{"id":554065,"date":"2021-12-19T04:21:38","date_gmt":"2021-12-19T04:21:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/12\/19\/inflation-officially-isnt-transitory-anymore\/"},"modified":"2021-12-19T04:21:38","modified_gmt":"2021-12-19T04:21:38","slug":"inflation-officially-isnt-transitory-anymore","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/12\/19\/inflation-officially-isnt-transitory-anymore\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation officially isn\u2019t transitory anymore"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Scrap the \u201ctransitory\u201d talk: Inflation is now \u201cpersistent,\u201d <\/strong>according to the world\u2019s most influential central banks, who cemented their hawkish turn in last week\u2019s final policy meetings of the year, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. The US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank slashed covid-era asset purchases at their respective meetings, while the Bank of England and Norway\u2019s central bank raised interest rates, as did nine emerging market economies. Worries over inflation are driving these moves, though some economists told the salmon-coloured paper that officials may have underestimated the threat Omicron represents to developed economies amid their quick pivot to tighten policy.<\/p>\n

Volatility in the stock markets stepped up a notch following the Fed\u2019s announcement<\/strong>, with the S&P 500 falling 1% and the Dow Jones slipping 1.5% on Friday, Bloomberg reports<\/a>, as a rising USD and flattening yield curve on treasuries had investors fretting about the impact of higher borrowing costs on the economy. That could mean an end to 2021\u2019s long bull run on equities, particularly for high-value tech stocks (your Apples, Teslas and Amazons), the outlet reports \u2014 though innovation-stock guru Cathie Wood <\/strong>insisted<\/a><\/strong> that such stocks are not in a bubble, but rather in \u201cdeep value territory,\u201d<\/strong> meaning they still hold long-term growth potential despite current volatility.<\/p>\n

One country that could go against the trend is China<\/strong>, where JPMorgan analyst Marko Kolanovic<\/sup> expects stocks to rise almost 40% in 2022, according to Bloomberg<\/a>. He\u2019s not alone: Analysts at Goldman, UBS, HSBC and BlackRock are all expecting policymakers to intervene and support the economy next year following this year\u2019s regulatory clampdowns that have depressed valuations of Chinese assets. Morgan Stanley strategists beg to differ, saying that many of the factors that crushed China\u2019s financial markets this year \u2014 including the crisis in the property sector, deteriorating relations with the US, and overbearing regulation \u2014 will continue to weigh on markets.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,668<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +7.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 15.66<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 15.76<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD at CIB<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 15.66<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 15.76<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates CBE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,312<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.5% (YTD: +30.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,856<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +75.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,273<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +31.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,621<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.0% (YTD: +23.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,630<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +12.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 70.86<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.69<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 1,804.90<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 46,713.56<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 0.4% at Thursday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 1.41 bn (2% above the 90-day average). Foreign investors were net sellers. The index is up 7.6% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Palm Hills Development (+7.2%), Rameda (+5.1%) and Heliopolis Housing (+4.8%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>CIB (-1.5%), CIRA (-1.0%) and Ezz Steel (-0.7%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Scrap the \u201ctransitory\u201d talk: Inflation is now \u201cpersistent,\u201d according to the world\u2019s most influential central banks, who cemented their hawkish turn in last week\u2019s final policy meetings of the year, the Financial Times reports. The US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank slashed covid-era asset purchases at their respective meetings, while the Bank of England […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[72,164,7192,725,119,182,349,724,122,121,112,117,388],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-554065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam","tag-equities","tag-eu","tag-european-central-bank","tag-financial-markets","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","tag-planet-finance","tag-sp-500","tag-uk","tag-us","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"0445071c-9f68-4684-a0e7-28adad6bd250","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[554047],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nInflation officially isn\u2019t transitory anymore - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/12\/19\/inflation-officially-isnt-transitory-anymore\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Inflation officially isn\u2019t transitory anymore\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Scrap the \u201ctransitory\u201d talk: Inflation is now \u201cpersistent,\u201d according to the world\u2019s most influential central banks, who cemented their hawkish turn in last week\u2019s final policy meetings of the year, the Financial Times reports. 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own,\u201d Tatiana Lysenko, lead economist for emerging\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":605465,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/08\/31\/monetary-policy-in-the-us-and-eu-is-going-to-start-diverging\/","url_meta":{"origin":554065,"position":1},"title":"Monetary policy in the US and EU is going to start diverging","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 August 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The ECB is expected to continue raising interest rates in response to stubbornly high inflation","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/8\/1510.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":612054,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/12\/17\/federal-reserve-officials-look-to-rein-in-rate-cut-expectations-ecb-keeps-rates-unchanged\/","url_meta":{"origin":554065,"position":2},"title":"Federal Reserve officials look to rein-in rate cut expectations + ECB keeps rates unchanged","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 December 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The Fed looks to chill market speculation about imminent rate cuts: Federal Reserve officials have been quick to urge caution to bullish markets that have priced in interest rate cuts as early as March, insisting that more encouraging inflation data is needed before the central bank can consider reversing its\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET 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FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/5\/839.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":586137,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/05\/07\/federal-reserve-raises-interest-rates-by-another-25-bps-despite-regional-banking-crisis\/","url_meta":{"origin":554065,"position":4},"title":"Federal Reserve raises interest rates by another 25 bps despite regional banking crisis","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 May 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Incoming inflation and jobs data + the plight of shaky regional lenders to determine what happens next","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/5\/294.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":578206,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/12\/19\/expect-central-banks-to-stay-hawkish-deep-into-2023-amid-stubborn-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":554065,"position":5},"title":"Expect central banks to stay hawkish deep into 2023 amid stubborn inflation","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 December 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Central banks won\u2019t be taking their feet off the gas anytime soon: Despite hopes in some quarters that central banks will begin to dial back the aggressive monetary tightening in the new year, we should brace for further rate hikes triggered by continued inflationary pressures. This is according to the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/12\/395.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/554065","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=554065"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/554065\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/554047"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=554065"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=554065"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=554065"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=554065"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=554065"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}