{"id":562994,"date":"2021-06-14T04:00:27","date_gmt":"2021-06-14T04:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/14\/all-is-well-in-the-us-treasury-market-for-now-at-least\/"},"modified":"2021-06-14T04:00:27","modified_gmt":"2021-06-14T04:00:27","slug":"all-is-well-in-the-us-treasury-market-for-now-at-least","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/14\/all-is-well-in-the-us-treasury-market-for-now-at-least\/","title":{"rendered":"All is well in the US treasury market (for now at least)"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Investors appear (for now) to be going along with the Fed\u2019s temporary-inflation <\/strong>mantra<\/strong> as US treasuries recorded last week their best week in a year despite further evidence of rising inflation, according to the Financial Times<\/a>. Traders piled into the treasury market last week leaving 10-year yields with their biggest weekly decline since June 2020 \u2014 even as new data showed inflation hitting its highest level since 2008<\/a>.<\/p>\n

It was only a couple of months ago that the US bond market saw a serious sell-off and yields spike<\/strong> as investors positioned for an end to the Federal Reserve\u2019s covid bond-buying programme and \u2014 perhaps \u2014 a rise in interest rates. The theory was that the oncoming inflation would soon force central bankers to turn off the liquidity taps. Instead, central banks seem perfectly happy to let inflation rise if it means keeping the post-covid economic recovery on track.<\/p>\n

And this sentiment doesn\u2019t seem to have changed all that much<\/strong>, according to a BMO client survey last week, which showed that a record 71% of investors expect the next major move in yields will be upwards.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,887<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.9% (YTD: -8.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 15.60<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 15.70<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD at CIB<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 15.60<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 15.70<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates CBE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,897<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.9% (YTD: +25.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,701<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +32.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,842<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-% (YTD: +14.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,247<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +13.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,134<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +10.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 72.80<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.31<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 1,878.70<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 38,832<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+7.9% (as of midnight)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 0.9% at today\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 1.24 bn (8.1% below the 90-day average). Local investors were net sellers. The index is down 8.8% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Eastern Company (+2.0%), Pioneers Holding (+1.6%) and Export Development Bank (+1.0%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Orascom Financial Holding (-3.5%), MM Group (-3.3%) and Ezz Steel (-3.1%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Investors appear (for now) to be going along with the Fed\u2019s temporary-inflation mantra as US treasuries recorded last week their best week in a year despite further evidence of rising inflation, according to the Financial Times. 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Following last week\u2019s policy meeting, the market had already priced in a further six\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":594602,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/02\/egypts-inverted-yield-curve\/","url_meta":{"origin":562994,"position":2},"title":"Egypt\u2019s inverted yield curve","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt\u2019s inverted yield curve: The financial press last month was awash with commentary on the brief inversions of the 2-year 10-year US treasury yield curve. Here in Egypt, the yield curve has been inverted since the EGP float in November 2016. But in contrast to the prophecies of doom we\u2019ve\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/9\/1869.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":557722,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/09\/29\/stock-sell-off-accelerates-as-inflation-rising-yields-us-debt-talks-weigh-on-sentiment\/","url_meta":{"origin":562994,"position":3},"title":"Stock sell-off accelerates as inflation, rising yields + US debt talks weigh on sentiment","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 September 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Bears are throwing a stagflation tea party after yesterday\u2019s marketheadlines, as the rise in US bond yields heralded yet further drops across global equity markets. The yield on US 10-year treasuries passed the key 1.50% level for a second day to close at 1.53%, its highest since June. The hawkish\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":555500,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/11\/16\/us-inflation-is-starting-to-cause-problems-for-emerging-markets\/","url_meta":{"origin":562994,"position":4},"title":"US inflation is starting to cause problems for emerging markets","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 November 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"A surge in US inflation is threatening to end the emerging-market USD carry trade: EM carry trades funded in USD have seen the biggest drop-off since the covid market crash in March 2020, tumbling more than 4% over the past two months as US inflation has risen, according to a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":563598,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/07\/08\/us-yields-at-4-month-low-after-fed-meeting-minutes-show-policymakers-less-hawkish-than-previously-thought\/","url_meta":{"origin":562994,"position":5},"title":"US yields at 4-month low after Fed meeting minutes show policymakers less hawkish than previously thought","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 July 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Here\u2019s what investors wanted to hear: Officials at the Federal Reserve apparently weren\u2019t in a hurry to start tapering stimulus at the most recent meeting in June, with most preferring to leave the liquidity taps on until they see \u201csubstantial further progress\u201d in the economy, according to meeting minutes released\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/562994","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=562994"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/562994\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/562971"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=562994"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=562994"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=562994"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=562994"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=562994"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}