{"id":579177,"date":"2023-01-29T04:07:29","date_gmt":"2023-01-29T04:07:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/29\/morgan-stanley-is-wagering-on-a-roaring-20s-for-emerging-markets\/"},"modified":"2023-01-29T04:07:29","modified_gmt":"2023-01-29T04:07:29","slug":"morgan-stanley-is-wagering-on-a-roaring-20s-for-emerging-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/29\/morgan-stanley-is-wagering-on-a-roaring-20s-for-emerging-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Morgan Stanley is wagering on a roaring \u201820s for emerging markets"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Are the 2020s set to be the decade of emerging markets<\/strong>? Morgan Stanley Investment Management last week said it is pulling money out of the US stock market and putting it into equities in developing economies. \u201cEvery decade, there is a new leader in the market. In the 2010s, it was US stocks and mega-cap tech \u2026 Leaders of this decade can clearly be emerging-market and international stocks,\u201d the fund\u2019s deputy CIO and head of EM macro research, Jitania Kandhari, told Bloomberg<\/a>.<\/p>\n

EM have certainly gotten off to a good start this year: <\/strong>EM stocks and bonds are seeing near-record inflows as investor optimism returns on the back of falling inflation and China reopening following three years of covid lockdowns, according to the Financial Times<\/a>. Emerging equity and debt markets saw USD 1.1 bn of inflows a day last week, driven by Chinese inflows of around USD 800 mn, exceeding two-decade peaks.<\/p>\n

EM have outperformed developed markets so far this year:<\/strong> The MSCI gauge of EM stocks has surged 8.6% in this month compared to US stocks rising 4.7%, according to Bloomberg. Estimates by the news outlet have emerging economies growing 4.1% this year and 4.4% in 2024, compared to 0.5% and 1.2% in the US. Meanwhile, JPMorgan is forecasting EM growth to be 1.4 percentage points higher than in developed markets, the FT says.<\/p>\n

But: <\/strong>\u201cThe first and second quarters [of 2023] will see an uplift in China, there\u2019s no doubt about that \u2026 but much of that is now priced in by markets . . . We may have seen the lion\u2019s share of the rally in this cycle,\u201d an EM bond fund manager told the salmon-colored paper.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\"Up\"<\/td>\nEGX30 <\/strong><\/td>\n16,791<\/td>\n+2.1% (YTD: +15.0%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"None\"<\/td>\nUSD (CBE)<\/strong><\/td>\nBuy 29.86<\/td>\nSell 29.94<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"None\"<\/td>\nUSD at CIB<\/strong><\/td>\nBuy 29.84<\/td>\nSell 29.94<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"None\"<\/td>\nInterest rates CBE<\/strong><\/td>\n16.25% deposit<\/td>\n17.25% lending<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"Up\"<\/td>\nTadawul<\/strong><\/td>\n10,822<\/td>\n+0.1% (YTD: +3.3%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"Down\"<\/td>\nADX<\/strong><\/td>\n9,738<\/td>\n-2.6% (YTD: -4.6%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"Down\"<\/td>\nDFM<\/strong><\/td>\n3,329<\/td>\n-0.8% (YTD: -0.2%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"Up\"<\/td>\nS&P 500<\/strong><\/td>\n4,071<\/td>\n+0.3% (YTD: +6.0%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"Up\"<\/td>\nFTSE 100<\/strong><\/td>\n7,765<\/td>\n+0.1% (YTD: +4.2%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"Up\"<\/td>\nEuro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/td>\n4,178<\/td>\n+0.1% (YTD: +10.1%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"Down\"<\/td>\nBrent crude<\/strong><\/td>\nUSD 86.66<\/td>\n-0.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"Up\"<\/td>\nNatural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/td>\nUSD 2.85<\/td>\n-<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"Down\"<\/td>\nGold<\/strong><\/td>\nUSD 1,945.60<\/td>\n-0.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"Down\"<\/td>\nBTC<\/strong><\/td>\nUSD 23,009<\/td>\n-0.3% (YTD: +39.2%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 2.1% at Wednesday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 2.55 bn (47.8% above the 90-day average). Egyptian investors were net sellers. The index is up 15.0% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Credit Agricole Egypt (+9.1%), Oriental Weavers (+6.5%) and Juhayna (+5.8%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Eastern Company (-3.3%), e-Finance (-0.5%) and CIRA Education (-0.4%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Are the 2020s set to be the decade of emerging markets? Morgan Stanley Investment Management last week said it is pulling money out of the US stock market and putting it into equities in developing economies. \u201cEvery decade, there is a new leader in the market. In the 2010s, it was US stocks and mega-cap […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":579178,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[115,72,164,119,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-579177","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-equities","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"a43d8c9e-29ac-4f3b-9151-319c1f948a38","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"7dee1ffc-75d0-4032-9399-5a7b53c92434","story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/484.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[579151],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nMorgan Stanley is wagering on a roaring \u201820s for emerging markets - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/29\/morgan-stanley-is-wagering-on-a-roaring-20s-for-emerging-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Morgan Stanley is wagering on a roaring \u201820s for emerging markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Are the 2020s set to be the decade of emerging markets? 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The market saw the biggest single-day gain in three weeks, helped by the US Federal Reserve\u2019s ending of covid-19 dividend restrictions\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":542742,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/01\/13\/high-real-rates-ward-off-bears-in-em-fx-markets-ksa-plans-equities-splurge\/","url_meta":{"origin":579177,"position":2},"title":"High real rates ward off bears in EM FX markets + KSA plans equities splurge","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 January 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Bearish sentiment on emerging-market currencies is lifting as traders u-turn on assumptions that the asset class will be hit when the Federal Reserve starts to hike rates later this year, Bloomberg reports. The MSCI index of EM currencies hit a four-month high last week as rate hikes in developing economies\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":578969,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/19\/chinas-comeback-to-see-oil-demand-hit-a-record-high-in-2023-european-em-equities-gain-popularity-as-wall-street-takes-a-kicking\/","url_meta":{"origin":579177,"position":3},"title":"China\u2019s comeback to see oil demand hit a record high in 2023 + European, EM equities gain popularity as Wall Street takes a kicking","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 January 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"China\u2019s loosening of covid-19 restrictions is forecasted to boost oil demand to a record high this year of 101.7 mn barrels per day, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said yesterday. Expect to see a tighter market as \u201cRussian supply slows under the full impact of sanctions [while] China will drive\u2026\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/336.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":574644,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/","url_meta":{"origin":579177,"position":4},"title":"Is the tech-driven EM rally running out of steam?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 September 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Has the EM rally peaked? In recent months a handful of largely China-based tech stocks have gone on a tear to put a floor underneath emerging-market stocks, bringing emerging markets on par with equities in developed countries. Outside of China, though, the outlook is a little more precarious. WIth the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/9\/188.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":550449,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/27\/coming-recession-could-be-short-and-shallow-say-economists\/","url_meta":{"origin":579177,"position":5},"title":"Coming recession could be short and shallow, say economists","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 October 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The global economy could be heading into a recession \u2014 but it might not be so bad: Economists polled by Reuters see the global economy growing at just a 2.3% clip next year as a recession becomes more certain amid spiraling inflation and volatility in global markets. Only six out\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579177","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=579177"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579177\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/579151"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/579178"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=579177"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=579177"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=579177"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=579177"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=579177"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}