{"id":565045,"date":"2021-03-15T14:00:10","date_gmt":"2021-03-15T14:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/15\/remittance-inflows-survive-2020-despite-pandemic\/"},"modified":"2021-03-15T14:00:10","modified_gmt":"2021-03-15T14:00:10","slug":"remittance-inflows-survive-2020-despite-pandemic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/15\/remittance-inflows-survive-2020-despite-pandemic\/","title":{"rendered":"Remittance inflows survive 2020 despite pandemic"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Egypt\u2019s rem<\/strong>ittance inflows defied expectations to grow more than 10% in <\/strong>2020 despite the shock of the pandemic<\/strong>, a trend that may have been fuelled by the return of expats and high-interest savings products offered by banks, analysts tell us. Central bank data (pdf)<\/a> released today reveals that remittance inflows rose to USD 29.6 bn last year, up 10.5% from the USD 26.8 bn that entered the country in 2019, showing that inflows held up remarkably well despite most of the world plunging into a recession and GCC economies being rocked by the collapse in oil prices. Remittances grew 7% y-o-y to USD 7.5 bn during the fourth quarter of 2020.<\/p>\n

Making sense of the numbers: <\/strong>Official numbers show that worker transfers were more or less unscathed by the pandemic. The only time they fell was at the height of the initial wave of the virus in 2Q2020 when much of the world entered some form of lockdown. The drop at the time (by 10% y-o-y to USD 6.21 bn) was swiftly offset by an 11% increase the following month<\/a>, and then by solid performance in subsequent quarters (here<\/a> and here<\/a>), despite the ominous predictions offered by economists at the outset of the crisis.<\/p>\n

Expats could\u2019ve been returning home with their savings: <\/strong>Remittances are highly correlated with global GDP growth, and the fact they grew despite a worldwide recession can be explained by other factors, possibly that many white- and blue-collar workers either lost their jobs and returned home with their savings or were able to come back and work remotely, Pharos\u2019 head of research Radwa El Swaify tells us. The fact that the EGP remained stable through the worst of the crisis and that the government didn\u2019t introduce a full lockdown made people more confident to reallocate their money back home, she added.<\/p>\n

NBE and Banque Misr\u2019s high-interest CDs also played a role: <\/strong>The incentive to save is another factor that helped to stimulate inflows, says Arqaam Capital\u2019s Arqaam Capital\u2019s Noaman Khalid. He suggests the uptick in remittances is a repeat of what we saw in 2016, when inflows surged<\/a> after the central bank hiked interest rates following the EGP float<\/a> and banks launched high-interest, three-year CDs. Last year, the National Bank of Egypt and Banque Misr introduced 15% fixed-rate savings certificates to help bolster the financial system, attracting EGP 383 bn in inflows<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Egypt\u2019s remittance inflows defied expectations to grow more than 10% in 2020 despite the shock of the pandemic, a trend that may have been fuelled by the return of expats and high-interest savings products offered by banks, analysts tell us. Central bank data (pdf) released today reveals that remittance inflows rose to USD 29.6 bn […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10034],"tags":[107,104,633,2234],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-565045","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round-economy","tag-covid-19","tag-economy","tag-enterprisepm","tag-foreign-exchange","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"9026fa43-ed04-4d8d-bed4-2b429442b37b","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[565037],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nRemittance inflows survive 2020 despite pandemic - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/15\/remittance-inflows-survive-2020-despite-pandemic\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Remittance inflows survive 2020 despite pandemic\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Egypt\u2019s remittance inflows defied expectations to grow more than 10% in 2020 despite the shock of the pandemic, a trend that may have been fuelled by the return of expats and high-interest savings products offered by banks, analysts tell us. 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Expats sent some USD 28.5 bn back home during the first 11 months of the fiscal year (July\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "SPEED ROUND: ECONOMY"","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: ECONOMY","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/8\/454.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":557374,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/09\/16\/remittances-hit-record-high-in-fy2020-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":565045,"position":3},"title":"Remittances hit record high in FY2020-2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 September 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Remittances hit a record high in FY2020-2021, growing more than 13% to USD 31.4 bn compared to USD 27.8 bn the previous fiscal year, according to central bank figures (pdf) released yesterday. Inflows rose almost 30% to USD 8.1 bn in 4Q, up from USD 6.2 bn in the same\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/9\/219.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":554158,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/12\/22\/remittances-up-1-5-in-1q2021-2022\/","url_meta":{"origin":565045,"position":4},"title":"Remittances up 1.5% in 1Q2021-2022","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 December 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Remittances from Egyptians abroad were up 1.5% y-o-y to USD 8.1 bn in the first quarter of FY 2021-2022, the central bank announced in a statement (pdf). The quarterly figure rose despite September being a slow month, with remittances dipping 3% y-o-y to USD 2.6 bn. 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Transfers from Egyptians abroad are projected to increase almost 13% to USD 33 bn this year, making Egypt one of the world\u2019s\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/11\/241.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/565045","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=565045"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/565045\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/afternoon\/565037"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=565045"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=565045"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=565045"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=565045"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=565045"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}