{"id":557917,"date":"2021-09-12T13:52:03","date_gmt":"2021-09-12T13:52:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/09\/12\/wall-street-banks-are-getting-nervy-on-stocks-economists-are-calling-the-feds-bluff-on-interest-rates\/"},"modified":"2021-09-12T13:52:03","modified_gmt":"2021-09-12T13:52:03","slug":"wall-street-banks-are-getting-nervy-on-stocks-economists-are-calling-the-feds-bluff-on-interest-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/09\/12\/wall-street-banks-are-getting-nervy-on-stocks-economists-are-calling-the-feds-bluff-on-interest-rates\/","title":{"rendered":"Wall Street banks are getting nervy on stocks + economists are calling the Fed\u2019s bluff on interest rates"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Have US equities peaked?<\/strong> Some analysts are beginning to think so, after US stocks last week saw their worst performance since June, according to the Financial Times<\/a>. The S&P 500 closed down 1.7% over the week on Friday and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 1.6%, as investors started to take heed of rising inflation and high costs caused by global supply chain disruptions as the delta variant stymies production.<\/p>\n

Inflation worries:<\/strong> \u201cThe market is starting to think maybe 2022 will be a year when inflation remains high,\u201d a Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale strategist told the salmon-colored paper on Friday after all three major US indexes sank in response to fresh inflation data. Both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones lost 0.8% and the Nasdaq 0.9% during trading after the Labor Department published figures<\/a> showing the US producer price index grew 8.3% y-o-y in August, its fastest pace since it began calculating yearly wholesale price inflation in 2010. \u201cI haven\u2019t seen anything that convinces me of when this disruption will be resolved,\u201d the analyst said, referring to persistent shortages in everything from semiconductors to food.<\/p>\n

Time for a correction, say Wall Street Banks:<\/strong> Almost all Wall Street banks are now forecasting trouble in the markets as historically high valuations, a potential slowdown in US economic growth, and concerns that the Federal Reserve could begin unwinding stimulus weigh on outlooks, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. Deutsche Bank says there is a \u201cgrowing\u201d risk of a market correction, Canaccord Genuity is predicting a \u201cperiod of turmoil\u201d for global stocks, while the CEO of financial services firm Ladenburg Thalmann is particularly concerned about what happens between now and the end of October, telling Bloomberg<\/a> that \u201cit\u2019s the next six weeks in the market that I have the greatest fear of.\u201d<\/p>\n

Inflationary pressures could force US rate hikes to come sooner than we think: <\/strong>The Fed will raise interest rates by at least a quarter of a percentage point in 2022, according to 70% of economists surveyed by the FT<\/a>, with 20% predicting the rate hike to come in the first half of next year. That would be around a year earlier than the Fed has publicly stated, with chair Jay Powell saying earlier this year that the bank would wait until 2023 before making the move.<\/p>\n

Economists also expect the central bank to wind down its pandemic-era bond-buying program later this year,<\/strong> with most of the 49 economists polled predicting the taper to begin in November or December 2021 and be completed by next year.<\/p>\n

But darkening clouds in the US could put all of this on hold:<\/strong> The rapid US economic recovery is starting to come undone as the spread of the delta variant forces businesses to rethink their plans, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. A new study shows that around a quarter of small US businesses have seen revenues fall over the past three weeks, the nation\u2019s biggest airlines have seen a dip in demand, while an increasing number of executives are warning that the spread of delta is increasing uncertainty about their forecasts.<\/p>\n

This comes a week after an unexpectedly poor August jobs report raised doubts over the strength of the US labor market<\/strong> and the sustainability of the economic recovery. The Fed has said that it wants to approach maximum employment before it begins to withdraw stimulus.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Have US equities peaked? Some analysts are beginning to think so, after US stocks last week saw their worst performance since June, according to the Financial Times. The S&P 500 closed down 1.7% over the week on Friday and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 1.6%, as investors started to take heed of rising inflation and high […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":557918,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[107,633,164,119,182,349,120,121,1510],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-557917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-covid-19","tag-enterprisepm","tag-equities","tag-financial-markets","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-nasdaq","tag-sp-500","tag-the-macro-picture","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"77d307d9-7608-4ff1-8295-7d9c03fa75d2","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2021\/9\/487.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[557908],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nWall Street banks are getting nervy on stocks + economists are calling the Fed\u2019s bluff on interest rates - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/09\/12\/wall-street-banks-are-getting-nervy-on-stocks-economists-are-calling-the-feds-bluff-on-interest-rates\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Wall Street banks are getting nervy on stocks + economists are calling the Fed\u2019s bluff on interest rates\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Have US equities peaked? 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Some analysts are beginning to think so, after US stocks last week saw their worst performance since June, according to the Financial Times. The S&P 500 closed down 1.7% over the week on Friday and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 1.6% as investors started to take heed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547536,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/06\/26\/the-imf-says-the-us-wll-narrowly-avoid-recession-us-stocks-had-a-good-week-for-once\/","url_meta":{"origin":557917,"position":1},"title":"The IMF says the US wll \u201cnarrowly avoid\u201d recession + US stocks had a good week for once","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 June 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Not predicting a recession in the US this year or next: The IMF, which said in a statement Friday that it expects the US to \u201cnarrowly avoid\u201d going into recession before 2023, as curbs to inflation help protect real income and sustain growth over the medium term. Economists and analysts\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547568,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/06\/27\/forever-inflation-would-be-worse-than-recession-says-central-banks-bank-value-stocks-are-outperforming-equities-but-both-are-down-ytd\/","url_meta":{"origin":557917,"position":2},"title":"Forever-inflation would be worse than recession, says central banks\u2019 bank + Value stocks are outperforming equities \u2014 but both are down YTD","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 June 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"What\u2019s worse than a recession? Entrenched inflation, influential banking body warns: The Bank for International Settlements \u2014 which performs banking services for central banks worldwide \u2014 has called for a \u201cdecisive\u201d wave of global rate hikes from central banks to curb inflation in its flagship annual economic report (pdf) published\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":564326,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/24\/commodities-strong-earnings-could-resuscitate-emerging-market-stocks-say-analysts\/","url_meta":{"origin":557917,"position":3},"title":"Commodities, strong earnings could resuscitate emerging-market stocks, say analysts","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 August 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"A \u201clost decade\u201d for emerging-market stocks could be coming to an end, as the commodities boom and earnings optimism perk investors\u2019 interest in companies in the developing world, Bloomberg reports. Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Lazard Asset Management all expect inflows into undervalued EM equities to pick up as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/8\/516.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":544617,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/03\/13\/another-week-of-losses-for-us-stocks-but-is-a-bit-of-good-news-on-the-horizon\/","url_meta":{"origin":557917,"position":4},"title":"Another week of losses for US stocks, but is a bit of good news on the horizon?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 March 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Stocks finished the week on a low after days of wild swings on the back of contradictory developments in Russia\u2019s war on Ukraine, the Wall Street Journal writes. The S&P 500 closed down 2.9% for the week on Friday, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped 3.5% \u2014 marking the fourth weekly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":566246,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/06\/rising-us-inflation-a-worry-for-emerging-markets\/","url_meta":{"origin":557917,"position":5},"title":"Rising US inflation a worry for emerging markets","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 June 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Heightened inflation in the US is likely to spell trouble for emerging economies as rising yields squeezes countries with hefty debt loads and precarious public finances, analysts tell the Financial Times. \u201cEmerging economies should be worrying more about US inflation than about their own,\u201d Tatiana Lysenko, lead economist for emerging\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557917","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=557917"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557917\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/afternoon\/557908"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/557918"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=557917"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=557917"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=557917"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=557917"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=557917"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}