{"id":560041,"date":"2021-02-14T03:59:33","date_gmt":"2021-02-14T03:59:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/02\/14\/did-someone-say-super-cycle\/"},"modified":"2021-02-14T03:59:33","modified_gmt":"2021-02-14T03:59:33","slug":"did-someone-say-super-cycle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/02\/14\/did-someone-say-super-cycle\/","title":{"rendered":"Did someone say super-cycle?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-02\"><\/a> <strong>Just in time for <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/8c7c9bc9-0634-4c20-8cd9-2750369825fc\">the super-cycle<\/a><\/strong>, we were treated to a flurry of commodities news over the weekend:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Egypt could export significantly more potatoes to Russia this season: <\/strong>Russia, which is increasingly importing more of the produce, is facing rising prices at home and issues with the quality of tubers stored in warehouses, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freshplaza.com\/article\/9293517\/russia-may-increase-potato-imports-from-egypt\/\">Fresh Plaza<\/a> reports. The season\u2019s first shipment of Egyptian potatoes landed two weeks earlier than it did in the 2019-2020 season, which suggests a more active shipping season.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Good news, but it\u2019s probably not going to compensate for the higher wheat prices<\/strong> which are likely coming after Russia introduces export restrictions this week. Global wheat prices have already been edging up in recent weeks since news of the increase in duties first emerged in <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/e15148ef-0141-4aef-aa58-afd2af0a0c5e\">December<\/a> before being confirmed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/russia-wheat-exports-idUSR4N2JA00U\">last month<\/a>. The restrictions, designed to stabilize domestic wheat prices in Russia, have already seen wheat shipments to Egypt <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agricensus.com\/Article\/Russian-weekly-exports-stable-at-800k-mt-loadings-to-Egypt-stall-15459.html\">drop by 50%<\/a> this month. Egypt <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/3d48acd9-1dbc-4600-8e19-e075b2db98b5\">called off a January tender<\/a> and is now looking to source wheat <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/2ace3f13-366d-4599-8108-11cc8bc5abc9\">from elsewhere<\/a>, including Canada, France and possibly the United States.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Over on planet soy:<\/strong> GASC paid 1.7% less in an international tender to import soybean oil that closed on Thursday, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agricensus.com\/Article\/Egypt-s-GASC-pays-1-7-less-for-30k-mt-of-overseas-soyoil-15450.html\">Agricensus<\/a> reports, quoting unnamed market sources. The state buyer purchased 30k tonnes for delivery between mid-March and early April from grain exporter Cargill. While there was no mention of the origin of the produce, much of GASC\u2019s soybean oil purchases in its latest reported tender came from Argentina.<\/p>\n<p><strong>But this might not last as a drought in Brazil could soon drive up soy prices. <\/strong>Delays in harvest at the top soybean producer is nudging exporters, including Egypt, to rely on rival producers in the US, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/idUSKBN2AC1QV\">Reuters<\/a> reported, citing government data and traders. Egypt, along with Mexico, made their biggest soybean purchases from the US on record last month, according to USDA data.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Meanwhile, the value of Egypt\u2019s food exports to China grew 21% in 2020 to USD 36 mn, <\/strong>Tameem El Dawy, the deputy executive director of the Food Export Council said, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/2ZbUUpB\">Youm7<\/a>. Egypt primarily sold sugarcane bagasse and frozen strawberries, which accounted for 87% of shipments to the world\u2019s second largest commodities importer, El Dawy said.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Egypt\u2019s spending on oil imports plunged by 32.3% in 2020<\/strong>, reaching USD 6.38 bn compared to USD 9.42 bn in 2019, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/tinyurl.com\/4xjl4qx9\">Capmas figures<\/a>. The report does not include the volume of oil imports from last year, making it difficult to ascertain whether the drop in spending is more due to global oil prices falling through the floor or Egypt\u2019s plan to trim its <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/2b085390-a235-438f-81ea-88b9c4305f40\">spending on oil<\/a> as part of a longer term strategy to ramp up exploration and set up new production to cover more domestic consumption. We think it\u2019s safe to say that both factors lent a helping hand. <strong>The downside risk: <\/strong>Oil rallied above the USD 60 \/ bbl mark for the first time in a year earlier this month \u2014 and is currently trading at USD 62.43 \u2014 which some <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/6ca5428e-8bcc-4cfd-a793-d025142c0da9\">trading houses suggested<\/a> puts crude in \u201coverbought territory\u201d and means a price pullback is in the cards.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Just in time for the super-cycle, we were treated to a flurry of commodities news over the weekend: Egypt could export significantly more potatoes to Russia this season: Russia, which is increasingly importing more of the produce, is facing rising prices at home and issues with the quality of tubers stored in warehouses, Fresh Plaza [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":560042,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7305],"tags":[97,317,72,565,550,270,239,563],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-560041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commodities","tag-agriculture","tag-commodities","tag-enterpriseam","tag-food-security","tag-gasc","tag-russia","tag-supply-chain","tag-wheat","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"7e480cfe-e1ed-45f1-b814-cef1dc4b9d40","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2021\/2\/205.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[560036],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Did someone say super-cycle? 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The country exported some 1.7 mn tons of wheat in March, with shipments running at a \u201crapid\u201d rate in the second half of the month after an initial slowdown\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/industries\/commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/4\/83.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":555301,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/11\/09\/russia-hikes-wheat-prices-on-high-egyptian-demand\/","url_meta":{"origin":560041,"position":1},"title":"Russia hikes wheat prices on high Egyptian demand","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 November 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt\u2019s wheat binge is putting further pressure on food prices abroad: Prices of Russian wheat notched new highs last week amid increased demand from Egypt, one of its biggest customers and the world\u2019s biggest wheat importer, Reuters reports.Egypt has been on a buying-spree: State commodities buyer GASC bought 180k tonnes\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/industries\/commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/11\/378.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":605147,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/12\/23\/egypt-buys-most-expensive-wheat-in-four-years-russia-left-out\/","url_meta":{"origin":560041,"position":2},"title":"Egypt buys most expensive wheat in four years, Russia left out","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"23 December 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"State grain buyer GASC purchased 120,000 tonnes of wheat at the highest prices in four years during an international tender on Thursday for delivery between 11 and 20 February, according to Reuters. This was the first time in six months that Egypt did not purchase Russian wheat, the newswire highlighted,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Basic Materials + Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Basic Materials + Commodities","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/basic-materials-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559656,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/01\/31\/looking-to-the-west-for-wheat\/","url_meta":{"origin":560041,"position":3},"title":"Looking to the west for wheat?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 January 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Could Egypt be turning to Canada and the US for more of its wheat? Russia\u2019s new wheat-export restrictions that come into effect mid-February will likely spark demand for Canadian and US grain, Bloomberg writes. In a bid to cool domestic food inflation, the world\u2019s largest wheat shipper imposed strict export\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/industries\/commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559764,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/02\/03\/could-france-soon-replace-russia-as-our-prime-wheat-supplier\/","url_meta":{"origin":560041,"position":4},"title":"Could France soon replace Russia as our prime wheat supplier?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"3 February 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"French wheat could be filling the Russia-shaped hole in Egypt\u2019s import quota: Swiss commodities giant Glencore made the lowest offer in GASC\u2019s international wheat tender yesterday, the first since the state grain buyer canceleda tender in response to possible export restrictions on Russian wheat, Reuters reports. The firm offered to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/industries\/commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/2\/62.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":554099,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/12\/20\/wheat-could-get-pricier-as-russia-mulls-higher-export-tariffs\/","url_meta":{"origin":560041,"position":5},"title":"Wheat could get pricier as Russia mulls higher export tariffs","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 December 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Brace yourself for pricier wheat as Russia mulls raising export tariffs on the grain: Russia, the world\u2019s largest wheat exporter, is considering imposing higher export tariffs if wheat prices reach USD 375 \/ ton, with a bigger hike proposed if prices reach USD 400 \/ ton, according to a government\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Also on our Radar&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Also on our Radar","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/also-on-our-radar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/560041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=560041"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/560041\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/560036"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/560042"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=560041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=560041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=560041"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=560041"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=560041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}