{"id":565117,"date":"2021-03-21T13:45:53","date_gmt":"2021-03-21T13:45:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/21\/recovery-may-not-trickle-down-to-ems-imf\/"},"modified":"2021-03-21T13:45:53","modified_gmt":"2021-03-21T13:45:53","slug":"recovery-may-not-trickle-down-to-ems-imf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/21\/recovery-may-not-trickle-down-to-ems-imf\/","title":{"rendered":"Recovery may not trickle down to EMs -IMF"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> The IMF may update its next W<\/strong>orld Economic<\/strong> Outlook to reflect signs of a stronger <\/strong>global economic recovery than the 5.5% GDP growth it forecast in <\/strong>January<\/a><\/strong>, <\/strong>IMF First Deputy Managing Director Geoffrey Okamoto said in a speech to the China Development Forum, according to Reuters<\/a>. Okamoto appears to be co-signing on the Biden administration\u2019s USD 1.9 tn covid-19 stimulus, hinting that the upgrade would in part happen because of the move.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s the WEO? <\/strong>The IMF\u2019s World Economic Outlook is released in April<\/a> and October<\/a> with occasional updates in between. It\u2019s the most closely watched barometer of what to expect from global growth and the macro trends that drive economies. The next WEO is due out in April.<\/strong><\/p>\n

But it\u2019s not looking good for EMs,<\/strong> with Okamoto warning of \u201cworrying signs\u201d of a widening gap between advanced economies and emerging markets.The fund projects that cumulative income per capita will be 22% lower in developing countries (excluding China) between 2020 and 2022 compared to expected levels had there not been a pandemic due to these risks, Okamoto added.<\/p>\n

A large part of it is vaccine diplomacy:<\/strong> Among the biggest risks Okamoto highlighted in his speech is the lack of access to vaccines in developing countries compared to advanced economies. \u201cIt was unclear how long the pandemic would last and access to vaccines remained very uneven, across both advanced and emerging economies,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n

Fiscal spending in 2021 would be constrained in these countries as a resul<\/strong>t, he warned, with some countries having little scope to boost spending to mitigate the pandemic\u2019s economic impact, especially low-income countries with high debt levels. \u201cTighter financial conditions could exacerbate vulnerabilities in countries with high public and private debt,\u201d he said, citing recent increases in bond yields garnered by market expectations of an earlier withdrawal of monetary stimulus.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The IMF may update its next World Economic Outlook to reflect signs of a stronger global economic recovery than the 5.5% GDP growth it forecast in January, IMF First Deputy Managing Director Geoffrey Okamoto said in a speech to the China Development Forum, according to Reuters. Okamoto appears to be co-signing on the Biden administration\u2019s […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10077],"tags":[104,633,272,4174],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-565117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round-macro","tag-economy","tag-enterprisepm","tag-imf","tag-speed-round-macro","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"3be1e135-e4fc-46a8-95e3-c6e0f3668e82","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[565109],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nRecovery may not trickle down to EMs -IMF - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/21\/recovery-may-not-trickle-down-to-ems-imf\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Recovery may not trickle down to EMs -IMF\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The IMF may update its next World Economic Outlook to reflect signs of a stronger global economic recovery than the 5.5% GDP growth it forecast in January, IMF First Deputy Managing Director Geoffrey Okamoto said in a speech to the China Development Forum, according to Reuters. 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Though\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/10\/450.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":575410,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/10\/14\/imf-warns-of-long-protracted-recovery-as-it-eases-global-recession-forecast\/","url_meta":{"origin":565117,"position":2},"title":"IMF warns of long, protracted recovery as it eases global recession forecast","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"14 October 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"IMF warns of long, slow recovery as it eases global recession forecast: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) now sees the world\u2019s GDP contracting at a 4.4% pace \u2014 an improvement from the 4.9% it projected in its June outlook \u2014 after economies coming out of lockdown showed improved trade, retail\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/10\/143.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":571434,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/05\/12\/imf-greenlights-usd-2-8-bn-in-pandemic-aid-to-egypt\/","url_meta":{"origin":565117,"position":3},"title":"IMF greenlights USD 2.8 bn in pandemic aid to Egypt","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 May 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"IMF greenlights USD 2.8 bn in pandemic aid to Egypt: The International Monetary Fund\u2019s executive board signed off yesterday on the USD 2.77 bn rapid financing instrument (RFI) the Madbouly government asked for last month to help support its balance of payments as Egypt grapples with fallout from covid-19. \u201cThe\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/5\/115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597367,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/24\/the-imfs-emerging-markets-outlook-is-looking-sluggish-amid-expectations-for-subdued-global-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":565117,"position":4},"title":"The IMF\u2019s emerging markets outlook is looking sluggish amid expectations for \u201csubdued\u201d global growth","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF\u2019s emerging markets outlook is looking sluggish amid expectations for \u201csubdued\u201d global growth: The IMF has revised downwards its forecasts for emerging markets\u2019 GDP growth in its July update of the World Economic Outlook, saying it sees EMs growing 4.1% and 4.7% in 2019 and 2020, respectively. 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