{"id":564326,"date":"2021-08-24T13:27:38","date_gmt":"2021-08-24T13:27:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/24\/commodities-strong-earnings-could-resuscitate-emerging-market-stocks-say-analysts\/"},"modified":"2021-08-24T13:27:38","modified_gmt":"2021-08-24T13:27:38","slug":"commodities-strong-earnings-could-resuscitate-emerging-market-stocks-say-analysts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/24\/commodities-strong-earnings-could-resuscitate-emerging-market-stocks-say-analysts\/","title":{"rendered":"Commodities, strong earnings could resuscitate emerging-market stocks, say analysts"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> A \u201clost decade\u201d for emerging-market stocks could be coming to an end<\/strong>, as the commodities boom and earnings optimism perk investors\u2019 interest in companies in the developing world, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Lazard Asset Management all expect inflows into undervalued EM equities to pick up as the vaccine rollout gains pace and the global recovery continues, despite headwinds in Asia caused by China\u2019s escalating crackdown on business.<\/sup><\/p>\n

EM indexes have consistently underperformed since the financial crisis<\/strong>. MSCI\u2019s EM stock index has increased just 8% in the 10 years since the global financial crisis \u2014 and is currently only slightly above its post-crisis market peak in 2011. In the same time, equities in developed markets have more than doubled in value. So far in 2021, the EM index is down 5%, while the benchmark for companies in developed economies has risen by 14%.<\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs is \u201cquite upbeat\u201d on EM stocks<\/strong>, one analyst told Bloomberg, naming Brazilian, Russian and Mexican currencies as top picks. Meanwhile, a Bank of America strategist said he expected the acceleration of capital inflows into markets in Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa since March to continue \u201cgiven supportive macro drivers and equity valuations.\u201d Some analysts are predicting<\/a>that emerging-market equities could gain 15% in the next 12 months.<\/p>\n

EMs might need some time to deliver on their potential:<\/strong> Once vaccination rates pick up, one State Street analyst said he expects EM equities to outstrip EM debt and even catch up to developed-market equities. \u201cDon\u2019t discount the EM consumer when the pandemic\u2019s grip on consumer activity fades,\u201d he told Bloomberg, adding that technology would play a key role in boosting developing nations\u2019 growth.<\/p>\n

But others are more pessimistic:<\/strong> BlackRock has warned of a \u201crisk of permanent scarring\u201d to EM growth as a result of slow vaccination rates, a withdrawal of policy support and heightened uncertainty about the trajectory of the USD. Many central banks in emerging economies have begun raising interest rates in response to rising inflation, which BlackRock said brings a \u201cgreater risk of scarring.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A \u201clost decade\u201d for emerging-market stocks could be coming to an end, as the commodities boom and earnings optimism perk investors\u2019 interest in companies in the developing world, Bloomberg reports. Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Lazard Asset Management all expect inflows into undervalued EM equities to pick up as the vaccine rollout gains pace […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":564327,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[509,115,633,164,260,118,1510],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-564326","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-bank-of-america","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterprisepm","tag-equities","tag-goldman-sachs","tag-msci","tag-the-macro-picture","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"2a098ba5-0fb7-4dcb-9e0a-8ce0dbd808d8","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2021\/8\/516.png","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[564314],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nCommodities, strong earnings could resuscitate emerging-market stocks, say analysts - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/24\/commodities-strong-earnings-could-resuscitate-emerging-market-stocks-say-analysts\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Commodities, strong earnings could resuscitate emerging-market stocks, say analysts\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A \u201clost decade\u201d for emerging-market stocks could be coming to an end, as the commodities boom and earnings optimism perk investors\u2019 interest in companies in the developing world, Bloomberg reports. 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There's more to come.\u201d \u2014Welcome to the new narrative on EM. May has been a bad month for EM bonds, equities and currencies \u2014 and it could get worse as stalled US-China trade talks prolong uncertainty in the market.Off the proverbial cliff? 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Goldman\u2019s outlook recognized that the underperformance of EM assets in 2018 was due to \u201clower-than-expected growth in EM markets.\u201d GS sees the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/12\/237.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":569577,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/03\/01\/global-equities-markets-have-worst-week-since-2008-on-covid-19-fears\/","url_meta":{"origin":564326,"position":2},"title":"Global equities markets have worst week since 2008 on covid-19 fears","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 March 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Global equities markets have worst week since 2008 on covid-19 fears: Global equity markets were a sea of red on Friday as growing fears that a covid-19 pandemic could both stall economic growth and hurt corporate earnings caused investors to dump stocks in what became the worst market sell-off in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/3\/4.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598393,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/23\/trade-tensions-are-starting-to-take-their-toll-on-emerging-markets\/","url_meta":{"origin":564326,"position":3},"title":"Trade tensions are starting to take their toll on emerging markets","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"23 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Trade tensions are starting to take their toll on emerging markets: Emerging markets are beginning to feel the strain as escalating trade tensions cause global demand to weaken further, Hung Tran, non-resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, writes in the Financial Times. Many EM economies are dependent on exporting\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/5\/2688.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":647428,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/05\/10\/em-currencies-are-coming-back-positive-momentum-to-support-earnings-and-equities\/","url_meta":{"origin":564326,"position":4},"title":"EM currencies are coming back, positive momentum to support earnings and equities","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 May 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Emerging market (EM) currencies are coming back from four years of turbulence, bringing some of the best opportunities in today\u2019s markets, according to Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM) global fixed income outlook. GSAM sees \u201ca rare combination of value and improving fundamentals in parts of the developing world, and currencies\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":635792,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/12\/13\/em-to-outperform-developed-economies-in-2018-goldman-sachs-says-in-its-2018-investment-outlook\/","url_meta":{"origin":564326,"position":5},"title":"EM to outperform developed economies in 2018, Goldman Sachs says in its 2018 investment outlook","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 December 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM) expects emerging markets will outperform developed economies, supporting EM assets in its 2018 Investment Outlook.GSAM has a laundry list of advice for investors heading into 2018, saying they will need to invest for continued global growth, manage the risks of elevated valuations, diversify income sources\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2017\/12\/830.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/564326","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=564326"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/564326\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/afternoon\/564314"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/564327"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=564326"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=564326"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=564326"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=564326"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=564326"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}