{"id":563852,"date":"2021-07-26T04:00:35","date_gmt":"2021-07-26T04:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/07\/26\/covid-natural-disasters-heap-pressure-on-global-supply-chains\/"},"modified":"2021-07-26T04:00:35","modified_gmt":"2021-07-26T04:00:35","slug":"covid-natural-disasters-heap-pressure-on-global-supply-chains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/07\/26\/covid-natural-disasters-heap-pressure-on-global-supply-chains\/","title":{"rendered":"Covid, natural disasters heap pressure on global supply chains"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> \u201cA perilous moment for supply chains\u201d:<\/strong> That\u2019s the prognosis of one shipping insider as a resurgence in global covid cases and a series of natural disasters heaps pressure on supply chains, Reuters<\/a> reports. Floods in China and Europe, covid outbreaks in Asia, and a cyber attack on South African ports are combining to disrupt global trade at a time when supply chains are still recovering from the shock of the initial wave of covid last year. Industry insiders say that a lack of containers, a shortage of vessels, and operational setbacks are causing blockages at ports not seen in decades.<\/p>\n

Manufacturers are being hit hard:<\/strong> A shortage of parts, rising prices, and labor disruption caused by covid have forced manufacturers in countries across the world to cut back on production. Toyota was forced to halt production in Japan and Thailand last week after not being able to get the parts, while Europe's biggest home appliances maker, Electrolux, said it is having to scale back production.<\/p>\n

What impact will this have on the global recovery?<\/strong> It\u2019s too early to say, though early signs out of the US aren\u2019t great. The US flash PMI for July<\/a> showed economic activity falling to a four-month low as businesses found it harder to access raw materials and labor.<\/p>\n

We have a few months of this left:<\/strong> Analysts say that we\u2019re probably not going to see the end of it until 4Q2021 or 1Q2022.<\/p>\n

Trad<\/strong>ers to go risk-on on EM despite mounting covid worries?<\/strong> Traders are shrugging off concerns about rising US inflation and the delta surge and are buying into emerging markets, Bloomberg<\/a>reports. Some analysts are anticipating a pick-up in risk appetite, betting that investors will focus on improvements in EM assets and downplay the likelihood of tightening by the Federal Reserve. EM earnings are above estimates for the first time in 2.5 years while MSCI\u2019s EM currency and bond indexes remain up year-to-date, despite falling back this month.<\/p>\n

EMs helped by strong growth potential and hopes for improved vaccine rollouts: <\/strong>\u201cEmerging markets still look to me like that place where investors will find the best-priced earnings growth, and I expect that the continuing rapid pace of vaccination across many EM countries will increase conviction,\u201d said one analyst. Not only that, but emerging nations are expected to outperform developed economies, with growth estimated at 6.6% to 5.4% respectively.<\/p>\n

Over in the US, investors are reverting to their 2020 picks as covid cases rise.<\/strong> Money is returning to tech stocks, and bond and money-market funds, as concerns about the spread of covid variants begin to outweigh recent optimism about the now-stalling vaccine rollout in the US, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. In signs of increasing caution, last week the Nasdaq reached new record highs, Moderna, Twitter and Facebook were the best performers on the S&P 500, and bond and money-market funds saw USD 13 bn of inflows compared to just USD 3.3 bn into stocks.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,746<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.9% (YTD: -0.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 15.64<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 15.74<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD at CIB<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 15.64<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 15.74<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates CBE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tad<\/strong>a<\/strong>wul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,876<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +25.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,105<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +40.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,774<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1% (YTD: +11.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,411<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: +17.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,027<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.9% (YTD: +8.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 74.10<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4.06<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 1,805.90<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 34,531<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.2% (as of midnight)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 0.9% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 1.5 bn (19.3% above the 90-day average). Local investors were net buyers. The index is down 0.9% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>GB Auto (+5.5%), Sidi Kerir Petrochemicals (+3.9%) and Abou Kir Fertilizers (+3.1%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Sodic (-1.8%), Cleopatra Hospital (-0.9%) and Telecom Egypt (-0.7%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cA perilous moment for supply chains\u201d: That\u2019s the prognosis of one shipping insider as a resurgence in global covid cases and a series of natural disasters heaps pressure on supply chains, Reuters reports. 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will normalize as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":607160,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/09\/27\/global-trade-suffers-biggest-slump-since-covid-as-rate-hikes-bite\/","url_meta":{"origin":563852,"position":1},"title":"Global trade suffers biggest slump since covid as rate hikes bite","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 September 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Trade volumes fell 3.2% y-o-y in June, according to new figures","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET 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PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/8\/62.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":558422,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/09\/oil-price-drop-hits-kuwaits-finances-nike-and-adidas-face-supply-chain-crisis\/","url_meta":{"origin":563852,"position":3},"title":"Oil price drop hits Kuwait\u2019s finances + Nike and Adidas face supply chain crisis","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 August 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Kuwait in trouble after oil price drop: Kuwait\u2019s budget deficit almost tripled last year as the 2020 oil price crash and the covid-19 pandemic squeezed the oil-dependent nation\u2019s finances. The deficit climbed by 175% y-o-y reaching USD 36 bn during the fiscal year that ended in March, according to official\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":568490,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/12\/31\/deglobalization-after-covid-19\/","url_meta":{"origin":563852,"position":4},"title":"Deglobalization after covid-19","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 December 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Could covid reverse the tide of globalization? The past year pulled the brakes on global trade flows, forcing businesses and consumers alike to think and spend more locally, and accelerating a deglobalization of the world economy. With global lockdowns limiting travel of both people and goods in a way previously\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE DE-GLOBAL ECONOMY"","block_context":{"text":"THE DE-GLOBAL ECONOMY","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-de-global-economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/12\/529.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":550959,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/05\/16\/a-new-bipolar-world-order-in-a-deglobalizing-world\/","url_meta":{"origin":563852,"position":5},"title":"A new bipolar world order in a deglobalizing world?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 May 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"What\u2019s next for the global world order? Bipolarity may be in the offing \u2014 with the two poles being the US and China, suggests President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics Adam Posen in a discussion with Goldman Sachs. Posen suggests that the dual force of the covid-19 pandemic\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT\u2019S NEXT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT\u2019S NEXT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/whats-next-2\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/5\/481.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/563852","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=563852"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/563852\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/563833"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=563852"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=563852"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=563852"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=563852"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=563852"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}