{"id":569800,"date":"2020-03-08T04:20:12","date_gmt":"2020-03-08T04:20:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/03\/08\/global-growth-could-fall-to-1-this-year-iif\/"},"modified":"2020-03-08T04:20:12","modified_gmt":"2020-03-08T04:20:12","slug":"global-growth-could-fall-to-1-this-year-iif","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/03\/08\/global-growth-could-fall-to-1-this-year-iif\/","title":{"rendered":"Global growth could fall to 1% this year -IIF"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Global growth could fall to 1% this year -IIF: <\/strong>Global economic growth could fall to just 1% this year due to the impact of the covid-19 outbreak on the services and manufacturing sectors, the International Institute of Finance (IIF) has said. In a report published on Thursday, the financial association said it has lowered growth forecasts for the US economy to 1.3% in 2020 (down from 2% previously) and to less than 4% for the Chinese economy (from 5.9% previously). This could result in global growth of just 1% through the rest of the year, more than two times lower than the 2.6% achieved in 2019 and the lowest since the financial crisis.<\/p>\n

Manufacturing clearly hit, effect on services still unclear:<\/strong> The IIF is reconsidering its \u2018no recession\u2019 prediction made last year when it became clear that the cause of the manufacturing slowdown was rooted in inventory overhang rather than supply chain disruptions. The virus has radically changed the outlook for the sector which is now suffering from a serious supply shock. But the true extent of the fallout will depend on the services sector, \u201cwhere the severity of effects depends on the scale of contagion and resulting containment measures,\u201d the IIF wrote.<\/p>\n

The pressure on emerging markets is increasing, but Fed emergency cut provides cover for further easing: <\/strong>Emerging markets central banks taking cues from the US Federal Reserve could cut rates without risking devalued currencies, the IIF says. This is important in \u201chigh carry, low growth\u201d countries such as Mexico and South Africa, but also holds true in other places. After the Fed\u2019s dramatic 50 bps emergency cut last week<\/a>, coordinated easing could prove a key tool to maintain EM growth and support the global economy.<\/p>\n

The situation is still highly uncertain:<\/strong> \u201cThe range of potential outcomes is large and depends on the spread of the virus and resulting economic fall-out, all of which are highly uncertain at this stage,\u201d the IIF wrote. \u201c The range of possible outcomes is large and uncertainty around any<\/p>\n

forecast bigger than under normal circumstances.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Global growth could fall to 1% this year -IIF: Global economic growth could fall to just 1% this year due to the impact of the covid-19 outbreak on the services and manufacturing sectors, the International Institute of Finance (IIF) has said. In a report published on Thursday, the financial association said it has lowered growth […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":569801,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[116,107,104,115,72,3075,131,1510,117],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-569800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-china","tag-covid-19","tag-economy","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-institute-of-international-finance","tag-manufacturing","tag-the-macro-picture","tag-us","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"8920eb52-979f-4d94-99f1-d27915bbeb57","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2020\/3\/88.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[569778],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nGlobal growth could fall to 1% this year -IIF - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/03\/08\/global-growth-could-fall-to-1-this-year-iif\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Global growth could fall to 1% this year -IIF\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Global growth could fall to 1% this year -IIF: Global economic growth could fall to just 1% this year due to the impact of the covid-19 outbreak on the services and manufacturing sectors, the International Institute of Finance (IIF) has said. 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The m-o-m decline comes as \u201chard data are still lagging behind\u201d a recovery in investors\u2019 sentiment on the outlook\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/8\/15.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":564559,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/02\/14\/egypt-skated-past-covid-19-but-now-needs-to-double-down-on-deep-reforms-iif\/","url_meta":{"origin":569800,"position":1},"title":"Egypt skated past covid-19, but now needs to double down on \u201cdeep\u201d reforms \u2013IIF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"14 February 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt weathered the worst of the pandemic as the only MENA country to see economic output contract last year, but authorities need to push on with \u201cdeep\u201d structural reforms to keep the momentum going in the long run, the Institute of International Finance said in a report cited by Gulf\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "SPEED ROUND: MACRO"","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: MACRO","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-macro\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/2\/446.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":570418,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/03\/31\/iif-downgrades-egypts-2020-growth-forecast-to-2-7\/","url_meta":{"origin":569800,"position":2},"title":"IIF downgrades Egypt\u2019s 2020 growth forecast to 2.7%","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 March 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"IIF downgrades Egypt\u2019s 2020 growth forecast to 2.7%: The Institute of International Finance (IIF) has revised downward its projection for Egypt\u2019s GDP growth this year to 2.7% from 5.4% due to headwinds caused by the covid-19 outbreak.Behind the dip: Lower economic growth will come on the back of a drop\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/3\/353.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596214,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/08\/21\/egyptian-economy-resilient-but-further-reform-needed-to-sustain-growth-iif\/","url_meta":{"origin":569800,"position":3},"title":"Egyptian economy resilient, but further reform needed to sustain growth- IIF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 August 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The Egyptian economy has proven resilient, but further reform is needed to sustain growth- IIF: Egypt is in a strong and \u201cresilient\u201d position three years after the start of the IMF-backed reform program, but there are still structural challenges to overcome to sustain economic growth, the Institute of International Finance\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/8\/622.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":593065,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/17\/surging-debt-levels-in-emerging-markets-hit-record-usd-71-4-tn-in-2q2019-iif\/","url_meta":{"origin":569800,"position":4},"title":"Surging debt levels in emerging markets hit record USD 71.4 tn in 2Q2019 -IIF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Surging debt levels in emerging markets hit record USD 71.4 tn in 2Q2019 -IIF: Total debt owed by emerging market businesses, governments and households reached a record USD 71.4 tn in 2Q2019, amounting to around 220% of EM GDP, according to the Institute of International Finance (IIF). The Global Debt\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/11\/2601.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":567209,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/01\/15\/fx-debt-pushes-em-debt-to-record-usd-72-5-tn-in-3q2019-iif\/","url_meta":{"origin":569800,"position":5},"title":"FX debt pushes EM debt to record USD 72.5 tn in 3Q2019 -IIF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 January 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Foreign debt pushes EM debt to record USD 72.5 tn in 3Q2019: Total emerging market debt \u2014 including that of EM governments, households, non-financial corporates, and the financial sector \u2014 has hit a new record high of USD 72.5 tn in 3Q2019, according to the Institute of International Finance\u2019s (IIF)\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/1\/612.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/569800","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=569800"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/569800\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/569778"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/569801"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=569800"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=569800"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=569800"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=569800"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=569800"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}