{"id":568490,"date":"2020-12-31T08:00:53","date_gmt":"2020-12-31T08:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/12\/31\/deglobalization-after-covid-19\/"},"modified":"2020-12-31T08:00:53","modified_gmt":"2020-12-31T08:00:53","slug":"deglobalization-after-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/12\/31\/deglobalization-after-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"Deglobalization after covid-19"},"content":{"rendered":"

Could covid reverse the tide of globalization?<\/strong> The past year pulled the brakes on global trade flows, forcing businesses and consumers alike to think and spend more locally, and accelerating a deglobalization of the world economy. With global lockdowns limiting travel of both people and goods in a way previously unimaginable, could 2020 bring a permanent shift to the cross-border flow of commodities, people and ideas?<\/p>\n

Covid-19 has <\/strong>brought to light the faults with<\/a><\/strong> a China-reliant supply chain<\/strong>, prompting a rethinking of the traditional wisdom driving a globalized economy of seeking out the lowest production costs wherever they may be. As Chairman of the European Union Chamber of Commerce in China J\u00f6rg Wuttke told Bloomberg<\/a>: \u201cThe globalization of putting everything where production is the most efficient\u2014that is over.\u201d But aside from covid-19, US-China tariff wars as well as sanctions on the use of US technology by Huawei have meant that companies have had tolook for local alternatives<\/a>. As deglobalization accelerates, we\u2019re likely to see a repeat of the Huawei example all over the world, and a resurgence of developmental economic theories such as the \u201cbig push\u201d that encourage developing economies to orient themselves away from exports and towards local markets.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, covid could end up inspiring a <\/strong>different sort of globalization<\/a><\/strong>. According to DHL\u2019s 2020 Global Connectedness Index<\/a>, while capital flows decreased globally and the movement of people retreated to a level last seen in 1990, cross-border internet traffic saw a 48% increase from mid-2019 to mid-2020, which will likely fuel a boost in e-commerce activities. The report also found that trade activity has rebounded more quickly than expected since the spring, reaching only 3-4% lower than its pre-covid levels. While this could be a temporary phenomenon due to restocking, HSBC expects<\/a> global trade to rebound in 2021, with some adjustments to supply chains as companies look to hedge against future risks by expanding to multiple bases and sourcing more of their materials locally.<\/p>\n

For emerging markets like Egypt<\/strong>, a deglobalized economy could impose serious limitations on growth, particularly for industries that are heavily reliant on imported materials. The global export to GDP ratio<\/a> had already been declining, falling 5% from the global financial crisis in 2008 to 2020, and indicating a regression in trade-linked growth. This could inflict a heavy blow on developing economies playing catch up with their Western counterparts by relying on export-led growth. On the other hand, AUC\u2019s Sherif Kamel writes<\/a> that deglobalization could present an opening for Egypt\u2019s manufacturing industries as regional businesses look for suppliers that are closer to end markets, allowing Egypt to act as a gateway to Africa and to entrench itself more firmly in regional supply chains.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Could covid reverse the tide of globalization? The past year pulled the brakes on global trade flows, forcing businesses and consumers alike to think and spend more locally, and accelerating a deglobalization of the world economy. With global lockdowns limiting travel of both people and goods in a way previously unimaginable, could 2020 bring a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":568491,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10228],"tags":[116,107,4336,2604,4337,132],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-568490","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-de-global-economy","tag-china","tag-covid-19","tag-deglobalization","tag-enterpriseyourwealth","tag-the-de-global-economy","tag-trade","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"6680ba70-8b0c-477f-968e-71cfe73bddf9","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2020\/12\/529.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[568484],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nDeglobalization after covid-19 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/12\/31\/deglobalization-after-covid-19\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Deglobalization after covid-19\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Could covid reverse the tide of globalization? 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The answer lies in the \u201cstrategic monetization\u201d of public infrastructure, reorienting supply chains and capitalizing on business process outsourcing, Ahmed Galal Ismail, CEO of Majid Al Futtaim Properties, writes for the World Economic Forum. The government should focus\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/6\/84.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":573564,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/08\/10\/over-a-quarter-of-global-product-sourcing-will-move-to-new-countries-study-finds\/","url_meta":{"origin":568490,"position":1},"title":"Over a quarter of global product sourcing will move to new countries, study finds","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 August 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Good news if you\u2019re looking to integrate your company into the global supply chain \u2014 a \u201creordering\u201d of the system could open up new windows: More than a quarter of global product procurement could shift to new countries over the next five years, a new study by McKinsey Global Institute\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/8\/62.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":591243,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/12\/01\/can-emerging-markets-still-emerge\/","url_meta":{"origin":568490,"position":2},"title":"Can emerging markets still emerge?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 December 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Can emerging markets still emerge? 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Emerging markets seemed destined for alignment with the West earlier this century,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/7\/3044.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":550959,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/05\/16\/a-new-bipolar-world-order-in-a-deglobalizing-world\/","url_meta":{"origin":568490,"position":4},"title":"A new bipolar world order in a deglobalizing world?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 May 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"What\u2019s next for the global world order? Bipolarity may be in the offing \u2014 with the two poles being the US and China, suggests President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics Adam Posen in a discussion with Goldman Sachs. Posen suggests that the dual force of the covid-19 pandemic\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT\u2019S NEXT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT\u2019S NEXT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/whats-next-2\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/5\/481.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":571412,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/05\/11\/el-erian-on-how-to-set-ourselves-up-for-the-post-covid-world-and-why-that-world-will-be-particularly-challenging-to-navigate\/","url_meta":{"origin":568490,"position":5},"title":"El Erian on how to set ourselves up for the post-covid world \u2014 and why that world will be particularly challenging to navigate","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 May 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"El Erian on how to set ourselves up for the post-covid world \u2014 and why that world will be particularly challenging to navigate: In a lecture for Nile University, Allianz economic advisor Mohamed El Erian offered his take on how the global economy came face-to-face with the worst (and most\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Spotlight"","block_context":{"text":"Spotlight","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/explainers\/spotlight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/5\/103.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/568490","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=568490"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/568490\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/wealth\/568484"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/568491"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=568490"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=568490"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=568490"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=568490"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=568490"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}