{"id":549163,"date":"2022-09-06T04:00:23","date_gmt":"2022-09-06T04:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/09\/06\/private-sector-downturn-eases-in-august-amid-softening-inflation\/"},"modified":"2022-09-06T04:00:23","modified_gmt":"2022-09-06T04:00:23","slug":"private-sector-downturn-eases-in-august-amid-softening-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/09\/06\/private-sector-downturn-eases-in-august-amid-softening-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Private sector downturn eases in August amid softening inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-02\"><\/a> <strong>Activity in Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector contracted at a slower pace in August on a <\/strong><strong>relative easing of inflationary pressures<\/strong>, according to S&P Global\u2019s latest <a href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2022\/9\/Egypt-PMI-August-English.pdf\">purchasing managers\u2019 index (pdf)<\/a>. Output and new orders inched higher for the second consecutive month from June's lows as clients\u2019 spending constraints began to relax. The index rose to 47.6 last month, up from 46.4 in <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/592ef015-c7d0-4128-a446-982e576e7eeb\">July<\/a> \u2014 its highest reading since February, though still well below the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction. This is the 21st consecutive month that the gauge suggests activity in Egypt\u2019s private sector has declined.<\/p>\n<p><strong>T<\/strong><strong>he outlook remains uncertain:<\/strong> August's PMI shows a \u201cmove in the right direction with the headline index up for the second month running,\u201d said S&P Global economist <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/bae3738e-2a55-4d28-87ee-7289e160fc9e\">David Owen<\/a>. \u201cMonetary policy uncertainty, a weakening exchange rate, and the continued war in Ukraine mean there are still high levels of risk for the economy over the rest of 2022,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><strong>I<\/strong><strong>nput cost pressures eased: <\/strong>Input costs rose at a slower pace in August, although raw material supplies continue to be impacted by pressure on the EGP and <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/e5a82293-8788-40a3-8c32-1f62af2500f4\">import restrictions<\/a> aimed at keeping foreign currency in the country. Input purchase levels dropped for the eighth successive month as companies curb their spending due to weak sales.<\/p>\n<p><strong>New orders continued to decline, but at a slower pace: <\/strong>Businesses continued to see a drop in client demand, though new orders decreased at the softest rate since April, leading to a slower fall in output. End prices for products and services continued to record \u201csolid\u201d rises in August, though also at a much slower rate.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What do you mean \u201ceasing inflationary pressures,\u201d S&P? <\/strong>Inflation in the wider economy reached a <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/43fc629c-c572-49e8-9404-6b508e9b3248\">three-year high<\/a> of 13.6% y-o-y in July \u2014 largely on the back of higher food and fuel prices. That said, global commodities markets have on the whole been cooling as the immediate impacts of war in Ukraine subside, which could explain the relative easing of cost increases in the private sector in August compared with July, economist Mona Bedeir tells Enterprise. <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/5f0f5186-ad0c-49ca-8eb6-bd47cd2f4504\">Most analysts<\/a> are expecting the reprieve to be short-lived, predicting inflation to continue rising through the rest of the year as underlying pressures remain high.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Some good news on hiring:<\/strong> Hiring picked up at its fastest rate since October 2019, as firms brought on staff to make up for job cuts earlier in the year. Meanwhile, wage costs decreased for the first time in five months despite record-high inflation.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Businesses are still wary: <\/strong>Confidence fell to their lowest level on record barring last <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/601312ea-2a96-485a-83db-cae4a0955962\">March<\/a>, with only 9% of companies forecast output growth over the coming year. Weak market conditions, high inflation and supply issues dampened expectations on the business outlook.<\/p>\n<p><strong>In the foreign press:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/egypt-non-oil-activity-continues-shrink-with-weak-outlook-2022-09-05\/\">Reuters<\/a> is stressing the doom and gloom in its report on this month\u2019s PMI, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2022-09-05\/two-biggest-gulf-economies-boom-and-turn-the-corner-on-inflation#xj4y7vzkg\">Bloomberg<\/a> is more optimistic, emphasizing strong readings out of the Gulf and the softening contraction here.<\/p>\n<p><strong>FROM THE REGION \u2013<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>UAE output at 3+ year high:<\/strong> Private sector activity in the UAE continued to grow in August as output rose at the fastest rate since June 2019. The <a href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2022\/9\/UAE-PMI-August-English.pdf\">PMI (pdf)<\/a> rose to 56.7 from 55.4 in July in response to an increase in demand and new orders on the back of lower fuel prices and slowing inflation.<\/p>\n<p><strong>BUT- Confidence fell to its lowest level in 17 months<\/strong> due to fears of an oncoming global recession.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Saudi private sector growth hits 10-month high:<\/strong> Growth in the Saudi private sector picked up pace in August, with the <a href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2022\/9\/Saudi-PMI-August-English.pdf\">PMI (pdf)<\/a> rising to 57.7 from 56.3 in July \u2014 its highest since October last year. Purchasing saw its sharpest uptick in seven years, backed by high demand and strengthened business activity, providing further evidence of the resilience of the Saudi economy amid global growth fears.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Activity in Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector contracted at a slower pace in August on a relative easing of inflationary pressures, according to S&#038;P Global\u2019s latest purchasing managers\u2019 index (pdf). Output and new orders inched higher for the second consecutive month from June's lows as clients\u2019 spending constraints began to relax. The index rose to 47.6 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":549164,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[104,72,182,185],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-549163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-pmi","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"03f3644f-a7a1-4421-be66-e82e6ea593ce","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2022\/9\/126.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[549157],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Private sector downturn eases in August amid softening inflation - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/09\/06\/private-sector-downturn-eases-in-august-amid-softening-inflation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Private sector downturn eases in August amid softening inflation\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Activity in Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector contracted at a slower pace in August on a relative easing of inflationary pressures, according to S&amp;P Global\u2019s latest purchasing managers\u2019 index (pdf). Output and new orders inched higher for the second consecutive month from June&#039;s lows as clients\u2019 spending constraints began to relax. 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The PMI index was flat month-on-month at 47.6, remaining below the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction for the twenty-second consecutive month.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/10\/136.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":557079,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/09\/06\/egypts-private-sector-is-responding-to-rising-inflation-by-buying-a-lot\/","url_meta":{"origin":549163,"position":1},"title":"Egypt\u2019s private sector is responding to rising inflation by buying. A lot.","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 September 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector shrank again in August, but at a slower pace than in July: Business activity in Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector contracted for the ninth straight month in August \u2014 but a record surge in corporate spending and a pick-up in demand softened the decline, according to IHS\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/9\/71.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":594685,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/04\/egypts-non-oil-business-activity-shrinks-again-in-august\/","url_meta":{"origin":549163,"position":2},"title":"Egypt\u2019s non-oil business activity shrinks again in August","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Non-oil business activity shrinks again in August: Falling output caused activity in Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector to contract in August after a month of expansion in July, according to the Markit\/Emirates NBD purchasing managers\u2019 index (PMI) (pdf). The PMI gauge fell to 49.4 in August from 50.3 in July, indicating\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/9\/3005.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":581069,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/06\/egp-devaluation-pushes-private-sector-into-sharper-decline-in-january\/","url_meta":{"origin":549163,"position":3},"title":"EGP devaluation pushes private sector into sharper decline in January","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector contracts for the 26th consecutive month.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/2\/140.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":588081,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/06\/06\/egypts-non-oil-private-sector-contracts-at-softest-pace-in-15-months-in-may\/","url_meta":{"origin":549163,"position":4},"title":"Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector contracts at softest pace in 15 months in May","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 June 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Business activity declined for 30th consecutive month in May","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/6\/248.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":576986,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/11\/06\/private-sector-activity-contracts-for-23rd-consecutive-month\/","url_meta":{"origin":549163,"position":5},"title":"Private sector activity contracts for 23rd consecutive month","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 November 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Activity in Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector continued to contract in October, remaining effectively unchanged from the month before as inflation, supply disruptions, and falling demand abroad continued to weigh on businesses, according to S&P Global\u2019s purchasing managers\u2019 index (pdf). The PMI index registered 47.7 last month, climbing just 0.1 points\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/11\/87.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/549163","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=549163"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/549163\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/549157"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/549164"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=549163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=549163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=549163"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=549163"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=549163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}