{"id":545934,"date":"2022-04-18T03:17:08","date_gmt":"2022-04-18T03:17:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/04\/18\/this-morning-with-the-specter-of-stagflation-looming-the-imf-world-bank-spring-meetings-start-today\/"},"modified":"2022-04-18T03:17:08","modified_gmt":"2022-04-18T03:17:08","slug":"this-morning-with-the-specter-of-stagflation-looming-the-imf-world-bank-spring-meetings-start-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/04\/18\/this-morning-with-the-specter-of-stagflation-looming-the-imf-world-bank-spring-meetings-start-today\/","title":{"rendered":"THIS MORNING: With the specter of stagflation looming, the IMF \/ World Bank spring meetings start today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Good morning, friends, and welcome to the first truly slow news day of Ramadan. <\/strong>It took the confluence of Ramadan, Western Easter, Coptic Good Friday and Passover to slow down the freight train that is the 2022 news cycle, but we\u2019re not complaining.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sound smart: <\/strong>The overlapping of Ramadan, two Easters and Passover? It won\u2019t happen for another 33 years or so.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-02\"><\/a> <strong>SCARY THOUGHT of the morning: Did someone say \u201c<\/strong><strong>stagflation<\/strong><strong>\u201d? <\/strong>Look no further than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/e2f2c5ab-ab3f-4a2f-b700-be6894fc179d\">the Financial Times\u2019 front page<\/a>, which warns that \u201cthe twin perils of slowing growth and high inflation, or stagflation, will hit the global economy this year as Russia\u2019s war against Ukraine exacerbates a slowdown in the recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Odds are good you, like us, don\u2019t have memories of what stagflation felt like.<\/strong> In the absence of a Hot Tub Time Machine back to the real-life That 70s Show, you\u2019ll need to use your imagination: It\u2019s corrosive to the economy, hell for businesses, and it leaves policymakers with few levers to pull. Rising prices, low growth and sagging business confidence are an unholy trinity, and policymakers around the world looking for solutions will find their room to maneuver constrained because debt levels are already high, the salmon-colored paper warns.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Why is the FT banging the drum about stagflation? <\/strong>Cast your eyes across the ocean to Washington, DC:<\/p>\n<p><strong>That\u2019s where the IMF + World Bank <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/meetings.imf.org\/en\/2022\/Spring\">spring meetings<\/a><\/strong><strong> start today:<\/strong> Global finance chiefs have descended on Washington for the IMF and World Bank annual spring meetings. Expect the global economic impact of the war in Ukraine and fears of food insecurity to dominate the agenda.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What to watch for:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Just how badly will the conflict in Ukraine knock the Egyptian + global economies?<\/strong> We\u2019ll find out the IMF\u2019s assessment tomorrow when it releases its latest World Economic Outlook. Expect the Fund to downgrade its growth projections for both Egypt and the world. <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/4e675696-18e3-408c-91de-5e3665a8d6bf\">In January<\/a> the IMF forecast the Egyptian economy to grow at a 5.6% clip in FY 2021-2022 and penciled in 4.4% growth for the global economy.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Will we see progress <\/strong><strong>in our talks with the IMF for a new assistance package?<\/strong> Egyptian officials are <a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/4980ee3f-4107-407a-9da3-eab66ecd9dec\">scheduled to sit down with IMF officials<\/a> to discuss what a program might look like in view of our current debt level. We\u2019re currently in talks with the Fund for a new emergency program to help us cope with surging food and energy price inflation that has been turbocharged by the war in Ukraine.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Moves on debt relief for developing countries?<\/strong> Debt relief for teetering sovereigns in the developing world is once again a topic of conversation ahead of the meetings as spiraling inflation pushes more countries to the brink of default. The IMF is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/finance\/new-mechanisms-needed-debt-stress-poor-countries-hit-by-surging-prices-imf-2022-04-11\/\">once again talking<\/a> about fresh policy moves to alleviate some of the debt distress in the global south, \u2014 but if the covid experience has taught us anything, we can expect the private bondholders to take priority.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr class=\"grey-line\">\n<p><strong>MORNING MUST-READ: \u201cPhotographing hell\u201d by the outstanding photographer David <\/strong><strong>Hume Kennerly <\/strong>is a must-read packed with wrenching images. Kennerly won the Pulitzer for his photojournalism in Vietnam and was later White House photographer for Gerald Ford. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/04\/16\/opinion\/international-world\/ukraine-war-bucha-photographs.html\">NYT<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p><strong>FROM THE DUMPSTER FIRE <\/strong>that is our social media:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Egypt\u2019s men\u2019s junior \u00e9p\u00e9e team won gold at the world championships <\/strong>in Dubai, edging out the United States 45-40. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/FIE_fencing\/status\/1513185841564327938\">Check out the awesome photo of the team\u2019s celebration.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>Is Ramadan still Ramadan if you treat it like Christmas?<\/strong> Read it for the spiritual question. Or read it for advance warning of the baubles and ideas that global capitalism will soon be bringing our way. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/parents\/learning\/view\/is-ramadan-still-ramadan-if-you-treat-it-like-christmas\">CBC. Canada\u2019s, thankfully, not ours.<\/a>)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Lionizing yet another hedgie, this time from Gen Z <\/strong>(or a cusp-Millennial, depending on how you cut it): \u201cEva Shang is doing the hedge-fund thing her way. That means making money but also making time to blog about dreams, her labradoodle and her fear of becoming a Silicon Valley has-been at age 26.\u201d (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/the-26-year-old-dropout-lapping-the-hedge-fund-field-11650114049\">WSJ<\/a>)<\/li>\n<li><strong>For our fellow iSheep: Go deep into the creation of Apple Silicon. <\/strong>Bonus: There are now just 49 days left until WWDC. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/the-chips-that-rebooted-the-mac-11650081649\">WSJ<\/a>)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>SO, WHEN DO WE EAT?<\/strong> You\u2019ll be breaking your fast at 6:24pm CLT this evening in the capital city, and fajr prayers are at 3:54am.<\/p>\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-md-12 subscribe-box-panel\">\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"title\">\n<h4 class=\"fw-lighter mb-10\">\n          Get <b style=\"font-weight: 700\">Enterprise<\/b> daily<br \/>\n        <\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-10\">The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n<p>      <a href=\"egypt\/en\/user\/NewsLetters\" type=\"button \" class=\"btn-green px-3 d-flex align-items-center\">Subscribe here<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>THE BIG STORY ABROAD- Mariupol mounts last stand: <\/strong>The last Ukrainian soldiers standing in Mariupol are reportedly refusing to stand down, though Russian troops have all but captured the key eastern Ukrainian city, \u201cThey will fight until the end,\u201d Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal told ABC\u2019s This Week (<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Politics\/mariupol-besieged-fallen-ukrainian-pm\/story?id=84122574\">watch, runtime: 6:25<\/a>). Meanwhile, <strong>Ukraine has asked the G7 countries for USD 50 bn<\/strong> to help it cover its gaping budget deficit over the next six months, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/ukraine-has-asked-g7-50-bln-cover-budget-deficit-says-senior-official-2022-04-17\/\">Reuters<\/a> reports citing televised statements by the Ukrainian president's economic adviser.<\/p>\n<p><strong>CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Higher Education Minister Khaled Abdel Ghaffar will address AmCham\u2019s pre-annual <\/strong><strong>general meeting and iftar tomorrow<\/strong> at 6-8pm at the Nile Ritz Carlton. Abdel Ghaffar will speak on investment in the nation\u2019s healthcare and pharma sectors.<\/p>\n<p><strong>PSA- You only have three days left to file your ESG report: <\/strong>EGX-listed companies and all non-bank financial services outfits regardless of listing status need to <a href=\"https:\/\/fra.gov.eg\/custompdfs\/2481616-2\/\">submit their first quarterly ESG questionnaire by this Wednesday, 20 April<\/a>. The regulator is making it mandatory for corporates to publicly disclose their performance on key environmental, social and governance metrics each year when they submit their annual financial statements, starting 2023. <strong>Reach out to <\/strong><strong><a href=\"mailto:mtaalab@inktankir.com\">Moustafa Taalab at InkankIR<\/a><\/strong>, our parent company, if you need some help.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Entrepreneurs from across Africa have until 6 June to apply to startup competition <\/strong><strong>Africa\u2019s Business Heroes<\/strong>, which is backed by the Jack Ma foundation, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2022\/4\/Africas-Business-Heroes-Article.pdf\">a press release (pdf)<\/a>. The top 10 businesses in the competition will earn a shared pot of USD 1.5 mn.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.press\/am-edition\/#calendar\">Check out our full calendar on the web<\/a><\/strong> for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.<\/p>\n<p class='web-image'><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/11\/CIRA-Blackboard-Banner-B.jpg?ssl=1\" alt='enterprise'><\/p>\n<p><strong>*** It\u2019s Blackboard day:<\/strong> We have our weekly look at the business of education in Egypt, from pre-K through the highest reaches of higher ed. Blackboard appears every Monday in Enterprise in the place of our traditional industry news roundups.<\/p>\n<p><strong>I<\/strong><strong>n today\u2019s issue:<\/strong> Egyptian research centers are among the best in the region, according to Spanish research organization SCImago\u2019s first annual MENA region research rankings. In this week\u2019s Blackboard, we take a closer look at the stats to see why our research centers came out on top.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning, friends, and welcome to the first truly slow news day of Ramadan. It took the confluence of Ramadan, Western Easter, Coptic Good Friday and Passover to slow down the freight train that is the 2022 news cycle, but we\u2019re not complaining. Sound smart: The overlapping of Ramadan, two Easters and Passover? It won\u2019t [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[72,272,74,321],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-545934","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-enterpriseam","tag-imf","tag-what-were-tracking-today","tag-world-bank","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"6b0ce9d5-b120-4cd3-8c6b-ef27a572a7d9","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"4","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[545932],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>THIS MORNING: With the specter of stagflation looming, the IMF \/ World Bank spring meetings start today - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/04\/18\/this-morning-with-the-specter-of-stagflation-looming-the-imf-world-bank-spring-meetings-start-today\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"THIS MORNING: With the specter of stagflation looming, the IMF \/ World Bank spring meetings start today\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Good morning, friends, and welcome to the first truly slow news day of Ramadan. 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It took the confluence of Ramadan, Western Easter, Coptic Good Friday and Passover to slow down the freight train that is the 2022 news cycle, but we\u2019re not complaining. Sound smart: The overlapping of Ramadan, two Easters and Passover? 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Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine has exacerbated the slowdown in global economic recovery, as well as disruptions in the global supply chain, both of which the world has already been coping with since the onset of the covid-19 pandemic.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/7\/364.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547085,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/06\/08\/world-bank-revises-fy-2021-22-growth-forecast-up-to-6-1\/","url_meta":{"origin":545934,"position":1},"title":"World Bank revises FY 2021-22 growth forecast up to 6.1%","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 June 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The World Bank has again revised upwards its projection for Egypt\u2019s GDP growth by 0.6 percentage points to 6.1% for FY 2021-2022. The bank in January expected growth to come in at 5.5%, but \u201cstronger-than-expected activity for the first half of the fiscal year\u201d saw it hike its forecast in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/6\/187.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":564188,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/16\/tonight-positive-covid-news-afoot-the-scramble-out-of-afghanistan-is-in-full-swing-also-is-egypt-safe-from-stagflation-more-football-docs-for-you-to-watch\/","url_meta":{"origin":545934,"position":2},"title":"TONIGHT: Positive covid news afoot + the scramble out of Afghanistan is in full swing. ALSO, is Egypt safe from stagflation? More football docs for you to watch.","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 August 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Welcome to the accidental covid watch issue, ladies and gentlemen, as a number of positive Egypt-related pandemic news led the conversation today.THE BIG STORY TODAY- The Health Ministry appears to be planning a massive vaccination campaign, announcing plans to dole out at least one dose of a vaccine to more\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT&quot;","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547083,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/06\/08\/this-morning-back-to-the-70s-for-the-global-economy-usb-c-is-king-in-europe\/","url_meta":{"origin":545934,"position":3},"title":"THIS MORNING: Back to the 70s for the global economy + USB-C is king in Europe","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 June 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, lovely people, and welcome to almost-THURSDAY, the only name we know of for this day of the week. The BIG STORY ABROAD and the BIG STORY here at home are in sync this morning: The World Bank is warning that things could be about to get very That\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;What We're Tracking Today&quot;","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":545897,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/04\/17\/this-morning-hotndusty-imf-world-bank-spring-meetings-start-tomorrow\/","url_meta":{"origin":545934,"position":4},"title":"THIS MORNING: Hot\u2019n\u2019dusty + IMF \/ World Bank Spring Meetings start tomorrow","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 April 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, friends, and welcome to the last full workweek of Ramadan. We\u2019ll be off at least two days next week, though Cabinet has yet to confirm which holidays will be observed on which days. Coptic Easter is a week from today, while Sinai Liberation Day and Sham El Nessim\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;What We're Tracking Today&quot;","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598736,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/03\/what-were-tracking-on-03-june-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":545934,"position":5},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 03 June 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"3 June 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"It\u2019s official: We\u2019re on Eid break as of tomorrow morning \u2014 but you may still be fasting. Both the central bank and the EGX have confirmed that our five-day Eid El Fitr weekend begins tomorrow. Banks, capital markets (and, by extension, much of the private sector) are on holiday Tuesday\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;What We're Tracking Today&quot;","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/545934","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=545934"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/545934\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/545932"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=545934"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=545934"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=545934"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=545934"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=545934"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}