{"id":548479,"date":"2022-08-10T04:00:08","date_gmt":"2022-08-10T04:00:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/10\/in-a-hunt-for-foreign-currency-were-going-to-ration-electricity\/"},"modified":"2022-08-10T04:00:08","modified_gmt":"2022-08-10T04:00:08","slug":"in-a-hunt-for-foreign-currency-were-going-to-ration-electricity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/10\/in-a-hunt-for-foreign-currency-were-going-to-ration-electricity\/","title":{"rendered":"In a hunt for foreign currency, we\u2019re going to ration electricity"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-01\"><\/a> <strong>Egypt will begin cutting back on <\/strong><strong>electricity consumption nationwide from next week<\/strong> in a bid to redirect more natural gas towards exports, thus netting additional inflows of foreign currency, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said yesterday at a press conference (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=eCnP5eqaeC4\">watch, runtime: 18:39<\/a>). The government hopes to export around 15% of the gas that is currently allocated to the nation\u2019s power stations, the PM said.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Here\u2019s what to expect:<\/strong> Darker streets and public squares, electricity rationing at sports facilities and government buildings, and limits on A\/Cs in malls, Madbouly said. Hotels will also be asked to rein in their consumption by reducing lighting at weddings, while sports fixtures could be rescheduled to daylight hours to cut energy use at stadiums, cabinet spokesperson Nader Saad told Ala Mas\u2019ouleety last night (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_1q4EA-hwtE\">watch, runtime: 39:43<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p><strong>Full details coming Thursday:<\/strong> Cabinet is planning to announce a basket of measures to restrict public electricity consumption following a cabinet meeting tomorrow. The measures will come into play next week.<\/p>\n<p><strong>It\u2019s all about foreign currency:<\/strong> \u201cWe have been taking clear and calculated steps towards increasing Egypt's FX reserves and reducing our import bill, and now we're looking at how we can better utilize the natural resources available to us in order for them to bring in more FX,\u201d Madbouly said yesterday.<\/p>\n<p><strong>And here\u2019s why:<\/strong> External pressures triggered by the war in Ukraine and rising interest rates in developed markets have squeezed foreign-currency liquidity in the banking system and caused the country\u2019s FX reserves to fall 20% since March. Surging commodity prices have added bns of USD to the country\u2019s import bill and volatility in the financial markets has seen <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/158188ff-65a9-4146-adc1-5f53c1a3f6e5\">USD 20 bn<\/a> in portfolio flows exit the country this year, putting pressure on the EGP which has slipped almost 22% since March.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Natural gas is a good earner \u2014 especially with a once-in-a-lifetime energy crisis brewing across the Med:<\/strong> Egyptian LNG is in increasingly high demand in Europe as the continent frantically tries to find replacements for Russian natural gas, which before the war provided around 40% of its gas consumption. European leaders are particularly concerned about looking in additional supply contracts ahead of winter, when demand for natural gas spikes. Egypt <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/613a0e7e-2a74-4d1b-8b28-0c9660944559\">signed a landmark agreement<\/a> with the EU and Israel earlier this year to increase exports to Europe, and while it remains unknown how the three partners plan to raise capacity or who will finance the necessary infrastructure, Egypt has been in talks with foreign investors about providing capital for <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/248f9feb-5ba0-4777-b6a8-e910c3e8cc67\">new LNG terminals<\/a> and pipelines.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Steps have already been taken in this direction:<\/strong> Since October, a number of power stations have transitioned from using natural gas to mazut, giving the government a greater surplus to export and bringing in USD 100-150 mn a month, Madbouly said.<\/p>\n<p><strong>If the target isn\u2019t reached?<\/strong> The government could move to further restrict electricity use Saad said, adding that the measures could be reconsidered if stressors caused by the Ukraine conflict begin to wane.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The news got attention internationally:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2022-08-09\/egypt-dims-the-lights-as-it-targets-boost-in-gas-export-revenue?sref=mmeFTDW1\">Bloomberg<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>IN THE BACKGROUND- How much would the EGP have to devalue to be priced \u201cright\u201d <\/strong><strong>against the greenback? <\/strong>The news of electricity rationing came on the same day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2022-08-09\/only-way-is-down-for-egyptian-currency-and-question-is-how-much?srnd=premium-middle-east&sref=mmeFTDW1\">Bloomberg<\/a> was out with a piece asking how much further the EGP will have to fall to narrow the country\u2019s funding gap. Estimates range from 5% (Citi) to 10% (Deutsche Bank + Goldman Sachs), while Bloomberg\u2019s emerging-markets economist, Ziad Daoud, writes that we might need to see the EGP changing hands at 24.60 to the USD (a 23% depreciation from current levels). Daoud had previously outlined his login in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ziadmdaoud\/status\/1555102865592651777\">this thread<\/a> on Twitter.<\/p>\n<p><strong>REMEMBER-<\/strong> Conventional wisdom has it that the IMF is unlikely to agree to give us fresh assistance unless we agree to maintain a flexible exchange rate policy. The two sides have been in talks over a new program since March but are yet to agree terms. Though the Fund last month called on the government to <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/4c1d4faf-a5be-4238-a39f-fb90d897192a\">take \u201cdecisive\u201d steps<\/a> towards fiscal and structural reforms, President Abdel Fattah El Sisi has <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/42ff1336-a520-498c-aef3-1023c9fc2fd5\">publicly appealed<\/a> for less stringent conditions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Egypt will begin cutting back on electricity consumption nationwide from next week in a bid to redirect more natural gas towards exports, thus netting additional inflows of foreign currency, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said yesterday at a press conference (watch, runtime: 18:39). The government hopes to export around 15% of the gas that is currently [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":548480,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[104,244,93,72,2234,91],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-548479","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-economy","tag-electricity","tag-energy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-foreign-exchange","tag-oil-and-gas","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"d8825220-3a11-4b4f-85d0-10a069902e3a","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2022\/8\/198.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[548475],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>In a hunt for foreign currency, we\u2019re going to ration electricity - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/10\/in-a-hunt-for-foreign-currency-were-going-to-ration-electricity\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"In a hunt for foreign currency, we\u2019re going to ration electricity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Egypt will begin cutting back on electricity consumption nationwide from next week in a bid to redirect more natural gas towards exports, thus netting additional inflows of foreign currency, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said yesterday at a press conference (watch, runtime: 18:39). 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Here\u2019s what we know so far.","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"14 August 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Here\u2019s how the gov\u2019t hopes to ration the nation\u2019s electricity: Cabinet has approved measures announced byPrime Minister Moustafa Madbouly last week to limit the country\u2019s use of electricity, raise natural gas exports, and increase inflows of foreign currency, according to a statement out Thursday.Under the rules: All state-affiliated buildings must\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/8\/231.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":621033,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/05\/30\/electricity-prices-to-rise-in-july\/","url_meta":{"origin":548479,"position":1},"title":"Electricity prices to rise in July","author":"enterpriseam 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