{"id":543203,"date":"2022-01-16T14:06:48","date_gmt":"2022-01-16T14:06:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/01\/16\/world-economic-forum-has-some-dire-warnings-for-the-future\/"},"modified":"2022-01-16T14:06:48","modified_gmt":"2022-01-16T14:06:48","slug":"world-economic-forum-has-some-dire-warnings-for-the-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/01\/16\/world-economic-forum-has-some-dire-warnings-for-the-future\/","title":{"rendered":"World Economic Forum has some dire warnings for the future"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> The sentiment for an accelerating global economic recovery is looking rather<\/strong> bleak<\/strong>, if the World Economic Forum\u2019s (WEF) Global Risks Report for 2022 (pdf)<\/a> is anything to go by. The report \u2014 which outlines the 10 biggest threats the world faces in the years ahead \u2014 showed that officials and business leaders have little faith in an accelerating global recovery and the future of the world as a whole. The WEF\u2019s perception survey found that 84% of respondents were concerned or worried about the outlook for the world while only 12% are positive and 4% are optimistic. The world is now in a \u201cperfect storm\u201d of economic and health crises coupled with the long-term looming threat of climate change, WEF Managing Director Saadia Zahidi explained to Bloomberg TV (watch, runtime: 05:42<\/a>).<\/p>\n

Climate-related risks make up half of the 10 biggest threats: <\/strong>Climate action failure tops the list of risks, followed by extreme weather, biodiversity loss, social cohesion erosion, livelihood crises, infectious diseases, human environmental damage, natural resource crises, debt crises, and geoeconomic confrontation.<\/p>\n

Before we think of the disasters of the future, there\u2019s a crisis currently at hand \u2014 the pandemic that keeps on giving: <\/strong>The spread of new variants and a rise in global case counts have pushed back the end of the pandemic and the uncertainty that accompanies it. Meanwhile, the issue of vaccine disparity continues to underline global inequality, with the poorest 52 countries only having a 6% vaccination rate. This unequal recovery from the pandemic will compound social fractures and geopolitical tensions at a time where the world needs to better cooperate to cope with issues of common interest.<\/p>\n

Covid-19 has accelerated the timeline for the anticipated breakdown of social cohesion: <\/strong>Social cohesion erosion is the risk that has worsened the most globally since the start of the pandemic, according to the report. It is a critical threat that spans the short, medium, and long terms through economic, political, technological, and intergenerational inequality. Protests and unrest were rampant during the past two years as these inequalities were brought to light during the pandemic, with the World Bank<\/a> estimating that the richest 20% of the world\u2019s population will have recovered half their losses in 2021 while the poorest 20% will have lost 5% more of their income. It will take the global economy at least until 2023 to create the jobs lost to the pandemic, but even then, many of these jobs are expected to be of low productivity and poor quality, according to the International Labour Organization<\/a>. These income disparities risk further increasing polarization and resentment within societies, the report writes.<\/p>\n

The result? Less financial and political capital available for stronger climate action: <\/strong>The Earth\u2019s climate is the most pressing long-term existential threat, especially in the next five to 10 years, the report says. However, with so much allocation going towards ending the pandemic and settling local and regional unrest, climate action might be put on the back burner. Post-covid recovery favors short-term stability over the green transition while loose monetary policies further distort green, market-based solutions or investments, the report writes.<\/p>\n

And promises made aren\u2019t necessarily promises kept: <\/strong>The report alludes to the pledges made during COP26 where governments vowed to take important steps to avoid global warming rising above the disastrous 1.5\u00b0C scenario. However, as the United Nations Environment Programme\u2019s Emissions Gap Report 2021 (pdf)<\/a> shows, reaching the 1.5\u00b0C target remains unlikely. Instead, the current trajectory is expected to steer the world towards a 2.4\u00b0C warming, with only the most optimistic of scenarios holding it to 1.8\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

The cost of complete climate inaction is steep: <\/strong>Not taking a bolder and faster approach towards climate change in the coming years, could lead to a \u201ctoo little, too late\u201d situation and ultimately a \u201chot house world scenario\u201d with runaway climate change that makes the world all but uninhabitable, the report writes. If the world fails to achieve the net zero emissions goal by 2050, financial losses are projected to be between 4% and 18% of global GDP with different impacts across regions \u2014 not to mention the loss of lives and livelihoods.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the pandemic also increased digital dependence, which intensified cybersecurity threats: <\/strong>Cyber vulnerabilities was a key risk the report brought up, with a 358% increase in malware and a 435% increase in ransomware in 2020 alone, as more people joined the \u201cransomware as a service\u201d industry, the report states. Meanwhile, there has also been growth in deepfakes and \u201cdisinformation-for-hire\u201d services which can do everything from sway an election to deepening mistrust between societies, business, and government. On a corporate level<\/a>, cybersecurity threats have increased costs for businesses as cyber crime has forced companies to pay up to bns to unlock data, systems, or stop their attacks. Even for those who err on the side of caution, cyber ins. rates have soared, going up 204% y-o-y in the US in 3Q2021.<\/p>\n

Migration and space exploration were also brought to the table as major risks the world faces: <\/strong>Economic hardship, worsening impacts of climate change and political persecution will force mns to leave their homes in search of a better future in the coming years, the report writes. Yet in many countries, lingering effects of the pandemic, increased economic protectionism and new labor market dynamics are resulting in higher barriers to entry for migrants who might seek refuge. Meanwhile, outer space could be another geopolitical battleground as an increase in private and public activity crowds out the developing world and gives even more advantage to rich countries.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The sentiment for an accelerating global economic recovery is looking rather bleak, if the World Economic Forum\u2019s (WEF) Global Risks Report for 2022 (pdf) is anything to go by. The report \u2014 which outlines the 10 biggest threats the world faces in the years ahead \u2014 showed that officials and business leaders have little faith […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":543204,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7250],"tags":[147,107,377,633,643,671,436],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-543203","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-macro-picture","tag-climate-change","tag-covid-19","tag-cybersecurity","tag-enterprisepm","tag-macro-picture","tag-space","tag-world-economic-forum","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"ed7f27a8-b752-40e6-a610-fd3776ac575a","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2022\/1\/455.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[543194],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nWorld Economic Forum has some dire warnings for the future - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/01\/16\/world-economic-forum-has-some-dire-warnings-for-the-future\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"World Economic Forum has some dire warnings for the future\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The sentiment for an accelerating global economic recovery is looking rather bleak, if the World Economic Forum\u2019s (WEF) Global Risks Report for 2022 (pdf) is anything to go by. 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The three-year initiative aims to increase participation in the job market,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "ON YOUR WAY OUT"","block_context":{"text":"ON YOUR WAY OUT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/on-your-way-out\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/9\/907.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":567855,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/12\/09\/egypts-macro-picture-in-2021-according-to-beltone\/","url_meta":{"origin":543203,"position":2},"title":"Egypt\u2019s macro picture in 2021, according to Beltone","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 December 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt\u2019s macro picture in 2021, according to Beltone: The coming 12 months will be characterized by solid economic growth, low inflation and strong investor appetite for Egyptian debt, Beltone Financial said in its annual Macro and Strategy research note. Stimulus measures pushed out by the central bank and the Finance\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/12\/173.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":546667,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/05\/24\/shoukry-talks-to-the-press-at-davos-2022\/","url_meta":{"origin":543203,"position":3},"title":"Shoukry talks to the press at Davos 2022","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 May 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Leading the conversation on Egypt in the international press: Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry was interviewed by several outlets on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, talking to CNBC (watch, runtime: 2:11) about the government\u2019s response to rising inflation and soaring food prices (more on this in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "EGYPT IN THE NEWS"","block_context":{"text":"EGYPT IN THE NEWS","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/egypt-in-the-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596402,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/08\/27\/african-countries-have-the-potential-to-leapfrog-the-fourth-industrial-revolution\/","url_meta":{"origin":543203,"position":4},"title":"African countries have the potential to \u201cleapfrog\u201d the Fourth Industrial Revolution","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 August 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Countries across Africa have the potential to \u201cleapfrog\u201d the Fourth Industrial Revolution, with their \u201cstrong economic growth, increasing regional economic integration and diversification and young entrepreneurial demographic,\u201d Dow Chemical\u2019s president of sub-Saharan Africa Craig Arnold writes for the World Economic Forum. The key to this growth, Arnold says, is doubling\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/4\/205.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":565117,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/21\/recovery-may-not-trickle-down-to-ems-imf\/","url_meta":{"origin":543203,"position":5},"title":"Recovery may not trickle down to EMs -IMF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 March 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF may update its next World Economic Outlook to reflect signs of a stronger global economic recovery than the 5.5% GDP growth it forecast in January, IMF First Deputy Managing Director Geoffrey Okamoto said in a speech to the China Development Forum, according to Reuters. Okamoto appears to be\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "SPEED ROUND: MACRO"","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: MACRO","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-macro\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/543203","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=543203"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/543203\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/afternoon\/543194"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/543204"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=543203"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=543203"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=543203"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=543203"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=543203"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}