changing course on inflation: Its latest forecast sees prices rising faster in 2024 than they did this year<\/strong>, a development that could see all of us looking ahead to another year of rising wage (and other) costs. <\/p>\n

Also making headlines: <\/strong> The Big Two state-owned banks are about to come out with new USD certificates of deposit, a military-affiliated institution has taken 20% of Taqa Arabia (though Qalaa Holdings has a re-purchase option), and more. <\/p>\n

<\/a> PSA- The current<\/strong> heat wave will last through tomorrow<\/strong>, E gyptian Meteorological Authority spokesperson Manar Ghanem told Kelma Akhira last night ( watch, runtime: 2:10<\/a>). \u201cBy Friday night, we will start to feel wind activity making temperatures cooler,\u201d she said. <\/p>\n

Our favorite weather app suggests a more \u2026 nuanced picture: <\/strong> The 14-day forecast sees the mercury at 43\u00b0C today and tomorrow in the capital city, 44\u00b0C on Friday and then 38-39\u00b0C Sunday, Monday and Tuesday before it spikes back into the low 40s through. <\/p>\n

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HAPPENING TODAY- <\/strong> <\/p>\n

<\/a> Can we expect to hear something from the government today about the power <\/strong> crisis <\/strong> that has seen rolling blackouts sweep much of the nation?<\/strong> Nighttime talk show host Amr Adib had suggested earlier this week that the government would hold a press conference by today to provide updates on how it plans to address the electricity shortages and when it expects normal service to be resumed. <\/p>\n

C<\/strong> hatter in <\/strong> the local pre<\/a><\/strong> ss<\/a><\/strong> is that the Electricity Ministry is earmarking some EGP 2 bn to <\/strong> cover mazut imports <\/strong> to fire generation plants in a bid to partially make up for the shortfall in natural gas that sees generation well behind current demand. Government sources told us earlier this week<\/a> that they plan to import increased quantities of fuel oil to plug the shortfall of gas supplies responsible for the blackouts. <\/p>\n

<\/a> It\u2019s Fed day: <\/strong> The US Federal Reserve will announce its decision on interest rates this evening following the end of its two-day policy meeting. <\/p>\n

It\u2019s looking like a rate hike: <\/strong> Predictions see<\/a> the Fed resuming its tightening cycle by raising rate another 25 bps. The Fed \u201cdoes not want to be head-faked by the recent deceleration in inflation and declare victory too soon,\u201d KPMG\u2019s Diane Swonk wrote in a note cited by Reuters<\/a>. The expected hike would take the fed funds rate target range to 5.25-5.5%, the highest since the aftermath of the dot-com bust in 2001, and comes in the wake of optimistic inflation that showed consumer prices growing at their slowest rate since March 2021. <\/p>\n

The Central Bank of Egypt will next pick up the question a week from tomorrow<\/strong> when its Monetary Policy Committee meets to review rates . We\u2019ll be out with our customary pre-MPC poll on Sunday. <\/p>\n

HAPPENING THIS WEEK- <\/strong> <\/p>\n

<\/a> El Sisi-Putin talks tomorrow:<\/strong> President Abdel Fattah El Sisi will be in St. Petersburg tomorrow and Friday to attend the Russia-Africa summit<\/a>, according to Russian media<\/a>, which say that he will hold talks with President Vladimir Putin tomorrow. Putin will also reportedly be meeting with Ethiopian PM Abiy Ahmed, who last week agreed with El Sisi<\/a> to accelerate efforts to find a solution to the long-running GERD dispute. <\/p>\n

\u00b4The future of the grain pact will be near the top of the agenda for African delegates:<\/strong> African heads of state will discuss with Putin on Friday Moscow\u2019s recent decision to pull out of the grain export pact<\/a> with Ukraine, a move which threatens to provoke a fresh food crisis among African nations reliant on imports of Ukrainian wheat, Reuters<\/a> reports. <\/p>\n

Russia has moved to reassure African nations in recent days<\/strong>, with Putin pledging<\/a> to continue to provide grain and fertilizer, and a Kremlin foreign policy aide emphasizing that Moscow isn\u2019t ruling out a return to the pact, provided its demands are met. <\/p>\n

HAPPENING NEXT WEEK- <\/strong> <\/p>\n

<\/a> The National Dialogue is back next Sunday: <\/strong> The dialogue is resuming its general sessions starting Sunday, with get-togethers planned on political rights, trade unions, and local administration, Dialogue General Coordinator Diaa Rashwan told Hadith Al Akhbar ( watch, runtime: 8:48<\/a>). On Tuesday, the dialogue will discuss public debt and social justice, while Thursday\u2019s sessions will focus on cultural industries and post-divorce issues. <\/p>\n

The dialogue committees yesterday met <\/strong> to discuss the recommendations brought up during previous sessions regarding parliamentary elections<\/a>, according to a statement<\/a>. The dialogue kicked off in May<\/a>, holding three weekly sessions discussing political, economic, and social issues. <\/p>\n

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The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n

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THE BIG STORIES ABROAD-<\/strong> <\/p>\n

There\u2019s no single story dominating the global front pages this morning:<\/strong> Bloomberg<\/a> and the Washington Post<\/a> are still leading with the escalating political crisis in Israel<\/strong>, the Wall Street Journal<\/a> and CNBC<\/a> are looking ahead to this evening\u2019s Federal Reserve rate decision<\/strong>, and the New York Times<\/a> and the Associated Press<\/a> are focused on US immigration policy<\/strong>. <\/p>\n

AND- China has recycled its foreign minister (kinda). <\/strong> Foreign Minister Qin Gang is unceremoniously out after a month of silence, replaced by veteran diplomat (and former foreign minister) Wang Yi. Reuters<\/a> and the New York Times<\/a> are reading the tea leaves. <\/p>\n

Also capturing the world\u2019s imagination: It costs a lot to play with AI. <\/strong> Reuters<\/a>, the Financial<\/a> Times<\/a>, and the Wall Street Journal<\/a> all have front-page looks at how costs are rising sharply at Microsoft and Google as they dip their toes into the next frontier of computing. <\/p>\n

MUST READ- The Economist is just a little bit apprehensive about where Western <\/strong> markets are heading<\/strong>, noting that the AI boom has \u201cturned into an everything boom\u201d and wondering if we\u2019re not in a \u201ceuphoria\u201d stage that signals the beginning of the end of the bull market. Read: Investors are seized by optimism. Can the bull market last?<\/a> <\/p>\n

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WATCH THIS SPACE #1- It looks like we are sidestepping an ecological disaster <\/strong> that <\/strong> could <\/strong> have wiped out Red Sea tourism. <\/strong> The United Nations has stepped up, having launched yesterday a salvage operation off the coast of Yemen to drain oil from the FSO Safer. The USD 140 mn operation<\/a> aims to prevent a disaster that would have dwarfed the Exxon Valdez spill: The rapidly-deteriorating Safer contains about 4x the amount of oil<\/a>. <\/p>\n

The op to drain the oil could take 19 days \u2014 and avert what the UN thinks would have <\/strong> been a USD 20 bn cleanup.<\/strong> The Safer and its 1.1 mn barrels of oil have been stranded on the coast of Yemen \u2014 the civil war has prevented it from being maintained. ( UN<\/a> | CNBC<\/a> | Associated Press<\/a>) <\/p>\n

WATCH THIS SPACE #2- Countries around the world are stockpiling Indian rice, many in <\/strong> a panic<\/strong>, after the world\u2019s largest rice exporter banned the international sale of non-basmati rice on the back of concerns about supply. Canada\u2019s CBC<\/a> has more. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDARS- The Enterprise Finance Forum is taking place on 18-19 September at the St. Regis Hotel in Cairo.<\/strong> This flagship forum is the latest in our must-attend series of invitation-only, C-suite-level gatherings that allow senior members of our community to openly and frankly discuss critical issues in key sectors of the economy. <\/p>\n

TAP OR CLICK HERE<\/a><\/strong> if you want to express interest in attending. We\u2019ll be sending out the first batch of invitations soon. <\/p>\n

Do you want to become a commercial partner?<\/strong> Ping a note to Moustafa Taalab, our head of commercial<\/a>, or fill out this form<\/a> and we\u2019ll be in touch. <\/p>\n

Check out our full calendar on the web<\/a><\/strong> for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

*** It\u2019s Hardhat day \u2014 your weekly briefing of all things infrastructure in Egypt:<\/strong> Enterprise\u2019s industry vertical focuses each Wednesday on infrastructure, covering everything from energy, water, transportation, and urban development, as well as social infrastructure such as health and education. <\/p>\n

In today\u2019s issue: <\/strong> New changes aim to make yacht tourism a bigger source of foreign exchange. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Expect another 25-bps hike, taking rates to their highest level in 22 years<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":590802,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[72,8780,349,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-590801","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-enterpriseam","tag-federal-reserve","tag-interest-rates","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"eab1e711-5b0f-45ff-9953-8b75edf40b4c","order":"0","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"4","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/7\/1056.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Federal Reserve to announce interest rate decision this evening","related_issue":[590799],"teaser":"Expect another 25-bps hike, taking rates to their highest level in 22 years","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2023\/7\/.0da330a7-edf6-4fea-b5c8-764f4768c7c4.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nIt\u2019s Fed day - 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The BIG STORY ABROAD and the BIG STORY here at home are in sync this morning: The World Bank is warning that things could be about to get very That\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":578306,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/12\/22\/this-morning-expect-another-mega-rate-hike-when-the-central-bank-meets-later-today\/","url_meta":{"origin":590801,"position":1},"title":"THIS MORNING: Expect another mega-rate hike when the central bank meets later today","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 December 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, dear readers, and congratulations on making it to the end of another week. Like many of you, we're going to be turning on our OoO responders on Sunday and having ourselves an extended weekend for the Christmas break. We'll be back in your inboxes on Monday at the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/12\/479.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":578263,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/12\/21\/this-morning-another-year-with-no-state-funded-hajj-trips-sbf-extradition-today\/","url_meta":{"origin":590801,"position":2},"title":"THIS MORNING: Another year with no state-funded Hajj trips + SBF extradition today","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 December 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning ladies and gents. There may be only seven working days remaining of the year but 2022 shows no signs of wanting to take a time out. Here in Egypt we have a crucial central bank policy meeting tomorrow and \u2014 as the IMF\u2019s Egypt mission chief reminds us\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/12\/445.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":550084,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/13\/this-morning-grab-your-jackets-another-day-of-imf-watching\/","url_meta":{"origin":590801,"position":3},"title":"THIS MORNING: Grab your jackets + another day of IMF-watching","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 October 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, kind people, and happy Thursday. We\u2019re stumbling bleary-eyed toward the finish line on another long week \u2014 and our reward is a bucketload of news. There\u2019s something for everyone here, from the latest in state stake sales, to cabinet measures to ease FX shortages and imports of everything\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559796,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/02\/04\/what-were-tracking-on-3-february-2021-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":590801,"position":4},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 3 February 2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 February 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, everyone \u2014 we made it through another week together, and our just reward is \u2026 rainapocalypse?Today would be a great day to WFH: Expect rain with intermittent thunder and lightning in Cairo and Alexandria, the national weather service says. Rain is also forecast to sweep the Delta, there\u2019s\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":554313,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/12\/29\/this-morning-its-the-final-enterpriseam-issue-of-2021-recapping-a-year-packed-with-fresh-investment-ma-and-a-freshly-restocked-ipo-program\/","url_meta":{"origin":590801,"position":5},"title":"THIS MORNING: It\u2019s the final EnterpriseAM issue of 2021, recapping a year packed with fresh investment, M&A and a freshly restocked IPO program","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 December 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, wonderful people, and welcome to our final issue of EnterpriseAM for 2021. We hope the year has been kind to you and that you\u2019re looking forward to 2022 as much as we are.THANK YOU, all of you, for choosing to start and end your days with us. Writing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/590801","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=590801"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/590801\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/590799"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/590802"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=590801"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=590801"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=590801"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=590801"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=590801"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}