{"id":550243,"date":"2022-10-19T04:01:32","date_gmt":"2022-10-19T04:01:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/19\/bloombergs-us-recession-o-meter-hits-100-certainty\/"},"modified":"2022-10-19T04:01:32","modified_gmt":"2022-10-19T04:01:32","slug":"bloombergs-us-recession-o-meter-hits-100-certainty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/19\/bloombergs-us-recession-o-meter-hits-100-certainty\/","title":{"rendered":"Bloomberg\u2019s US recession-o-meter hits 100% certainty"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Bloomberg is <\/strong>the latest<\/a><\/strong> to predict a US recession<\/strong>, saying yesterday<\/a> that it is \"effectively certain\" the economy will enter contraction over the next year after its model showed a 100% probability of recession by October 2023. This comes as the Federal Reserve continues to aggressively hike interest rates in a battle against rising inflation, a policy stance that some analysts say could force the economy into a deep downturn.<\/p>\n

Overseas businesses backed in USD are hurting: <\/strong>North American companies suffered a staggering USD 34.3 bn in losses in 2Q 2022 due to the soaring USD, Bloomberg<\/a> reports citing the treasury-management software company Kyriba Corp. This is the greatest amount of currency losses ever recorded by the firm, whose data go back to 2013. The greenback has surged to its highest level in 20 years this year as the Federal Reserve has raised rates, hurting multinationals\u2019 overseas revenues.<\/p>\n

3Q earnings could be even worse:<\/strong> The USD reached new highs during the July-September period, causing currency volatility<\/a> to intensify. Economic slowdown overseas \u2014 another key headwind facing US firms \u2014 also continued, with the European energy crisis intensifying and the Chinese economy continuing to slow.<\/p>\n

Saudi Arabia is offering to buy back USD 15.5 bn of its debt<\/strong> while mulling the sale of USD-denominated sukuk and bonds, Bloomberg<\/a> reports, citing an unnamed source. Our friends at HSBC are quarterbacking the transaction<\/strong> as bookrunners and dealer managers, alongside BNP Paribas and Goldman Sachs.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,164<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: -14.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 19.62<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 19.73<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD at CIB<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 19.65<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 19.71<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates CBE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,810<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.1% (YTD: +4.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,084<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+3.5% (YTD: +18.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,410<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: +6.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,720<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1% (YTD: -22.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,937<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: -6.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,464<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: -19.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 90.70<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 5.71<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 1,657.40<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 19,265<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.7% (YTD: -58.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 0.2% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 1.25 bn (20.9% above the 90-day average). Foreign investors were net sellers. The index is down 14.9% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Eastern Company (+3.6%), Housing and Development Bank (+2.9%) and e-Finance (+2.9%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>AMOC (-11.0%), Abu Qir Fertilizers (-7.2%) and Alexandria Container and Cargo Handling (-2.1%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bloomberg is the latest to predict a US recession, saying yesterday that it is \"effectively certain\" the economy will enter contraction over the next year after its model showed a 100% probability of recession by October 2023. This comes as the Federal Reserve continues to aggressively hike interest rates in a battle against rising inflation, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[1373,196,9115,104,72,119,640,122,219,112,117],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-550243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-binance","tag-bp","tag-credit-suisse","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-netflix","tag-planet-finance","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-uk","tag-us","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"40063fc9-47bd-42b8-bcc2-979079c04b44","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[550221],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nBloomberg\u2019s US recession-o-meter hits 100% certainty - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/19\/bloombergs-us-recession-o-meter-hits-100-certainty\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bloomberg\u2019s US recession-o-meter hits 100% certainty\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bloomberg is the latest to predict a US recession, saying yesterday that it is "effectively certain" the economy will enter contraction over the next year after its model showed a 100% probability of recession by October 2023. 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Conference Board\u2019s poll of 750 CEOs and other C-suite execs found that more than\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":550449,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/27\/coming-recession-could-be-short-and-shallow-say-economists\/","url_meta":{"origin":550243,"position":2},"title":"Coming recession could be short and shallow, say economists","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 October 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The global economy could be heading into a recession \u2014 but it might not be so bad: Economists polled by Reuters see the global economy growing at just a 2.3% clip next year as a recession becomes more certain amid spiraling inflation and volatility in global markets. Only six out\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547536,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/06\/26\/the-imf-says-the-us-wll-narrowly-avoid-recession-us-stocks-had-a-good-week-for-once\/","url_meta":{"origin":550243,"position":3},"title":"The IMF says the US wll \u201cnarrowly avoid\u201d recession + US stocks had a good week for once","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 June 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Not predicting a recession in the US this year or next: The IMF, which said in a statement Friday that it expects the US to \u201cnarrowly avoid\u201d going into recession before 2023, as curbs to inflation help protect real income and sustain growth over the medium term. Economists and analysts\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592437,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/08\/06\/jpmorgan-rolls-back-us-recession-wager\/","url_meta":{"origin":550243,"position":4},"title":"JPMorgan rolls back US recession wager","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 August 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The US Fed could pull off a soft landing, say JPMorgan analysts","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/8\/219.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":591018,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/07\/30\/is-the-everything-rally-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":550243,"position":5},"title":"Is the \u2018everything rally\u2019 back?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"30 July 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Investors are piling back into risk assets amid optimism that the Fed has avoided a hard landing","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/7\/1178.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/550243","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=550243"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/550243\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/550221"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=550243"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=550243"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=550243"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=550243"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=550243"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}