{"id":574644,"date":"2020-09-16T03:55:43","date_gmt":"2020-09-16T03:55:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/"},"modified":"2020-09-16T03:55:43","modified_gmt":"2020-09-16T03:55:43","slug":"is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/","title":{"rendered":"Is the tech-driven EM rally running out of steam?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-07\"><\/a> <strong>Has the EM rally peaked?<\/strong> In recent months a handful of largely China-based tech stocks have gone on a tear to put a floor underneath emerging-market stocks, bringing emerging markets on par with equities in developed countries. Outside of China, though, the outlook is a little more precarious. WIth the global tech boom seemingly running out of steam and a host of problems plaguing the emerging world, investor enthusiasm is dwindling, despite the cheap valuations, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/articles\/emerging-markets-have-rallied-like-other-markets-why-the-outlook-for-the-rest-of-the-year-is-shakier-51599772987\">Barron\u2019s<\/a> says, citing industry analysts.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Too good to be true? <\/strong>An array of bargains appears to be on offer in Brazil, India and other markets beyond China, where currencies are around 20-30% below historic averages. \u201cWhether it\u2019s the [South African] rand, the [Indian] rupee, the [Mexican] peso, or the Brazilian real, currencies are incredibly undervalued,\u201d says Ricardo Adrogue, head of global sovereign debt at Barings. Equities, too, look undervalued: companies trade at less than half the average price-to-book ratio than those in the US, with blue chip firms offering 5-6% yields. EM central banks have also slashed interest rates, causing domestic savers to pile into equities.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Investors are holding back for now:<\/strong> Despite the generous returns on offer, the continuation of the pandemic and the rapid accumulation of debt is giving investors pause for thought. India and Brazil are both struggling to get a handle on the outbreak, while countries across the world have taken on worrying levels of debt to prevent their economies from spiralling. \u201cDuring the next quarter or the beginning of next year, markets are going to ask, \u2018What are you doing to offset this debt?'\u201d notes Eric Baurmeister, senior portfolio manager for emerging markets debt at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Has the EM rally peaked? In recent months a handful of largely China-based tech stocks have gone on a tear to put a floor underneath emerging-market stocks, bringing emerging markets on par with equities in developed countries. Outside of China, though, the outlook is a little more precarious. WIth the global tech boom seemingly running [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":574645,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[115,72,1510],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-574644","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-the-macro-picture","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"4150cbf4-369c-437b-b7f3-055e44083ce8","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2020\/9\/188.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[574623],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is the tech-driven EM rally running out of steam? - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Is the tech-driven EM rally running out of steam?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Has the EM rally peaked? In recent months a handful of largely China-based tech stocks have gone on a tear to put a floor underneath emerging-market stocks, bringing emerging markets on par with equities in developed countries. Outside of China, though, the outlook is a little more precarious. WIth the global tech boom seemingly running [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-09-16T03:55:43+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/9\/188.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"Is the tech-driven EM rally running out of steam?\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-09-16T03:55:43+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/\"},\"wordCount\":290,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/9\/188.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"emerging markets\",\"EnterpriseAM\",\"THE MACRO PICTURE\"],\"articleSection\":[\"THE MACRO PICTURE\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/\",\"name\":\"Is the tech-driven EM rally running out of steam? 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- EnterpriseAM Egypt","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/16\/is-the-tech-driven-em-rally-running-out-of-steam\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Is the tech-driven EM rally running out of steam?","og_description":"Has the EM rally peaked? 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But statistics from financial data provider EPFR show that 80% of inflows went\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/1232.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":579177,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/29\/morgan-stanley-is-wagering-on-a-roaring-20s-for-emerging-markets\/","url_meta":{"origin":574644,"position":1},"title":"Morgan Stanley is wagering on a roaring \u201820s for emerging markets","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 January 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Are the 2020s set to be the decade of emerging markets? Morgan Stanley Investment Management last week said it is pulling money out of the US stock market and putting it into equities in developing economies. \u201cEvery decade, there is a new leader in the market. In the 2010s, it\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;PLANET FINANCE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/484.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":571220,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/05\/04\/as-good-as-it-gets-new-us-china-tensions-could-dampen-the-stock-market-recovery\/","url_meta":{"origin":574644,"position":2},"title":"As good as it gets? New US-China tensions could dampen the stock market recovery","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 May 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"As good as it gets? New US-China tensions could dampen the stock market recovery: A string of uncertainties could conspire to knock the wind out of the sails of global stock markets this month as investors fret about the potential of renewed US-China conflict complicating the already dire prospects for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/5\/22.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":594550,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/01\/emerging-markets-suffer-worst-august-in-decades\/","url_meta":{"origin":574644,"position":3},"title":"Emerging markets suffer worst August in decades","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Emerging markets suffer worst August in decades: EM stocks suffered USD 873 bn in losses last month and currencies experienced their worst August since 1997, Bloomberg says. The iShares MSCI EM ETF saw a record increase in short interest as yearly gains on EM ETFs were almost entirely wiped out,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/8\/38.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596783,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/08\/emerging-markets-to-reap-the-benefits-of-a-fed-rate-cut-bloomberg-survey\/","url_meta":{"origin":574644,"position":4},"title":"Emerging markets to reap the benefits of a Fed rate cut -Bloomberg survey","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Emerging markets to reap the benefits of a Fed rate cut -Bloomberg survey: Emerging market equities, bonds, and currencies will reap the benefits if the world\u2019s major central banks go ahead with expected rate cuts, according to a quarterly poll of 42 fund managers, traders, and strategists conducted by Bloomberg.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/7\/2360.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":594648,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/03\/investors-pulled-usd-13-8-bn-from-emerging-markets-in-august-iif\/","url_meta":{"origin":574644,"position":5},"title":"Investors pulled USD 13.8 bn from emerging markets in August -IIF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"3 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"IIF tracker confirms EMs might want to wipe August from their memories: Net emerging markets portfolio inflows witnessed their most unfortunate month in August since November 2016, according to the Institute of International Finance\u2019s (IIF) most recent capital flows tracker. Investors pulled out roughly USD 13.8 bn from EM stocks\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/9\/248.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/574644","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=574644"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/574644\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/574623"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/574645"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=574644"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=574644"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=574644"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=574644"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=574644"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}