{"id":569410,"date":"2020-02-24T04:43:34","date_gmt":"2020-02-24T04:43:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/24\/strengthening-egp-to-put-pressure-on-corporate-earnings-pharos\/"},"modified":"2020-02-24T04:43:34","modified_gmt":"2020-02-24T04:43:34","slug":"strengthening-egp-to-put-pressure-on-corporate-earnings-pharos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/24\/strengthening-egp-to-put-pressure-on-corporate-earnings-pharos\/","title":{"rendered":"Strengthening EGP to put pressure on corporate earnings -Pharos"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-01\"><\/a> <strong>Strengthening EGP to put pressure on corporate earnings -Pharos:<\/strong> Corporate earnings will come under pressure over the next four quarters as the EGP continues to strengthen against the USD, Pharos Holding\u2019s head of research Radwa El Swaify wrote in a report. The research house forecasts the currency changing hands in the EGP 14.50 to 15.50 band against the greenback this year and predicts \u201ca gradual weakness in earnings over the next four quarters\u201d through both a direct impact and \u201cindirect effects.\u201d On that last bit, El Swaify suggests that when the \u201cexchange rate was depreciating, consumers were rushing into buying to avoid higher cost in the near future. Now, that exchange rate is weakening, the purchase decision is postponed until prices find a bottom.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In short: <strong>The appreciating currency is going to sap export sales and prompt consumers to hold back <\/strong>from major purchases as they wait to see whether prices have hit bottom.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Earnings may also be buffeted by macro headwinds: <\/strong>Cheaper commodity prices, slowing global trade or lower infrastructure spending in Egypt may place further pressure on corporate earnings. \u201cWe expect the market to continue to be trapped by these dynamics until the strength in the FX rate comes to a stop or global commodity prices find a floor,\u201d the report says.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Corporate earnings had recovered to pre-float levels at the end of last year<\/strong>, with inflation decelerating rapidly, FX reserves reaching an all-time high, and economic growth clocking in at more than 5.6% in 2019, <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/stories\/2019\/11\/28\/corporate-earnings-bounce-back-to-pre-float-levels-7241\/\">Bloomberg said in November<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Strengthening EGP to put pressure on corporate earnings -Pharos: Corporate earnings will come under pressure over the next four quarters as the EGP continues to strengthen against the USD, Pharos Holding\u2019s head of research Radwa El Swaify wrote in a report. The research house forecasts the currency changing hands in the EGP 14.50 to 15.50 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[279,104,72,276,348,10276,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-569410","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-budget-watch","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-finance-ministry","tag-gdp","tag-ratio","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"ffa4dfcf-1155-4725-8c1c-c8eaf44cd354","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[569405],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Strengthening EGP to put pressure on corporate earnings -Pharos - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/24\/strengthening-egp-to-put-pressure-on-corporate-earnings-pharos\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Strengthening EGP to put pressure on corporate earnings -Pharos\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Strengthening EGP to put pressure on corporate earnings -Pharos: Corporate earnings will come under pressure over the next four quarters as the EGP continues to strengthen against the USD, Pharos Holding\u2019s head of research Radwa El Swaify wrote in a report. The research house forecasts the currency changing hands in the EGP 14.50 to 15.50 [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/24\/strengthening-egp-to-put-pressure-on-corporate-earnings-pharos\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-02-24T04:43:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/24\/strengthening-egp-to-put-pressure-on-corporate-earnings-pharos\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/24\/strengthening-egp-to-put-pressure-on-corporate-earnings-pharos\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"Strengthening EGP to put pressure on corporate earnings -Pharos\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-02-24T04:43:34+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/24\/strengthening-egp-to-put-pressure-on-corporate-earnings-pharos\/\"},\"wordCount\":258,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"budget watch\",\"economy\",\"EnterpriseAM\",\"Finance Ministry\",\"GDP\",\"Ratio\",\"SPEED ROUND\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Speed Round\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/24\/strengthening-egp-to-put-pressure-on-corporate-earnings-pharos\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/24\/strengthening-egp-to-put-pressure-on-corporate-earnings-pharos\/\",\"name\":\"Strengthening EGP to put pressure on corporate earnings -Pharos - 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recovery will begin in 2H2020 -Pharos","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"14 July 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The worst of the year is over for corporate earnings; recovery will begin in 2H2020 -Pharos: Corporate earnings in Egypt are expected to see a \u201crelative recovery\u201d in corporate earnings during the back half of the year, even if full-year earnings come under pressure because of the hit to 2Q2020\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":594638,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/03\/floating-customs-exchange-rate-could-raise-inflation-analysts\/","url_meta":{"origin":569410,"position":1},"title":"Floating customs exchange rate could raise inflation -analysts","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"3 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Floating customs rate could raise inflation -analysts: The decision to float the customs exchange rate could drive inflation up in the coming months if the EGP depreciates sharply against the USD, analysts told Reuters yesterday. Earlier this week, the Finance Ministry reversed a decision to set the customs exchange rate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/1\/776.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":600399,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/01\/29\/why-did-the-egp-gain-against-the-greenback-yesterday\/","url_meta":{"origin":569410,"position":2},"title":"Why did the EGP gain against the greenback yesterday?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 January 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Connecting the dots: The EGP keeps strengthening, yields keep falling: The EGP continued rising against the USD this week, strengthening to a selling price of 17.70 to the USD from around EGP 18.00 last Wednesday. Simultaneously, yields on Egyptian three- and nine-months T-bills fell at Sunday\u2019s auction to their lowest\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/10\/18.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":642354,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/08\/13\/inflation-rate-surges-to-33-in-july\/","url_meta":{"origin":569410,"position":3},"title":"Inflation rate surges to 33% in July","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 August 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Inflation surges in July: The annual urban headline inflation rate increased to 33% in July from 29.8% in June with the m-o-m rate also rising to 3.2% from 0.8%, according to CAPMAS. The annual rate is the highest since the EGP float last November. Core inflation also shot up to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":558970,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/01\/04\/mmmm-borrowing\/","url_meta":{"origin":569410,"position":4},"title":"Mmmm\u2026 Borrowing\u2026","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 January 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Expect corporate borrowing to boom this year \u2014 but bank margins to remain thin, our friends at Pharos say in their 2021 outlook for the sector. Last year\u2019s 400 bps of interest rate cuts \u2014 starting with 300 bps in March followed by 50 bps in each of September and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banking&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banking","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/industries\/banking\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/1\/36.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":567890,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/12\/10\/look-at-banks\/","url_meta":{"origin":569410,"position":5},"title":"Look at banks","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 December 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Pharos tips banks, NBFS players, fintech and consumer stocks heading into 2020, our friend Radwa El Swaify and her team at Pharos suggest in their 2021 equity strategy out now. You can tap or click here to read the report in full (pdf). 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