{"id":579051,"date":"2023-01-23T03:58:51","date_gmt":"2023-01-23T03:58:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/23\/everyones-an-optimist-all-of-a-sudden\/"},"modified":"2023-01-23T03:58:51","modified_gmt":"2023-01-23T03:58:51","slug":"everyones-an-optimist-all-of-a-sudden","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/23\/everyones-an-optimist-all-of-a-sudden\/","title":{"rendered":"Everyone\u2019s an optimist all of a sudden"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Planet Finance is feeling upbeat and we hardly know how to react. <\/strong>The financial press is continuing to ride a wave of optimism out of the tail-end of the World Economic Forum in Davos. As we reported in yesterday\u2019s EnterprisePM<\/a>, market-watchers and economists no longer seem so sure there will be a global recession this year as China\u2019s reopening, lower energy prices, and cooling inflation give the lie to months of doom-mongering. Expect upward revisions when the IMF releases its updated 2023 growth projections at the end of the month<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Markets are less certain a recession is coming, says JPM:<\/strong> Seven of nine asset classes tracked by JPMorgan are now signaling less than a 50% chance of recession, a major about turn from just a few months ago when investors saw an economic downturn as a foregone conclusion, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. \u201cMost asset classes have been steadily pricing out recession risks helped by China reopening, the collapse of gas prices in Europe and larger than expected inflation downshifting in the US,\u201d said a strategist at the US investment bank.<\/p>\n

Other indicators aren\u2019t quite as optimistic:<\/strong> The S&P 500 is still suggesting a 73% probability of recession, but this is down markedly from 98% last year.<\/p>\n

The eurozone could avoid recession altogether this year, <\/strong>the Financial Times<\/a> reports, citing a closely-watched survey by Consensus Economics which it says \u201cillustrates the sharp about-turn in global economic sentiment in the past couple of weeks.\u201d The survey had been predicting recession for the bloc as recently as last month, but January\u2019s results saw economists predict 0.1% growth on average in 2023.<\/p>\n

AND- IPO in an unexpected locale:<\/strong> Abraj Energy Services will go public in March by selling up to 49% of the company on the Muscat Stock Exchange, as Oman looks to join a listings boom that has swept the Gulf in recent years. The IPO could raise as much as USD 500 mn<\/a>. Our friends at EFG Hermes are among the advisors working on the offering. (Statement<\/a> | Bloomberg<\/a>)<\/p>\n

ALSO- Saudi management consultancy <\/strong>TAM<\/a><\/strong> is looking to list on Tadawul\u2019s small-cap market <\/strong>in the first half of this year, Bloomberg<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16,119<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +10.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 29.80<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 29.89<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD at CIB<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 29.79<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 29.89<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates CBE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

17.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,725<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +2.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,187<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: -0.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,353<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.0% (YTD: +0.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,973<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.9% (YTD: +3.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,771<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +4.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,120<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +8.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 87.63<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.17<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 1,944.90<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 22,582<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.2% (YTD: +36.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 0.3% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 2.15 bn (26.4% above the 90-day average). Regional investors were net buyers. The index is up 10.4% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Housing and Development Bank (+10.3%), Juhayna Food Industries (+6.0%) and Palm Hills Development (+5.1%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Alexandria Containers and Cargo Handling (-2.3%), Eastern Company (-1.9%) and Heliopolis Housing and Development (-1.7%).<\/p>\n

Asian markets<\/strong> are largely up in early trading this morning<\/strong> and futures suggest Europe will open to a sea of green as markets continue to ride the recent wave of optimism. But the tide may already be turning on Wall Street, where futures are firmly in the red ahead of open later on today.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Planet Finance is feeling upbeat and we hardly know how to react. The financial press is continuing to ride a wave of optimism out of the tail-end of the World Economic Forum in Davos. As we reported in yesterday\u2019s EnterprisePM, market-watchers and economists no longer seem so sure there will be a global recession this […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":579052,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[10538,104,72,119,78,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-579051","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-abraj-energy","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-ipo-watch","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"62246ac7-c4a5-4418-a896-1aed1971d702","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"2c46f748-6ac4-4b6c-9ba6-e183cfced663","story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/393.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[579028],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEveryone\u2019s an optimist all of a sudden - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/23\/everyones-an-optimist-all-of-a-sudden\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Everyone\u2019s an optimist all of a sudden\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Planet Finance is feeling upbeat and we hardly know how to react. 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Conference Board\u2019s poll of 750 CEOs and other C-suite execs found that more than\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":581295,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/07\/odds-of-us-recession-now-just-25-according-to-goldman\/","url_meta":{"origin":579051,"position":1},"title":"Odds of US recession now just 25%, according to Goldman","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The odds of a US recession are dwindling, according to Goldman: Goldman Sachs has slashed estimates for the likelihood of a US recession in the next year to 25% on the back of last week\u2019s stronger-than-expected labor data, falling inflation, and signs of improving business sentiment, Bloomberg reports. The US\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/9\/goldman-1600px.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":550182,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/17\/eu-wants-a-price-cap-on-its-gas-markets-more-us-economists-expect-recession\/","url_meta":{"origin":579051,"position":2},"title":"EU wants a price cap on its gas markets + More US economists expect recession","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 October 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The EU wants to cap prices in its benchmark gas market: The European Commission will propose an emergency price cap on transactions on the benchmark Dutch TTF, in the region\u2019s latest bid to tame spiraling energy prices, according to an official document seen by Bloomberg and the Financial Times. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":587093,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/05\/22\/investors-are-betting-on-em-assets-amid-us-recession-fears\/","url_meta":{"origin":579051,"position":3},"title":"Investors are betting on EM assets amid US recession fears","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 May 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"49% of investors expect EM assets to outperform developed markets in the event of US recession","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/5\/1178.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":589307,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/06\/25\/us-bond-markets-convinced-recession-is-brewing\/","url_meta":{"origin":579051,"position":4},"title":"US bond markets convinced recession is brewing","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"25 June 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Inverted yield curve in treasuries is a telltale sign of an incoming downturn","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/6\/1231.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":550207,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/18\/recession-has-no-victors-except-amreeka\/","url_meta":{"origin":579051,"position":5},"title":"Recession has no victors \u2014 except Amreeka","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 October 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The US could emerge strongest out of market turmoil hitting major world economies,Bloomberg suggests, citing the latest MLIV Pulse survey. 69% of 452 respondents said that the US will best weather this year\u2019s crises among developed markets, while a full 86% of respondents see US markets recovering first.It\u2019s not looking\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579051","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=579051"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579051\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/579028"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/579052"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=579051"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=579051"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=579051"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=579051"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=579051"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}