{"id":548923,"date":"2022-08-28T04:00:19","date_gmt":"2022-08-28T04:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/28\/now-is-the-time-to-invest-in-the-egx-says-tellimer\/"},"modified":"2022-08-28T04:00:19","modified_gmt":"2022-08-28T04:00:19","slug":"now-is-the-time-to-invest-in-the-egx-says-tellimer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/28\/now-is-the-time-to-invest-in-the-egx-says-tellimer\/","title":{"rendered":"Now is the time to invest in the EGX, says Tellimer"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-05\"><\/a> <strong>EGX-listed stocks are trading at a 50% discount to their recent five-year <\/strong><strong>average, creating a good buy for investors<\/strong>, Hasnain Malik, head of equity research at Tellimer, tells Bloomberg (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2022-08-26\/malik-egypt-behind-curve-on-interest-rate-fx-video?sref=mmeFTDW1\">watch, runtime: 6:13<\/a>). Undervalued EGX stocks represent a good \u201cshort-term trade\u201d as the expected <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/749b35e6-ac62-4dbd-8826-5b09c99fdfad\">IMF loan<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/72ba8ef5-72b9-4980-95a0-3aad6a31d3c7\">Gulf support<\/a>, and a potential devaluation spur an economic recovery, Malik said.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Short term?<\/strong> Absent \u201croot and branch\u201d reform of how the Egyptian economy is structured, the country is unlikely to break the cycle of crisis and recovery, the prospect for which remains slim, according to Malik. \u201cThat\u2019s why it\u2019s a short-term thesis. It\u2019s a trade around the stabilization of the macroeconomic indicators. It is not a root and branch reform.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Another devaluation will be key for the return of portfolio investors<\/strong>, Malik said, joining calls on the CBE and its <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/cc358ff9-00be-4503-bee9-00159279bfb6\">new governor<\/a> to allow the EGP to depreciate further to help combat growing external imbalances. \u201cObviously as the IMF comes in, as Gulf funds come in, that will encourage portfolio investors to start reinvesting in Egypt, but not when there's a negative 2.5% real interest rate,\u201d Malik said. \u201cThat's got to be fixed first.\u201d Rising global interest rates as well as volatility in international financial markets have seen <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/158188ff-65a9-4146-adc1-5f53c1a3f6e5\">USD 20 bn in portfolio flows<\/a> exit the country this year, putting pressure on the EGP, which has slipped almost 22% since March.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Double-digit deval? <\/strong>\u201cI would expect a double-digit devaluation,\u201d Malik said. \u201cIf you look at 12-month prices on the EGP you've got about a 15% further depreciation expected by the market.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EGX-listed stocks are trading at a 50% discount to their recent five-year average, creating a good buy for investors, Hasnain Malik, head of equity research at Tellimer, tells Bloomberg (watch, runtime: 6:13). Undervalued EGX stocks represent a good \u201cshort-term trade\u201d as the expected IMF loan, Gulf support, and a potential devaluation spur an economic recovery, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7303],"tags":[102,838,68,72],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-548923","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-capital-markets","tag-capital-markets","tag-devaluation","tag-egx","tag-enterpriseam","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"358adb21-305d-47f5-991a-13b4d298f978","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[548915],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Now is the time to invest in the EGX, says Tellimer - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/28\/now-is-the-time-to-invest-in-the-egx-says-tellimer\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Now is the time to invest in the EGX, says Tellimer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"EGX-listed stocks are trading at a 50% discount to their recent five-year average, creating a good buy for investors, Hasnain Malik, head of equity research at Tellimer, tells Bloomberg (watch, runtime: 6:13). Undervalued EGX stocks represent a good \u201cshort-term trade\u201d as the expected IMF loan, Gulf support, and a potential devaluation spur an economic recovery, [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/28\/now-is-the-time-to-invest-in-the-egx-says-tellimer\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-08-28T04:00:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/28\/now-is-the-time-to-invest-in-the-egx-says-tellimer\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/28\/now-is-the-time-to-invest-in-the-egx-says-tellimer\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"Now is the time to invest in the EGX, says Tellimer\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-28T04:00:19+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/28\/now-is-the-time-to-invest-in-the-egx-says-tellimer\/\"},\"wordCount\":268,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"capital markets\",\"devaluation\",\"EGX\",\"EnterpriseAM\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Capital markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/28\/now-is-the-time-to-invest-in-the-egx-says-tellimer\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/28\/now-is-the-time-to-invest-in-the-egx-says-tellimer\/\",\"name\":\"Now is the time to invest in the EGX, says Tellimer - 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BdC, one of the country\u2019s largest banks, is expected to attract investors from beyond the region, including from \u201cmainstream global emerging market funds,\u201d Tellimer\u2019s head of equity strategy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/12\/443.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":555258,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/11\/08\/a-mixed-picture\/","url_meta":{"origin":548923,"position":3},"title":"A mixed picture","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 November 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Arab Monetary Fund slightly more optimistic on Egypt\u2019s GDP outlook than IMF: The Egyptian economy will grow at a 5.4% clip in FY 2021-2022, up from 3.3% last year, according to the Arab Monetary Fund\u2019s latest Arab Economic Outlook Report (pdf). The estimate comes in slightly higher than the 5.2%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":582115,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/13\/more-ems-in-the-devaluation-zone-imf-sounds-alarm-on-rising-public-debt-in-mena\/","url_meta":{"origin":548923,"position":4},"title":"More EMs in the devaluation zone + IMF sounds alarm on rising public debt in MENA","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Will other emerging markets follow Egypt, Pakistan and Lebanon on the devaluation trail? 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