{"id":548391,"date":"2022-08-07T04:00:45","date_gmt":"2022-08-07T04:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/07\/a-strong-us-jobs-report-could-mean-more-bad-news-for-emerging-markets\/"},"modified":"2022-08-07T04:00:45","modified_gmt":"2022-08-07T04:00:45","slug":"a-strong-us-jobs-report-could-mean-more-bad-news-for-emerging-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/07\/a-strong-us-jobs-report-could-mean-more-bad-news-for-emerging-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"A strong US jobs report could mean more bad news for emerging markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-09\"><\/a> <strong>The US labor market is still red-hot \u2014 and that means the Fed is unlikely to take i<\/strong><strong>ts foot off the gas in coming meetings<\/strong>, economists and analysts said in reaction to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.nr0.htm\">job figures<\/a> released Friday, which showed employers added 528k jobs to the economy in July, beating all estimates.<\/p>\n<p><strong>This isn\u2019t what Fed officials wanted to see, but why?<\/strong> The Federal Reserve is attempting to curb soaring inflation by raising interest rates, slowing the economy and curbing wage growth. The fear in policy making circles is that inflation will continue to rise and become more entrenched as long as the labor market remains tight, and this is increasing speculation that the central bank will continue to aggressively hike rates when it next meets in September.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Another 75 bps hike coming?<\/strong> A growing number of analysts and economists are now expecting the Fed to go ahead with its third successive rate hike next month. \u201cToday\u2019s numbers should mollify recession fears but amplify concerns that the Fed has a lot more work to do, and we now think a 75 bps hike in September looks likely. The inflation worries motivating the Fed will only be heightened by this jobs report,\u201d according to a JPMorgan note picked up by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/1455576f-d461-4e90-8b1d-b0eedb2c857d\">the Financial Times<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>But a lot can happen over the next six weeks: <\/strong>\u201cIf we get to September with things being where they are today \u2014 and that\u2019s a big if \u2014 75 bps and signals of the risk of another 75 bps, that\u2019s what you\u2019ll see,\u201d Mohamed El Erian told <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2022-08-05\/-sizzling-us-jobs-data-make-case-for-bigger-fed-rate-increases?sref=mmeFTDW1\">Bloomberg<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>ALSO WORTH NOTING- Are you a Western investor in strategic Russian projects? You\u2019re trapped unti<\/strong><strong>l at least the end of the year:<\/strong> Russian President Vladimir Putin has imposed a ban on investors from \u201cunfriendly\u201d countries from selling off shares in key areas of the Russian economy including banks, energy projects, commodities production and strategic entities. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/europe\/russia-bans-western-investors-selling-stakes-banks-key-assets-including-sakhakin-2022-08-05\/\">Reuters<\/a>)<\/p>\n<div class='stock-ticker-panel'>\n<table class='table stock-ticker-table table-striped markets-table'>\n<tbody>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,043<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>+5.3% (YTD: -16.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Buy 19.07<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sell 19.18<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>USD at CIB<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Buy 19.10<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sell 19.16<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-none'>\n<td class='td-list-none'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Interest rates CBE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>11.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>12.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-none'>\n<td class='td-list-none'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>12,292<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>0.0% (YTD: +9.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>9,916<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>+1.0% (YTD: +16.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>D<\/strong><strong>F<\/strong><strong>M<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3,317<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-0.1% (YTD: +3.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>4,145<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-0.2% (YTD: -13.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,440<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-0.1% (YTD: +0.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3,725<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-0.8% (YTD: -13.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>USD 94.92<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>+0.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>USD 8.06<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>+2.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-down'>\n<td class='td-list-down'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets1'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets1'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>USD 1,791.20<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-0.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class='tr-row-up'>\n<td class='td-list-up'>\n<p><svg class='e-icon e-TypeMarkets11'><use xlink:href='#e-TypeMarkets11'><\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>USD 23,193<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>+0.3% (YTD: -49.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>The EGX30 rose 5.3% at Thursday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 2.03 bn (60.2% above the 90-day average). Local investors were net buyers. The index is down 16% YTD.<\/p>\n<p><strong>In the green: <\/strong>e-Finance (+18.7%), Fawry (+18.6%) and EKH-EGP (+11.5%).<\/p>\n<p><strong>In the red: <\/strong>Juhayna (-0.3%), QNB Alahli (0%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US labor market is still red-hot \u2014 and that means the Fed is unlikely to take its foot off the gas in coming meetings, economists and analysts said in reaction to job figures released Friday, which showed employers added 528k jobs to the economy in July, beating all estimates. This isn\u2019t what Fed officials [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[82,72,119,182,349,122,1009],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-548391","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-bonds","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-planet-finance","tag-walmart","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"e7ca0420-bf2a-4e6c-a44d-b6c0f22723a5","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[548373],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A strong US jobs report could mean more bad news for emerging markets - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/07\/a-strong-us-jobs-report-could-mean-more-bad-news-for-emerging-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A strong US jobs report could mean more bad news for emerging markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The US labor market is still red-hot \u2014 and that means the Fed is unlikely to take its foot off the gas in coming meetings, economists and analysts said in reaction to job figures released Friday, which showed employers added 528k jobs to the economy in July, beating all estimates. 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Slowing inflation and signs of weakness in the labor market will likely see the US Federal Reserve leave rates on hold for a second consecutive meeting next week, according to the Wall Street Journal\u2019s Nick Timiraos. 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