{"id":565736,"date":"2021-04-27T13:42:23","date_gmt":"2021-04-27T13:42:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/04\/27\/meet-our-analyst-of-the-week-aais-mahmoud-gad\/"},"modified":"2021-04-27T13:42:23","modified_gmt":"2021-04-27T13:42:23","slug":"meet-our-analyst-of-the-week-aais-mahmoud-gad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/04\/27\/meet-our-analyst-of-the-week-aais-mahmoud-gad\/","title":{"rendered":"Meet our analyst of the week: AAIS\u2019 Mahmoud Gad"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> OUR ANALYST OF THE WEEK- <\/strong>Mahmoud Gad, senior real estate equity research analyst at Arab African International Securities (Linkedin<\/a>).<\/p>\n

My name is Mahmoud Gad and I cover real estate in Egypt at Arab African International Securities (AAIS). <\/strong>At the beginning of my career I had been working in accounting and corporate finance. While I learned a lot, I grew to dislike the routine and the lack of creativity. When I was offered a buy-side job at Alpha Capital, I jumped at the chance and was encouraged by my mentor Amr Elalfy<\/a>. I then moved to sell-side and joined MubasherTrade, which I think was an important step for me to gain a better understanding of the market and the economy. After a stint outside of research, I returned to the field and landed my current job, which I\u2019m hoping will be the launching point for the rest of my career.<\/p>\n

The best part of the job is that I can be creative and think outside of the box.<\/strong> In our area of work, it\u2019s very important that analysts do things differently and really bring out their own perspectives and voices. I enjoy interacting with many companies and people and getting that exposure. I also have a great manager at AAIS, Ibrahim Mansour, who always encourages and pushes me.<\/p>\n

The worst part of my job is that you don\u2019t take the decisions so your recommendations aren\u2019t always applied. <\/strong>In the past period, it\u2019s also been tough with the volatility in the market, which often puts a big gap between the fair value price and the market price of listed companies.<\/p>\n

My theory of investment is to combine strong fundamentals with good timing. <\/strong>Look for a company with strong financials when its share price is low but has the potential to go up long-term.<\/p>\n

The most important factor to look at in real estate is market position and brand name. <\/strong>There are a lot of companies that have a huge landbank, but no name in the market, which affects the volume of sales. Meanwhile, reputable names often lead in terms of sales.<\/p>\n

I always like to come up with scenario and sensitivity analyses when looking at companies<\/strong>, meaning that I jot down a number of factors and study the possibility of them happening and how big of an impact they would have on the stock. It gives me a better understanding of what factors are important to see the stock rerate and what would have a negligible impact on the target price. Investors like having this information related to them so that they have a kind of guidebook that helps them follow up on news and make decisions.<\/p>\n

I think 2021 will be a good year for Egypt \u2014 mainly due to the interest rate cuts we\u2019ve seen in the past period. <\/strong>The lower rates signal positive investment potential in the country. Egypt\u2019s economy still being forecasted to grow could also drive foreign investors back into the market and I\u2019m hoping we see more direct foreign investment in the local market which will help us get our FX up. The tourism sector picking up post-covid is also something I think will greatly benefit the economy.<\/p>\n

The rate cuts are also a good indicator for the real estate sector. <\/strong>In Egypt, real estate has been largely accepted as an alternative to saving in banks, and more people will embrace that as interest rates in banks become less attractive. The rate cuts also mean that the cost of finance for real estate companies will go down as loans become more affordable which could also lead to unit prices going down as the burden the consumers carry goes down.<\/p>\n

A recent <\/strong>AAIS report<\/a><\/strong> predicted that the sector will begin to recover in 2H2021 <\/strong>as the covid-19 pandemic subsides and allows for the positive catalysts to show on-ground impact. We also estimate that the sector will grow 5.2% over the next four years to reach EGP 68.7 bn by 2025.<\/p>\n

If I had to cover another industry, I would go for the consumer sector, which I have covered before. <\/strong>During that time I tried to think as both a consumer and analyst when coming up with my research and I liked that I could see the impact and on ground reality for the sector. I would often come home with products from companies that I was covering and ask my family to try them and see what they thought. I once took my wife to a rug store and she got very excited about getting a new item for the house. She wasn\u2019t as happy when I told her I was just doing some research [laughs].<\/p>\n

My favorite writers are Omar Taher and Belal Fadl.<\/strong> I\u2019m always blown away by the way they express and I find it so engaging, satirical, and inspiring. I\u2019m very passionate about writing \u2014 I like to write about daily encounters or situations that I felt can be portrayed in an amusing way but still offer a lesson or moral at the end. I often try to emulate the two authors in my own writings<\/a>. The most recent thing I read though was Eza\u2019et El Aghany<\/a> by Omar Taher.<\/p>\n

In my down time I like to stay home, mostly [laughs].<\/strong> I try to stay active, however, and the gym is my second home. I also practice swimming two or three times a week and it relaxes me physically and mentally. I always tell people that they can leave me in the water and I\u2019ll be content.<\/p>\n

Something that I think is very important for the country is to foster more financial literacy in the younger generation. <\/strong>We need to teach them how to save and invest, even if it\u2019s saving their allowance and deciding to invest in a toy. I saw how impactful it is for children to learn these skills early on when my daughter had a bake sale at school and learned how to value and earn for her work. I believe that some of the things we should ingrain into this next generation is how to be inquisitive, knowledgeable, good communicators, principled, open-minded, caring, and open to taking risks.<\/p>\n

\n

Orascom Construction is paying out USD 27 mn in dividends to its shareholders in 2021<\/strong>, at USD 0.231 per share, the company said in an EGX disclosure (pdf)<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 0.6% at today\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 976 mn (23.9% below the 90-day average). Local investors were net sellers. The index is down 2.3% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Export Development Bank (+4.0%), Credit Agricole (+3.6%) and Qalaa Holdings (+3.4%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>GB Auto (-2.6%), Telecom Egypt (-1.5%) and Oriental Weavers (-1.4%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

OUR ANALYST OF THE WEEK- Mahmoud Gad, senior real estate equity research analyst at Arab African International Securities (Linkedin). My name is Mahmoud Gad and I cover real estate in Egypt at Arab African International Securities (AAIS). At the beginning of my career I had been working in accounting and corporate finance. While I learned […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":565737,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7219],"tags":[1125,633,642],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-565736","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-go-with-the-flow","tag-arab-african-international-securities","tag-enterprisepm","tag-go-with-the-flow","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"a8152092-240e-49ea-b2b5-bb869e379958","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2021\/4\/515.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[565729],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nMeet our analyst of the week: AAIS\u2019 Mahmoud Gad - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/04\/27\/meet-our-analyst-of-the-week-aais-mahmoud-gad\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Meet our analyst of the week: AAIS\u2019 Mahmoud Gad\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"OUR ANALYST OF THE WEEK- Mahmoud Gad, senior real estate equity research analyst at Arab African International Securities (Linkedin). 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I started my career as a credit risk officer at HSBC, which\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "GO WITH THE FLOW"","block_context":{"text":"GO WITH THE FLOW","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/go-with-the-flow\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/12\/690.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":564426,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/31\/meet-our-analyst-of-the-week-aaiss-rehan-hamza\/","url_meta":{"origin":565736,"position":2},"title":"Meet our analyst of the week: AAIS\u2019s Rehan Hamza","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 August 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"OUR ANALYST OF THE WEEK- Rehan Hamza, sector head of industrials at Arab African International Securities (LinkedIn).My name is Rehan Hamza and I\u2019m the sector head of industrials at Arab African International Securities (AAIS). I\u2019ve been working in sell-side since I began my career 13 years ago. I started off\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Analyst of the Week"","block_context":{"text":"Analyst of the Week","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/newsmakers\/analyst-of-the-week\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/8\/567.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":599136,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/19\/egypts-fra-grants-short-selling-licenses-to-efg-cib-aaib\/","url_meta":{"origin":565736,"position":3},"title":"Egypt\u2019s FRA grants short selling licenses to EFG, CIB, AAIB","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 June 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"EFG, CI and AAIS take out short-selling licenses: The brokerage arms of EFG Hermes, CI Capital and the Arab Arfrican International Securities are now licensed short sellers, according to a Financial Regulatory Authority statement. The move comes after Arqaam Securities became last week the first to take out a license.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/12\/198.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":557343,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/09\/15\/suez-canal-bank-and-aaib-submit-offers-for-90-of-valus-maiden-securitized-bond-issuance\/","url_meta":{"origin":565736,"position":4},"title":"Suez Canal Bank and AAIB submit offers for 90% of Valu\u2019s maiden securitized bond issuance","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 September 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Two banks want almost all of Valu\u2019s securitized bond issuance: The Suez Canal Bank and the Arab African International Bank (AAIB) are looking to snap up almost 90% of the EGP 323mn maiden securitized bond issuance by EFG Hermes\u2019 consumer finance arm Valu, Suez Canal Bank Chairman Hussein Rifai told\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "DEBT WATCH"","block_context":{"text":"DEBT WATCH","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/debt-watch\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/9\/206.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":549745,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/09\/28\/flat6labs-appoints-yehia-houry-as-its-chief-programs-officer\/","url_meta":{"origin":565736,"position":5},"title":"Flat6Labs appoints Yehia Houry as its chief programs officer","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"28 September 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Flat6Labs has appointed Yehia Houry (LinkedIn) as its chief programs officer, according to a pressrelease(pdf). Houry has worked at the early-stage venture company since 2017, most recently as managing director of Flat6Labs in Tunisia, where he headed the launch and operation of the company. Prior to working at Flat6Labs, he\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Moves"","block_context":{"text":"Moves","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/newsmakers\/moves\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/565736","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=565736"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/565736\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/afternoon\/565729"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/565737"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=565736"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=565736"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=565736"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=565736"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=565736"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}