{"id":579384,"date":"2023-02-05T04:00:38","date_gmt":"2023-02-05T04:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/05\/markets-fall-as-strong-us-jobs-data-raises-expectations-for-more-rate-hikes\/"},"modified":"2023-02-05T04:00:38","modified_gmt":"2023-02-05T04:00:38","slug":"markets-fall-as-strong-us-jobs-data-raises-expectations-for-more-rate-hikes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/05\/markets-fall-as-strong-us-jobs-data-raises-expectations-for-more-rate-hikes\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets fall as strong US jobs data raises expectations for more rate hikes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-08\"><\/a> <strong>US job growth signals further Fed rate tightening ahead: <\/strong>Interest-rate futures traders priced in further rate 25 bps hikes in March and May in light of strong jobs figures in January, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/us\/fed-seen-more-likely-lift-rates-above-5-after-strong-jobs-report-2023-02-03\/\">Reuters<\/a> reports. The US job market grew sharply last month with the addition of more than 500k jobs prompting a drop in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/us-job-growth-accelerates-january-wage-gains-moderate-2023-02-03\/\">unemployment rate to 3.4%<\/a>, the lowest in more than half a century. The Federal Reserve moved last week to hike rates by <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/d7613652-a053-4047-9a69-0b30e9a89c0d\">25 bps to a target range of 4.5-4.75%<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The prospect of more tightening triggered a sell-off in the markets:<\/strong> Stocks, bonds, gold, oil and crypto all fell on Friday while the USD strengthened as markets reacted to the prospect of rates moving higher than expected in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Bad week for oil:<\/strong> Brent futures fell almost 8% during the week, including a 3.0% slide on Friday, to its lowest level since 11 January. US crude also fell 8% during the five-day period to its weakest since 5 January.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Investors are worrying less about EM defaults: <\/strong>The cost of financial products that protect investors against sovereign default in emerging markets fell to the lowest in almost a year on the back of the weakening greenback and hopes that slowing US rate hikes will give developing countries more breathing room, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-02-03\/emerging-market-default-risk-falls-back-to-pre-ukraine-war-level\">Bloomberg<\/a> reports. An IHS Markit index that tracks credit default swaps linked to 18 EM sovereigns fell to 211 bps on Friday \u2014 the lowest level since Russia invaded Ukraine last February.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Egyptian CDS have fallen back but remain elevated:<\/strong> The cost of insuring against default on Egypt\u2019s one-year t-bills is currently around 500 bps, down significantly from the peak of almost 1,800 last July but still up significantly from lows in 2021.<\/p>\n<p><strong>ALSO WORTH NOTING<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Global food prices continue to fall in January: <\/strong>Global food prices fell for the 10th consecutive month in January, according to the UN food price index, which fell 0.8% m-o-m to 131.2 points, 18% below its peak last March. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fao.org\/newsroom\/detail\/global-food-prices-decline-further-in-january\/en\">FAO<\/a>)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Deutsche Bank reports bumper 2022 earnings:<\/strong> Germany\u2019s largest lender reported net income of EUR 5.7 bn in 2022 \u2014 its highest since 2007, according to its <a href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/2\/Deutsche-Bank-Q4-2022-Media-Release.pdf\">earnings<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/2\/Deutsche-Bank-Q4-2022-Media-Release.pdf\">release (pdf)<\/a>. In the fourth quarter, the bank reported EUR 1.8 bn in net profit attributable to shareholders \u2014 almost <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/02\/02\/deutsche-bank-smashes-profit-expectations-in-fourth-quarter-as-higher-interest-rates-bolster-revenue.html\">double analysts\u2019 expectations<\/a> \u2014 though shares fell 2.4% due to weaker investment bank revenues and uncertainty over the economic outlook.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Everything\u2019s under control, India\u2019s market regulator tells investors <\/strong><strong>following Adani wipeout:<\/strong> India's market regulator moved to ease investors\u2019 concerns yesterday following last week\u2019s rout of Adani Group firms which have lost more than USD 100 bn of market value. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sebi.gov.in\/media\/press-releases\/feb-2023\/sebi-statement-on-market-stability_67831.html\">Statement<\/a>)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class='stock-ticker-panel'>\n<table class='table stock-ticker-table table-striped markets-table'>\n<tbody>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16,256<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-0.9% (YTD: +11.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Buy 30.22<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sell 30.31<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>USD at CIB<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Buy 30.23<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sell 30.33<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-none'>\n<td class='td-list-none'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Interest rates CBE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>17.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,702<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-0.8% (YTD: +2.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>9,931<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>+0.7% (YTD: -2.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3,383<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>+0.5% (YTD: +1.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>4,136<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-1.0% (YTD: +7.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,902<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>+1.0% (YTD: +6.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Euro St<\/strong><strong>o<\/strong><strong>xx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>4,258<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>+0.4% (YTD: +12.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>USD 79.94<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-2.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>USD 2.41<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-1.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>USD 1,876.60<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-2.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>USD 23,420<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>+0.2% (YTD: +41,7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>The EGX30 fell 0.9% at Thursday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 1.87 bn (4.2% above the 90-day average). Foreign investors were net sellers. The index is up 11.4% YTD.<\/p>\n<p><strong>In the green: <\/strong>Edita Food Industries (+11.0%), Juhayna (+2.7%) and Credit Agricole Egypt (+1.2%).<\/p>\n<p><strong>In the red: <\/strong>Oriental Weavers (-8.6%), GB Auto (-6.5%) and Elsewedy Electric (-6.0%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>US job growth signals further Fed rate tightening ahead: Interest-rate futures traders priced in further rate 25 bps hikes in March and May in light of strong jobs figures in January, Reuters reports. The US job market grew sharply last month with the addition of more than 500k jobs prompting a drop in the unemployment [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":579385,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[115,72,119,91,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-579384","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-oil-and-gas","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"a53bbf1d-1f50-4c23-baa8-5b44624e7526","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"e363dde9-78c7-41f2-b86d-922199a1e143","story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/2\/77.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[579362],"teaser":"","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/ej-content-files\/.792d5861-dc23-4588-bda5-f8ce483d23f9.mp3"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Markets fall as strong US jobs data raises expectations for more rate hikes - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/05\/markets-fall-as-strong-us-jobs-data-raises-expectations-for-more-rate-hikes\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Markets fall as strong US jobs data raises expectations for more rate hikes\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"US job growth signals further Fed rate tightening ahead: Interest-rate futures traders priced in further rate 25 bps hikes in March and May in light of strong jobs figures in January, Reuters reports. 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